Skip to content

USDA Hardiness Zone 4a

Frost Dates for 58012 — Casselton, North Dakota

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Casselton Agronomy Farm, ND (935 ft), 3 miles southwest.

Updated

In Casselton, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 9 in half of years and has passed by May 21 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 1, as early as September 17 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 143 days (NOAA, Casselton Agronomy Farm, ND).

Last spring frost
May 9

50% probability

First fall frost
October 1

50% probability

Growing season
143 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
4a

-30 to -25°F (-34.4 to -31.7°C) coldest night

First snow
November 12

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
March 30

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

23 of 23 observed

Snow per year
36.7"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Casselton

Half of springs at Casselton Agronomy Farm, ND see their last 32°F night by May 9; only one in ten is past it by April 25, and one in ten still has one after May 21. Planting tender crops after May 14 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 17 20%, and after May 21 10%. The 12 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 79% of the 33 North Dakota stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 1 in half of years, as early as September 17 one year in ten, and holds off past October 15 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 9 days later, around October 10; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 13, 8 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 143 days in a typical year, longer than at 73% of the 33 North Dakota stations; it reaches 163 days one year in ten and falls short of 126 one year in ten. On average 182 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 9 days longer, to about May 18, and return around September 22. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 7 and April 3.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 4May 9May 12May 15May 18May 20May 22May 25May 29
32°FApr 25Apr 30May 3May 5May 9May 11May 14May 17May 21
28°FApr 12Apr 18Apr 22Apr 26Apr 29May 1May 4May 9May 13
24°FApr 5Apr 8Apr 11Apr 14Apr 18Apr 21Apr 25Apr 28May 3
20°FMar 27Apr 1Apr 4Apr 6Apr 8Apr 11Apr 13Apr 18Apr 24
16°FMar 17Mar 24Mar 29Apr 1Apr 3Apr 5Apr 7Apr 11Apr 16
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 10Sep 14Sep 17Sep 19Sep 22Sep 24Sep 26Sep 29Oct 3
32°FSep 17Sep 22Sep 26Sep 29Oct 1Oct 3Oct 6Oct 9Oct 15
28°FSep 26Oct 1Oct 4Oct 7Oct 10Oct 14Oct 17Oct 21Oct 24
24°FOct 4Oct 10Oct 13Oct 18Oct 21Oct 25Oct 28Oct 31Nov 3
20°FOct 14Oct 22Oct 25Oct 28Oct 31Nov 2Nov 5Nov 8Nov 13
16°FOct 26Oct 31Nov 2Nov 4Nov 7Nov 10Nov 13Nov 16Nov 22

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Casselton Agronomy Farm, ND, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 58012 →Compare Casselton with another place →

Weather by month in Casselton

July is the warmest month at Casselton Agronomy Farm, ND, averaging 81°F by day and 59°F at night; January is the coldest at 17°F and -1°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 77% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,246 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 67% of the 33 North Dakota stations. 33% of them (735) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 611. Precipitation totals 24.2 inches a year, most in June (4.4") and least in January (0.5"); May to September bring 69% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Casselton Agronomy Farm, ND
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan17-10.5100%310
Feb2220.6100%280
Mar35171.1100%281
Apr53311.5100%1834
May68433.277%3220
Jun77554.40%0479
Jul81593.70%0611
Aug80562.60%0553
Sep71462.848%2287
Oct56342.3100%1459
Nov38200.8100%271
Dec2370.7100%310

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Casselton Agronomy Farm, ND (935 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Fargo Hector International Airport, ND, 18 miles east of Casselton, has a last frost 1 day later (May 10), a first frost 1 day earlier (September 30).

Frost dates for 58078 (West Fargo) →

When it snows in Casselton, North Dakota

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Casselton usually arrives around November 12, and the last of the season around March 30. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Casselton Agronomy Farm, ND, 3.2 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 40 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 58012

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Casselton, North Dakota
WhenWhat to do
February 28 – March 14Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 14 – March 28Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 11 – April 25Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 9 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 9Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 17Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 1 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 58012 is 3 miles from Casselton Agronomy Farm, ND, which stands at 935 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 58012 in zone 4a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -30 to -25°F (-34.4 to -31.7°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across North Dakota →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 4a places in North Dakota