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USDA Hardiness Zone 5a

Frost Dates for 57301 — Mitchell, South Dakota

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Mitchell 2 N, SD (1,250 ft), 2 miles north.

Updated

In Mitchell, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 2 in half of years and has passed by May 15 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 6, as early as September 23 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 156 days (NOAA, Mitchell 2 N, SD).

Last spring frost
May 2

50% probability

First fall frost
October 6

50% probability

Growing season
156 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
5a

-20 to -15°F (-28.9 to -26.1°C) coldest night

First snow
November 6

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 10

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

17 of 17 observed

Snow per year
40.6"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Mitchell

Half of springs at Mitchell 2 N, SD see their last 32°F night by May 2; only one in ten is past it by April 19, and one in ten still has one after May 15. Planting tender crops after May 6 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 10 20%, and after May 15 10%. The 13 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 43% of the 49 South Dakota stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 6 in half of years, as early as September 23 one year in ten, and holds off past October 19 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 10 days later, around October 16; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 4, 11 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 156 days in a typical year, longer than at 71% of the 49 South Dakota stations; it reaches 174 days one year in ten and falls short of 138 one year in ten. On average 168 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 9 days longer, to about May 11, and return around September 27. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 10 and March 26.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 30May 3May 6May 8May 11May 13May 16May 19May 25
32°FApr 19Apr 24Apr 27Apr 30May 2May 4May 6May 10May 15
28°FApr 9Apr 13Apr 16Apr 19Apr 21Apr 24Apr 27Apr 30May 4
24°FApr 1Apr 4Apr 8Apr 10Apr 12Apr 15Apr 18Apr 21Apr 25
20°FMar 19Mar 25Mar 30Apr 2Apr 4Apr 7Apr 9Apr 13Apr 18
16°FMar 9Mar 15Mar 19Mar 22Mar 26Mar 30Apr 1Apr 5Apr 9
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 15Sep 19Sep 22Sep 25Sep 27Sep 30Oct 2Oct 5Oct 10
32°FSep 23Sep 27Sep 30Oct 3Oct 6Oct 9Oct 11Oct 14Oct 19
28°FSep 30Oct 5Oct 10Oct 13Oct 16Oct 18Oct 21Oct 24Oct 28
24°FOct 11Oct 17Oct 20Oct 23Oct 25Oct 28Oct 30Nov 2Nov 6
20°FOct 22Oct 26Oct 29Nov 1Nov 3Nov 5Nov 8Nov 11Nov 16
16°FOct 29Nov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 10Nov 13Nov 16Nov 19Nov 24

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Mitchell 2 N, SD, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 57301 →Compare Mitchell with another place →

Frost risk through the year in Mitchell

Frost curve for Mitchell, South Dakota (Mitchell 2 N, SD, NOAA 1991–2020): the chance of another 32°F night falls from 90% on April 19 to 50% on May 2 and 10% on May 15; the chance that the first fall one has come rises from 10% on September 23 to 50% on October 6 and 90% on October 19.

In Mitchell, the spring curve drops under 10% on May 15 and the fall curve passes 10% on September 23, 131 days later; that gap is longer than at 73% of the 49 South Dakota stations with frost dates. The spring risk falls from 90% to 10% over 26 days (April 19 to May 15) and the fall risk climbs from 10% to 90% over 26 days (September 23 to October 19): both ends of the season vary about as much. At Alexandria, SD, 12 miles east, the same gap runs from May 21 to September 17, 12 days shorter.

Chance of a frost after each planting date in Mitchell
Planted onAnother 32°F night28°F night
Apr 18over 90%63%
Apr 2577%37%
May 250% date50%15%
May 923%under 10%
May 16under 10%under 10%
May 23under 10%under 10%

Weather by month in Mitchell

July is the warmest month at Mitchell 2 N, SD, averaging 86°F by day and 62°F at night; January is the coldest at 28°F and 7°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 56% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,867 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 71% of the 49 South Dakota stations. 33% of them (937) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 734.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Mitchell 2 N, SD
MonthHigh °FLow °F32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan287100%310
Feb3311100%271
Mar4522100%2611
Apr5834100%1363
May704756%1287
Jun81580%0576
Jul86620%0734
Aug84600%0677
Sep775032%1406
Oct6236100%11101
Nov4522100%2712
Dec3212100%310

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Mitchell 2 N, SD (1,250 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Alexandria, SD, 12 miles east of Mitchell, has a last frost 6 days later (May 8), a first frost 7 days earlier (September 29), a season 13 days shorter.

Frost dates for 57366 (Parkston) →

When it snows in Mitchell, South Dakota

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Mitchell usually arrives around November 6, and the last of the season around April 10. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Mitchell, SD, 4.1 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 22 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 57301

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Mitchell, South Dakota
WhenWhat to do
February 21 – March 7Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 7 – March 21Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 4 – April 18Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 2 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 14Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 22Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 6 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 57301 is 2 miles from Mitchell 2 N, SD, which stands at 1,250 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 57301 in zone 5a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -20 to -15°F (-28.9 to -26.1°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across South Dakota →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 5a places in South Dakota