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USDA Hardiness Zone 9a

Frost Dates for 77963 — Goliad, Texas

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Goliad, TX (142 ft), 2 miles southeast.

Updated

In Goliad, the last spring frost (32°F) is around February 25 in half of years and has passed by March 17 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around December 1, as early as November 6 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 280 days (NOAA, Goliad, TX).

Last spring frost
February 25

50% probability

First fall frost
December 1

50% probability

Growing season
280 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
9a

20 to 25°F (-6.7 to -3.9°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
0%

0 of 20 observed

Snow per year
0"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Goliad

Half of springs at Goliad, TX see their last 32°F night by February 25; only one in ten is past it by January 23, and one in ten still has one after March 17. Planting tender crops after March 5 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after March 10 20%, and after March 17 10%. The 20 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 51% of the 339 Texas stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by December 1 in half of years, as early as November 6 one year in ten, and holds off past December 31 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 14 days later, around December 15; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is March 8, 9 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 280 days in a typical year, longer than at 78% of the 339 Texas stations; it reaches 317 days one year in ten and falls short of 246 one year in ten. On average 13 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 12 days longer, to about March 9, and return around November 18. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 67% of winters and 16°F in 9%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FFeb 14Feb 23Mar 1Mar 5Mar 9Mar 12Mar 17Mar 23Mar 31
32°FJan 23Feb 1Feb 13Feb 20Feb 25Mar 1Mar 5Mar 10Mar 17
28°F94% of yrsDec 26Jan 9Jan 22Jan 29Feb 5Feb 14Feb 21Mar 1Mar 8
24°F67% of yrsDec 14Dec 28Jan 4Jan 11Jan 20Jan 28Feb 4Feb 15Feb 27
20°F29% of yrstoo rare for a date
16°F9% of yrstoo rare for a date
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 31Nov 4Nov 9Nov 14Nov 18Nov 23Nov 29Dec 2Dec 8
32°FNov 6Nov 15Nov 21Nov 27Dec 1Dec 4Dec 9Dec 16Dec 31
28°F94% of yrsNov 19Nov 29Dec 4Dec 9Dec 15Dec 22Jan 1Jan 7Jan 19
24°F67% of yrsNov 30Dec 7Dec 16Dec 25Jan 1Jan 6Jan 12Jan 21Feb 5
20°F29% of yrstoo rare for a date
16°F9% of yrstoo rare for a date

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Goliad, TX, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 77963 →Compare Goliad with another place →

Weather by month in Goliad

August is the warmest month at Goliad, TX, averaging 96°F by day and 74°F at night; January is the coldest at 66°F and 43°F. From April to October the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, February still brings one in 68% of years and March still brings one in 43% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 7,732 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 83% of the 351 Texas stations. 43% of them (3,326) have built up by the end of June, and August adds the most, 1,083. Precipitation totals 37.1 inches a year, most in September (4.7") and least in February (1.7"); May to September bring 53% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Goliad, TX
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan66432.785%5196
Feb70471.768%2257
Mar75532.743%1449
Apr81602.70%0623
May87674.50%0840
Jun92733.90%0961
Jul95743.00%01062
Aug96743.40%01083
Sep91704.70%0915
Oct84613.45%0701
Nov75522.345%1407
Dec68452.182%4238

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Goliad, TX (142 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Beeville 5 NE, TX, 24 miles southwest of Goliad, has a last frost 8 days earlier (February 17), a first frost 7 days later (December 8), a season 19 days longer.

Frost dates for 78102 (Beeville) →

When it snows in Goliad, Texas

Measurable snow is rare here: only 0 of 20 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Goliad, TX, 1.9 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 77963

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Goliad, Texas
WhenWhat to do
December 17 – December 31Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
December 31 – January 14Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
January 28 – February 11Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
February 25 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by September 8Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by November 17Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
December 1 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 77963 is 2 miles from Goliad, TX, which stands at 142 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 77963 in zone 9a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 20 to 25°F (-6.7 to -3.9°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Texas →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 9a places in Texas