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USDA Hardiness Zone 4a

Frost Dates for 58072 — Valley City, North Dakota

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Valley City 3 NNW, ND (1,210 ft), 2 miles north.

Updated

In Valley City, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 13 in half of years and has passed by May 25 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around September 26, as early as September 14 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 136 days (NOAA, Valley City 3 NNW, ND).

Last spring frost
May 13

50% probability

First fall frost
September 26

50% probability

Growing season
136 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
4a

-30 to -25°F (-34.4 to -31.7°C) coldest night

First snow
November 7

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 9

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

20 of 20 observed

Snow per year
—

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Valley City

Half of springs at Valley City 3 NNW, ND see their last 32°F night by May 13; only one in ten is past it by May 2, and one in ten still has one after May 25. Planting tender crops after May 18 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 22 20%, and after May 25 10%. The 12 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 79% of the 33 North Dakota stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by September 26 in half of years, as early as September 14 one year in ten, and holds off past October 8 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 9 days later, around October 5; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 17, 8 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 136 days in a typical year, shorter than at 52% of the 33 North Dakota stations; it reaches 153 days one year in ten and falls short of 118 one year in ten. On average 192 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 9 days longer, to about May 22, and return around September 17. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 5 and April 7.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 11May 14May 17May 20May 22May 25May 28May 31Jun 4
32°FMay 2May 5May 8May 11May 13May 15May 18May 22May 25
28°FApr 21Apr 27Apr 30May 2May 4May 7May 10May 13May 17
24°FApr 11Apr 16Apr 19Apr 22Apr 26Apr 29May 1May 5May 10
20°FApr 3Apr 6Apr 9Apr 13Apr 16Apr 19Apr 23Apr 27May 1
16°FMar 24Mar 31Apr 3Apr 5Apr 7Apr 10Apr 14Apr 17Apr 24
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 6Sep 10Sep 13Sep 15Sep 17Sep 19Sep 21Sep 24Sep 28
32°FSep 14Sep 18Sep 21Sep 24Sep 26Sep 28Oct 1Oct 4Oct 8
28°FSep 24Sep 28Sep 30Oct 2Oct 5Oct 8Oct 11Oct 15Oct 20
24°FOct 1Oct 6Oct 11Oct 14Oct 16Oct 20Oct 23Oct 26Oct 30
20°FOct 12Oct 17Oct 22Oct 24Oct 27Oct 30Nov 1Nov 5Nov 9
16°FOct 22Oct 27Oct 31Nov 2Nov 5Nov 7Nov 9Nov 13Nov 16

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Valley City 3 NNW, ND, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 58072 →Compare Valley City with another place →

Weather by month in Valley City

July is the warmest month at Valley City 3 NNW, ND, averaging 81°F by day and 57°F at night; January is the coldest at 18°F and -2°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to May (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,097 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 61% of the 33 North Dakota stations. 31% of them (661) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 592. Precipitation totals 21.4 inches a year, most in June (3.6") and least in January (0.5"); May to September bring 71% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Valley City 3 NNW, ND
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan18-20.5100%310
Feb2310.5100%280
Mar36140.8100%291
Apr53281.2100%2125
May67413.292%5190
Jun76533.61%0445
Jul81573.00%0592
Aug80542.60%0530
Sep71452.769%3264
Oct56321.9100%1750
Nov38180.7100%281
Dec2460.7100%310

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Valley City 3 NNW, ND (1,210 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Jamestown State Hosp, ND, 31 miles west of Valley City and 257 feet higher, has a last frost 5 days earlier (May 8), a first frost 3 days later (September 29), a season 7 days longer.

Frost dates for 58401 (Jamestown) →

When it snows in Valley City, North Dakota

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Valley City usually arrives around November 7, and the last of the season around April 9. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Valley City 3 NNW, ND, 1.5 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 34 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 58072

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Valley City, North Dakota
WhenWhat to do
March 4 – March 18Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 18 – April 1Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 15 – April 29Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 13 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 4Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 12Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
September 26 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 58072 is 2 miles from Valley City 3 NNW, ND, which stands at 1,210 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 58072 in zone 4a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -30 to -25°F (-34.4 to -31.7°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across North Dakota →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 4a places in North Dakota