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USDA Hardiness Zone 4a

Frost Dates for 56762 — Warren, Minnesota

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Warren Wsd, MN (855 ft), 2 miles west.

Updated

In Warren, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 5 in half of years and has passed by May 22 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 2, as early as September 20 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 147 days (NOAA, Warren Wsd, MN).

Last spring frost
May 5

50% probability

First fall frost
October 2

50% probability

Growing season
147 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
4a

-30 to -25°F (-34.4 to -31.7°C) coldest night

First snow
November 7

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 12

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

29 of 29 observed

Snow per year
43.6"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Warren

Half of springs at Warren Wsd, MN see their last 32°F night by May 5; only one in ten is past it by April 24, and one in ten still has one after May 22. Planting tender crops after May 11 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 16 20%, and after May 22 10%. The 17 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 89% of the 142 Minnesota stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 2 in half of years, as early as September 20 one year in ten, and holds off past October 13 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 8 days later, around October 10; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 12, 10 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 147 days in a typical year, shorter than at 62% of the 142 Minnesota stations; it reaches 165 days one year in ten and falls short of 128 one year in ten. On average 184 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 11 days longer, to about May 16, and return around September 22. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 7 and April 4.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 3May 6May 10May 13May 16May 20May 23May 26May 31
32°FApr 24Apr 28May 1May 3May 5May 8May 11May 16May 22
28°FApr 13Apr 18Apr 22Apr 25Apr 28Apr 30May 2May 5May 12
24°FApr 6Apr 10Apr 13Apr 16Apr 18Apr 21Apr 24Apr 28May 2
20°FMar 31Apr 4Apr 5Apr 8Apr 10Apr 13Apr 16Apr 19Apr 23
16°FMar 22Mar 29Apr 1Apr 3Apr 4Apr 6Apr 9Apr 12Apr 17
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 9Sep 14Sep 17Sep 20Sep 22Sep 25Sep 27Sep 30Oct 3
32°FSep 20Sep 24Sep 27Sep 30Oct 2Oct 4Oct 6Oct 9Oct 13
28°FSep 29Oct 2Oct 5Oct 7Oct 10Oct 13Oct 16Oct 19Oct 23
24°FOct 7Oct 11Oct 14Oct 17Oct 21Oct 24Oct 28Oct 31Nov 5
20°FOct 15Oct 21Oct 26Oct 29Nov 1Nov 2Nov 5Nov 8Nov 13
16°FOct 27Oct 31Nov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 10Nov 13Nov 16Nov 20

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Warren Wsd, MN, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 56762 →Compare Warren with another place →

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Grand Forks Univ (NWS), ND, 25 miles southwest of Warren, has a last frost 5 days later (May 10), a first frost 1 day earlier (October 1), a season 3 days shorter.

Frost dates for 58201 (Grand Forks) →

When it snows in Warren, Minnesota

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Warren usually arrives around November 7, and the last of the season around April 12. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Argyle, MN, 10.1 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 23 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 56762

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Warren, Minnesota
WhenWhat to do
February 24 – March 10Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 10 – March 24Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 7 – April 21Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 5 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 10Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 18Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 2 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 56762 is 2 miles from Warren Wsd, MN, which stands at 855 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 56762 in zone 4a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -30 to -25°F (-34.4 to -31.7°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Minnesota →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 4a places in Minnesota