Skip to content

USDA Hardiness Zone 4a

Frost Dates for 56468 — Nisswa, Minnesota

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Gull Lake Dam, MN (1,215 ft), 7 miles southwest.

Updated

In Nisswa, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 2 in half of years and has passed by May 14 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 6, as early as September 25 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 156 days (NOAA, Gull Lake Dam, MN).

Last spring frost
May 2

50% probability

First fall frost
October 6

50% probability

Growing season
156 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
4a

-30 to -25°F (-34.4 to -31.7°C) coldest night

First snow
November 12

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 13

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

20 of 20 observed

Snow per year
—

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Nisswa

Half of springs at Gull Lake Dam, MN see their last 32°F night by May 2; only one in ten is past it by April 21, and one in ten still has one after May 14. Planting tender crops after May 7 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 10 20%, and after May 14 10%. The 12 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 85% of the 142 Minnesota stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 6 in half of years, as early as September 25 one year in ten, and holds off past October 21 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 13 days later, around October 19; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 4, 10 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 156 days in a typical year, longer than at 67% of the 142 Minnesota stations; it reaches 173 days one year in ten and falls short of 140 one year in ten. On average 175 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 9 days longer, to about May 11, and return around September 28. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 14 and April 1.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 1May 4May 6May 9May 11May 13May 16May 19May 24
32°FApr 21Apr 26Apr 29Apr 30May 2May 4May 7May 10May 14
28°FApr 11Apr 15Apr 18Apr 20Apr 23Apr 25Apr 28Apr 30May 4
24°FApr 4Apr 7Apr 10Apr 13Apr 15Apr 17Apr 19Apr 22Apr 26
20°FMar 26Mar 31Apr 2Apr 5Apr 7Apr 10Apr 12Apr 15Apr 20
16°FMar 17Mar 23Mar 27Mar 31Apr 1Apr 3Apr 6Apr 9Apr 14
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 15Sep 20Sep 23Sep 26Sep 28Sep 30Oct 2Oct 5Oct 10
32°FSep 25Sep 30Oct 2Oct 4Oct 6Oct 10Oct 13Oct 16Oct 21
28°FOct 5Oct 10Oct 13Oct 16Oct 19Oct 22Oct 24Oct 28Nov 1
24°FOct 14Oct 20Oct 23Oct 27Oct 30Nov 1Nov 3Nov 6Nov 11
20°FOct 27Oct 30Nov 1Nov 3Nov 6Nov 8Nov 11Nov 14Nov 18
16°FNov 1Nov 5Nov 8Nov 11Nov 14Nov 16Nov 19Nov 23Nov 27

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Gull Lake Dam, MN, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 56468 →Compare Nisswa with another place →

Weather by month in Nisswa

July is the warmest month at Gull Lake Dam, MN, averaging 79°F by day and 61°F at night; January is the coldest at 18°F and -1°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 59% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,192 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 65% of the 142 Minnesota stations. 32% of them (698) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 618. Precipitation totals 27.0 inches a year, most in July (4.4") and least in January (0.6"); May to September bring 66% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Gull Lake Dam, MN
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan18-10.6100%310
Feb2430.6100%280
Mar37161.2100%282
Apr51312.4100%1829
May65453.459%2208
Jun75564.10%0460
Jul79614.40%0618
Aug77593.30%0550
Sep68492.723%1275
Oct53362.6100%1149
Nov37221.0100%253
Dec2480.7100%310

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Gull Lake Dam, MN (1,215 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Brainerd Crow Wing Co Airport, MN, 10 miles southeast of Nisswa, has a last frost 11 days later (May 13), a first frost 9 days earlier (September 27), a season 18 days shorter.

Frost dates for 56444 (Deerwood) →

When it snows in Nisswa, Minnesota

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Nisswa usually arrives around November 12, and the last of the season around April 13. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Gull Lake Dam, MN, 7.1 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 19 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 56468

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Nisswa, Minnesota
WhenWhat to do
February 21 – March 7Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 7 – March 21Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 4 – April 18Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 2 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 14Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 22Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 6 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 56468 is 7 miles from Gull Lake Dam, MN, which stands at 1,215 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 2 other ZIP codes share the station. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 56468 in zone 4a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -30 to -25°F (-34.4 to -31.7°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Minnesota →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 4a places in Minnesota