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USDA Hardiness Zone 4a

Frost Dates for 59255 — Poplar, Montana

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Wolf Point 29 ENE, MT (2,085 ft), 12 miles north.

Updated

In Poplar, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 24 in half of years and has passed by June 6 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around September 14, as early as September 1 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 110 days (NOAA, Wolf Point 29 ENE, MT).

Last spring frost
May 24

50% probability

First fall frost
September 14

50% probability

Growing season
110 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
4a

-30 to -25°F (-34.4 to -31.7°C) coldest night

First snow
December 4

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
February 26

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
88%

22 of 25 observed

Snow per year
—

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Poplar

Half of springs at Wolf Point 29 ENE, MT see their last 32°F night by May 24; only one in ten is past it by May 12, and one in ten still has one after June 6. Planting tender crops after May 29 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after June 1 20%, and after June 6 10%. The 13 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 74% of the 68 Montana stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by September 14 in half of years, as early as September 1 one year in ten, and holds off past September 25 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 8 days later, around September 22; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 26, 11 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 110 days in a typical year, shorter than at 79% of the 68 Montana stations; it reaches 127 days one year in ten and falls short of 92 one year in ten. On average 206 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 10 days longer, to about June 3, and return around September 4. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between October 19 and April 12.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 21May 26May 29May 31Jun 3Jun 6Jun 11Jun 16Jun 24
32°FMay 12May 16May 19May 21May 24May 26May 29Jun 1Jun 6
28°FMay 1May 5May 8May 11May 14May 16May 19May 22May 26
24°FApr 19Apr 24Apr 28Apr 30May 3May 5May 9May 12May 15
20°FApr 7Apr 12Apr 16Apr 20Apr 23Apr 27Apr 30May 3May 8
16°FMar 27Apr 2Apr 5Apr 8Apr 12Apr 15Apr 19Apr 22Apr 28
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FAug 21Aug 26Aug 30Sep 1Sep 4Sep 7Sep 9Sep 12Sep 16
32°FSep 1Sep 5Sep 8Sep 11Sep 14Sep 15Sep 18Sep 22Sep 25
28°FSep 8Sep 13Sep 16Sep 20Sep 22Sep 24Sep 26Sep 30Oct 4
24°FSep 15Sep 21Sep 24Sep 26Sep 29Oct 2Oct 5Oct 8Oct 13
20°FSep 22Sep 28Oct 2Oct 6Oct 9Oct 12Oct 16Oct 19Oct 24
16°FOct 2Oct 8Oct 13Oct 16Oct 19Oct 22Oct 24Oct 27Nov 1

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Wolf Point 29 ENE, MT, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 59255 →Compare Poplar with another place →

Weather by month in Poplar

July is the warmest month at Wolf Point 29 ENE, MT, averaging 84°F by day and 53°F at night; January is the coldest at 23°F and 0°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from September to May (a 90% chance or more). From July to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, June still brings one in 21% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 1,888 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 54% of the 68 Montana stations. 28% of them (521) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 566. Precipitation totals 14.2 inches a year, most in June (2.9") and least in February (0.3"); May to September bring 72% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Wolf Point 29 ENE, MT
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan2300.4100%310
Feb2850.3100%280
Mar40160.6100%292
Apr56271.0100%2124
May67382.299%9144
Jun76482.921%<1351
Jul84532.60%0566
Aug84511.49%<1537
Sep73401.196%5227
Oct56270.9100%2237
Nov39140.4100%291
Dec2730.4100%310

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Wolf Point 29 ENE, MT (2,085 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Wolf Pt, MT, 23 miles west of Poplar, has a last frost 16 days earlier (May 8), a first frost 14 days later (September 28), a season 33 days longer.

Frost dates for 59201 (Wolf Point) →

When it snows in Poplar, Montana

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Poplar usually arrives around December 4, and the last of the season around February 26. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Vida 6 NE, MT, 20.1 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Snow fell in 88% of those winters. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 87 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 59255

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Poplar, Montana
WhenWhat to do
March 15 – March 29Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 29 – April 12Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 26 – May 10Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 24 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by June 22Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by August 31Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
September 14 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 59255 is 12 miles from Wolf Point 29 ENE, MT, which stands at 2,085 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 59255 in zone 4a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -30 to -25°F (-34.4 to -31.7°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Montana →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 4a places in Montana