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USDA Hardiness Zone 9b

Frost Dates for 77511 — Alvin, Texas

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Alvin, TX (28 ft), 3 miles south.

Updated

In Alvin, the last spring frost (32°F) is around February 14 in half of years and has passed by March 13 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around December 5, as early as November 14 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 298 days (NOAA, Alvin, TX).

Last spring frost
February 14

50% probability

First fall frost
December 5

50% probability

Growing season
298 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
9b

25 to 30°F (-3.9 to -1.1°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
15%

3 of 20 observed

Snow per year
0.2"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Alvin

Half of springs at Alvin, TX see their last 32°F night by February 14; only one in ten is past it by January 15, and one in ten still has one after March 13. Planting tender crops after February 28 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after March 6 20%, and after March 13 10%. The 27 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 86% of the 339 Texas stations behind this site's ZIP pages, so a fixed calendar date is a gamble here.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by December 5 in half of years, as early as November 14 one year in ten, and holds off past January 8 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 25 days later, around December 30; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is March 2, 11 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 298 days in a typical year, longer than at 86% of the 339 Texas stations; it reaches 335 days one year in ten and falls short of 261 one year in ten. On average 10 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 19 days longer, to about March 5, and return around November 23. A 24°F night is unusual: 42% of winters had one.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FFeb 4Feb 17Feb 24Feb 28Mar 5Mar 9Mar 14Mar 18Mar 27
32°F99% of yrsJan 15Jan 24Jan 31Feb 5Feb 14Feb 23Feb 28Mar 6Mar 13
28°F84% of yrsDec 23Jan 4Jan 13Jan 20Jan 25Jan 31Feb 7Feb 19Mar 2
24°F42% of yrstoo rare for a date
20°F10% of yrstoo rare for a date
16°F0% of yrstoo rare for a date
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FNov 5Nov 10Nov 15Nov 19Nov 23Nov 27Dec 1Dec 6Dec 15
32°F99% of yrsNov 14Nov 21Nov 26Dec 1Dec 5Dec 10Dec 18Dec 31Jan 8
28°F84% of yrsNov 27Dec 3Dec 11Dec 20Dec 30Jan 3Jan 8Jan 16Feb 2
24°F42% of yrstoo rare for a date
20°F10% of yrstoo rare for a date
16°F0% of yrstoo rare for a date

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Alvin, TX, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 77511 →Compare Alvin with another place →

Weather by month in Alvin

August is the warmest month at Alvin, TX, averaging 91°F by day and 74°F at night; January is the coldest at 63°F and 44°F. From April to October the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, February still brings one in 55% of years and March still brings one in 29% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 7,224 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 74% of the 351 Texas stations. 43% of them (3,103) have built up by the end of June, and August adds the most, 1,009. Precipitation totals 55.1 inches a year, most in June (6.0") and least in February (3.0"); May to September bring 47% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Alvin, TX
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan63444.982%4167
Feb67483.055%2227
Mar73543.129%1419
Apr78604.20%0562
May85684.60%0809
Jun89726.00%0919
Jul91744.20%01006
Aug91745.60%01009
Sep89705.40%0883
Oct81615.30%0651
Nov73524.337%1369
Dec65454.566%3203

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Alvin, TX (28 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Houston Clover Field, TX, 7 miles north of Alvin, has a last frost 14 days earlier (January 31), a first frost 22 days later (December 27), a season 30 days longer.

Frost dates for 77584 (Pearland) →

When it snows in Alvin, Texas

Measurable snow is rare here: only 3 of 20 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Houston NWSO, TX, 10.6 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 77511

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Alvin, Texas
WhenWhat to do
December 6 – December 20Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
December 20 – January 3Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
January 17 – January 31Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
February 14 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by September 12Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by November 21Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
December 5 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 77511 is 3 miles from Alvin, TX, which stands at 28 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 1 other ZIP code shares the station. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 77511 in zone 9b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 25 to 30°F (-3.9 to -1.1°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Texas →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 9b places in Texas