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USDA Hardiness Zone 9a

Frost Dates for 77664 — Warren, Texas

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Wildwood, TX (200 ft), 5 miles southwest.

Updated

In Warren, the last spring frost (32°F) is around March 6 in half of years and has passed by March 31 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 21, as early as November 3 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 261 days (NOAA, Wildwood, TX).

Last spring frost
March 6

50% probability

First fall frost
November 21

50% probability

Growing season
261 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
9a

20 to 25°F (-6.7 to -3.9°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
13%

3 of 23 observed

Snow per year
0.1"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Warren

Half of springs at Wildwood, TX see their last 32°F night by March 6; only one in ten is past it by February 9, and one in ten still has one after March 31. Planting tender crops after March 15 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after March 21 20%, and after March 31 10%. The 25 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 82% of the 339 Texas stations behind this site's ZIP pages, so a fixed calendar date is a gamble here.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 21 in half of years, as early as November 3 one year in ten, and holds off past December 10 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 14 days later, around December 5; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is March 15, 16 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 261 days in a typical year, longer than at 65% of the 339 Texas stations; it reaches 291 days one year in ten and falls short of 232 one year in ten. On average 37 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 17 days longer, to about March 23, and return around November 10. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 83% of winters and 16°F in 11%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FFeb 28Mar 8Mar 13Mar 17Mar 23Mar 29Apr 2Apr 7Apr 15
32°FFeb 9Feb 18Feb 25Feb 28Mar 6Mar 11Mar 15Mar 21Mar 31
28°F99% of yrsJan 15Jan 27Feb 1Feb 8Feb 16Feb 23Feb 28Mar 7Mar 15
24°F83% of yrsDec 26Jan 6Jan 15Jan 22Jan 29Feb 1Feb 7Feb 19Mar 4
20°F39% of yrstoo rare for a date
16°F11% of yrstoo rare for a date
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 27Nov 1Nov 3Nov 6Nov 10Nov 14Nov 18Nov 24Dec 1
32°FNov 3Nov 7Nov 12Nov 16Nov 21Nov 25Dec 1Dec 4Dec 10
28°F99% of yrsNov 12Nov 20Nov 26Dec 1Dec 5Dec 9Dec 17Dec 26Jan 4
24°F83% of yrsNov 28Dec 5Dec 12Dec 21Dec 29Jan 2Jan 8Jan 16Feb 1
20°F39% of yrstoo rare for a date
16°F11% of yrstoo rare for a date

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Wildwood, TX, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 77664 →Compare Warren with another place →

Weather by month in Warren

July is the warmest month at Wildwood, TX, averaging 95°F by day and 73°F at night; January is the coldest at 63°F and 38°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from December to January (a 90% chance or more). From April to October the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, February still brings one in 86% of years and March still brings one in 56% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 6,881 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 66% of the 351 Texas stations. 42% of them (2,886) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 1,042. Precipitation totals 57.0 inches a year, most in June (5.8") and least in February (4.1"); May to September bring 41% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Wildwood, TX
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan63384.798%13118
Feb66424.186%9165
Mar73494.156%3356
Apr80554.58%<1526
May87644.50%0784
Jun92705.80%0937
Jul95734.10%01042
Aug95724.30%01037
Sep90674.50%0861
Oct83565.65%0598
Nov72475.468%3302
Dec64405.493%9155

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Wildwood, TX (200 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Town Bluff Dam, TX, 19 miles northeast of Warren, has a last frost 3 days later (March 9), a first frost 1 day later (November 22), a season 3 days shorter.

Frost dates for 75979 (Woodville) →

When it snows in Warren, Texas

Measurable snow is rare here: only 3 of 23 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Wildwood, TX, 5.1 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 77664

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Warren, Texas
WhenWhat to do
December 26 – January 9Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
January 9 – January 23Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
February 6 – February 20Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
March 6 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 29Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by November 7Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 21 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 77664 is 5 miles from Wildwood, TX, which stands at 200 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 77664 in zone 9a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 20 to 25°F (-6.7 to -3.9°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Texas →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 9a places in Texas