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USDA Hardiness Zone 4a

Frost Dates for 58421 — Carrington, North Dakota

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Carrington, ND (1,586 ft), 2 miles west.

Updated

In Carrington, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 10 in half of years and has passed by May 23 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around September 28, as early as September 17 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 139 days (NOAA, Carrington, ND).

Last spring frost
May 10

50% probability

First fall frost
September 28

50% probability

Growing season
139 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
4a

-30 to -25°F (-34.4 to -31.7°C) coldest night

First snow
November 6

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
March 20

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

18 of 18 observed

Snow per year
—

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Carrington

Half of springs at Carrington, ND see their last 32°F night by May 10; only one in ten is past it by April 28, and one in ten still has one after May 23. Planting tender crops after May 15 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 18 20%, and after May 23 10%. The 13 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 21% of the 33 North Dakota stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by September 28 in half of years, as early as September 17 one year in ten, and holds off past October 10 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 10 days later, around October 8; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 14, 9 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 139 days in a typical year, longer than at 58% of the 33 North Dakota stations; it reaches 157 days one year in ten and falls short of 122 one year in ten. On average 193 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 10 days longer, to about May 20, and return around September 20. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 5 and April 5.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 8May 12May 15May 17May 20May 22May 25May 28Jun 1
32°FApr 28May 2May 4May 7May 10May 13May 15May 18May 23
28°FApr 16Apr 21Apr 25Apr 29May 1May 3May 6May 10May 14
24°FApr 8Apr 12Apr 15Apr 18Apr 22Apr 24Apr 28May 1May 5
20°FMar 31Apr 3Apr 6Apr 9Apr 12Apr 15Apr 18Apr 22Apr 28
16°FMar 18Mar 25Mar 31Apr 3Apr 5Apr 8Apr 10Apr 14Apr 19
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 9Sep 13Sep 16Sep 18Sep 20Sep 22Sep 24Sep 26Sep 30
32°FSep 17Sep 20Sep 23Sep 26Sep 28Sep 30Oct 3Oct 6Oct 10
28°FSep 25Sep 30Oct 3Oct 5Oct 8Oct 10Oct 13Oct 16Oct 21
24°FOct 4Oct 9Oct 12Oct 16Oct 18Oct 21Oct 24Oct 26Oct 30
20°FOct 15Oct 19Oct 23Oct 26Oct 28Oct 31Nov 2Nov 5Nov 10
16°FOct 24Oct 28Oct 31Nov 3Nov 5Nov 8Nov 10Nov 14Nov 19

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Carrington, ND, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 58421 →Compare Carrington with another place →

Weather by month in Carrington

July is the warmest month at Carrington, ND, averaging 79°F by day and 57°F at night; January is the coldest at 17°F and 0°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 84% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 1,971 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 79% of the 33 North Dakota stations. 31% of them (615) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 561.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Carrington, ND
MonthHigh °FLow °F32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan170100%310
Feb214100%280
Mar3416100%291
Apr5129100%2224
May654284%4178
Jun74530%0411
Jul79570%0561
Aug79540%0517
Sep694461%2234
Oct5332100%1742
Nov3618100%293
Dec226100%310

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Carrington, ND (1,586 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

When it snows in Carrington, North Dakota

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Carrington usually arrives around November 6, and the last of the season around March 20. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Carrington 4 N, ND, 4.4 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 51 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 58421

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Carrington, North Dakota
WhenWhat to do
March 1 – March 15Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 15 – March 29Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 12 – April 26Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 10 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 6Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 14Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
September 28 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 58421 is 2 miles from Carrington, ND, which stands at 1,586 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 58421 in zone 4a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -30 to -25°F (-34.4 to -31.7°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across North Dakota →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 4a places in North Dakota