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USDA Hardiness Zone 4b

Frost Dates for 57201 — Watertown, South Dakota

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Watertown Regional Airport, SD (1,748 ft), 2 miles southwest.

Updated

In Watertown, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 7 in half of years and has passed by May 20 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around September 30, as early as September 19 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 145 days (NOAA, Watertown Regional Airport, SD).

Last spring frost
May 7

50% probability

First fall frost
September 30

50% probability

Growing season
145 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
4b

-25 to -20°F (-31.7 to -28.9°C) coldest night

First snow
November 3

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 13

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

25 of 25 observed

Snow per year
41.1"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Watertown

Half of springs at Watertown Regional Airport, SD see their last 32°F night by May 7; only one in ten is past it by April 26, and one in ten still has one after May 20. Planting tender crops after May 12 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 16 20%, and after May 20 10%. The 13 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 43% of the 49 South Dakota stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by September 30 in half of years, as early as September 19 one year in ten, and holds off past October 13 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 9 days later, around October 9; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 11, 9 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 145 days in a typical year, shorter than at 67% of the 49 South Dakota stations; it reaches 162 days one year in ten and falls short of 127 one year in ten. On average 174 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 10 days longer, to about May 17, and return around September 23. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 7 and April 3.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 4May 8May 11May 14May 17May 20May 23May 26May 31
32°FApr 26Apr 30May 2May 4May 7May 10May 12May 16May 20
28°FApr 14Apr 20Apr 23Apr 27Apr 29May 1May 3May 6May 11
24°FApr 6Apr 10Apr 14Apr 17Apr 20Apr 23Apr 26Apr 29May 3
20°FMar 29Apr 3Apr 5Apr 8Apr 10Apr 13Apr 17Apr 21Apr 26
16°FMar 15Mar 23Mar 29Apr 1Apr 3Apr 5Apr 8Apr 11Apr 18
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 9Sep 14Sep 18Sep 20Sep 23Sep 25Sep 28Sep 30Oct 4
32°FSep 19Sep 23Sep 26Sep 28Sep 30Oct 2Oct 5Oct 8Oct 13
28°FSep 26Sep 30Oct 3Oct 5Oct 9Oct 11Oct 14Oct 18Oct 22
24°FOct 4Oct 9Oct 13Oct 17Oct 20Oct 23Oct 26Oct 29Nov 2
20°FOct 15Oct 20Oct 24Oct 27Oct 30Nov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 13
16°FOct 25Oct 30Nov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 10Nov 13Nov 16Nov 22

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Watertown Regional Airport, SD, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 57201 →Compare Watertown with another place →

Weather by month in Watertown

July is the warmest month at Watertown Regional Airport, SD, averaging 82°F by day and 60°F at night; January is the coldest at 21°F and 3°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 77% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,370 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 88% of the 49 South Dakota stations. 32% of them (754) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 651. Precipitation totals 23.1 inches a year, most in June (3.9") and least in January (0.6"); May to September bring 66% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Watertown Regional Airport, SD
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan2130.6100%310
Feb2670.7100%280
Mar39201.0100%275
Apr54322.1100%1642
May67452.977%2223
Jun77553.91%0484
Jul82603.10%0651
Aug80582.90%0574
Sep72492.551%1319
Oct56352.0100%1268
Nov40210.7100%264
Dec2690.7100%310

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Watertown Regional Airport, SD (1,748 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Milbank, SD, 32 miles northeast of Watertown and 606 feet lower, has a last frost 2 days earlier (May 5), a first frost 2 days later (October 2), a season 5 days longer.

Frost dates for 57252 (Milbank) →

When it snows in Watertown, South Dakota

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Watertown usually arrives around November 3, and the last of the season around April 13. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Watertown Regional Airport, SD, 1.9 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 24 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 57201

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Watertown, South Dakota
WhenWhat to do
February 26 – March 12Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 12 – March 26Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 9 – April 23Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 7 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 8Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 16Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
September 30 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 57201 is 2 miles from Watertown Regional Airport, SD, which stands at 1,748 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 57201 in zone 4b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -25 to -20°F (-31.7 to -28.9°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across South Dakota →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 4b places in South Dakota