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USDA Hardiness Zone 9a

Frost Dates for 77446 — Prairie View, Texas

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Bellville 6NNE, TX (280 ft), 14 miles west.

Updated

In Prairie View, the last spring frost (32°F) is around February 28 in half of years and has passed by March 20 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around December 2, as early as November 12 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 279 days (NOAA, Bellville 6NNE, TX).

Last spring frost
February 28

50% probability

First fall frost
December 2

50% probability

Growing season
279 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
9a

20 to 25°F (-6.7 to -3.9°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
0%

0 of 19 observed

Snow per year
0"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Prairie View

Half of springs at Bellville 6NNE, TX see their last 32°F night by February 28; only one in ten is past it by January 31, and one in ten still has one after March 20. Planting tender crops after March 8 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after March 13 20%, and after March 20 10%. The 20 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 51% of the 339 Texas stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by December 2 in half of years, as early as November 12 one year in ten, and holds off past December 25 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 14 days later, around December 16; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is March 9, 11 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 279 days in a typical year, longer than at 78% of the 339 Texas stations; it reaches 309 days one year in ten and falls short of 249 one year in ten. On average 14 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 12 days longer, to about March 12, and return around November 19. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 74% of winters and 16°F in 7%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FFeb 21Feb 28Mar 4Mar 8Mar 12Mar 17Mar 21Mar 27Apr 2
32°FJan 31Feb 11Feb 18Feb 23Feb 28Mar 3Mar 8Mar 13Mar 20
28°F96% of yrsJan 10Jan 22Jan 30Feb 4Feb 11Feb 18Feb 24Mar 2Mar 9
24°F74% of yrsDec 22Jan 2Jan 11Jan 18Jan 25Jan 30Feb 4Feb 14Mar 1
20°F31% of yrstoo rare for a date
16°F7% of yrstoo rare for a date
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FNov 2Nov 8Nov 12Nov 16Nov 19Nov 24Nov 27Dec 1Dec 6
32°FNov 12Nov 18Nov 23Nov 28Dec 2Dec 5Dec 10Dec 16Dec 25
28°F96% of yrsNov 23Dec 1Dec 5Dec 10Dec 16Dec 24Dec 31Jan 5Jan 15
24°F74% of yrsDec 6Dec 13Dec 22Dec 29Jan 1Jan 6Jan 12Jan 19Feb 3
20°F31% of yrstoo rare for a date
16°F7% of yrstoo rare for a date

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Bellville 6NNE, TX, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 77446 →Compare Prairie View with another place →

Weather by month in Prairie View

August is the warmest month at Bellville 6NNE, TX, averaging 95°F by day and 73°F at night; January is the coldest at 61°F and 41°F. A freezing night is all but certain in January (a 90% chance or more). From April to October the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, February still brings one in 81% of years and March still brings one in 47% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 7,160 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 72% of the 351 Texas stations. 42% of them (3,007) have built up by the end of June, and August adds the most, 1,055. Precipitation totals 44.1 inches a year, most in May (5.2") and least in July (2.4"); May to September bring 44% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Bellville 6NNE, TX
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan61413.495%5139
Feb65452.781%3197
Mar72523.447%1389
Apr78583.50%0548
May85665.20%0790
Jun91724.20%0943
Jul94732.40%01046
Aug95733.70%01055
Sep90693.90%0876
Oct82604.31%0644
Nov72513.945%1361
Dec63433.589%5171

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Bellville 6NNE, TX (280 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Washington Sp, TX, 19 miles northwest of Prairie View, has a last frost 7 days later (March 7), a first frost 13 days earlier (November 19), a season 20 days shorter.

Frost dates for 77868 (Navasota) →

When it snows in Prairie View, Texas

Measurable snow is rare here: only 0 of 19 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Cypress, TX, 17.6 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 77446

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Prairie View, Texas
WhenWhat to do
December 20 – January 3Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
January 3 – January 17Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
January 31 – February 14Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
February 28 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by September 9Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by November 18Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
December 2 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 77446 is 14 miles from Bellville 6NNE, TX, which stands at 280 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 4 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 77445 (Hempstead). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 77446 in zone 9a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 20 to 25°F (-6.7 to -3.9°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Texas →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 9a places in Texas