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USDA Hardiness Zone 9a

Frost Dates for 78233 — Live Oak, Texas

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Randolph AFB, TX (760 ft), 6 miles east.

Updated

In Live Oak, the last spring frost (32°F) is around February 21 in half of years and has passed by March 14 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around December 5, as early as November 16 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 289 days (NOAA, Randolph AFB, TX).

Last spring frost
February 21

50% probability

First fall frost
December 5

50% probability

Growing season
289 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
9a

20 to 25°F (-6.7 to -3.9°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
24%

6 of 25 observed

Snow per year
0.2"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Live Oak

Half of springs at Randolph AFB, TX see their last 32°F night by February 21; only one in ten is past it by January 10, and one in ten still has one after March 14. Planting tender crops after March 2 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after March 6 20%, and after March 14 10%. The 21 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 50% of the 339 Texas stations behind this site's ZIP pages, so a fixed calendar date is a gamble here.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by December 5 in half of years, as early as November 16 one year in ten, and holds off past January 1 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 14 days later, around December 19; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is March 5, 9 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 289 days in a typical year, longer than at 82% of the 339 Texas stations; it reaches 331 days one year in ten and falls short of 259 one year in ten. On average 12 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 13 days longer, to about March 6, and return around November 24. A 24°F night is unusual: 41% of winters had one.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FFeb 13Feb 22Feb 27Mar 3Mar 6Mar 10Mar 14Mar 19Mar 26
32°F99% of yrsJan 10Jan 29Feb 7Feb 14Feb 21Feb 27Mar 2Mar 6Mar 14
28°F83% of yrsDec 18Dec 29Jan 6Jan 16Jan 26Feb 5Feb 15Feb 26Mar 5
24°F41% of yrstoo rare for a date
20°F8% of yrstoo rare for a date
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FNov 4Nov 11Nov 16Nov 21Nov 24Nov 28Dec 1Dec 4Dec 10
32°F99% of yrsNov 16Nov 23Nov 29Dec 2Dec 5Dec 9Dec 15Dec 22Jan 1
28°F83% of yrsNov 28Dec 4Dec 9Dec 14Dec 19Dec 25Jan 1Jan 8Feb 1
24°F41% of yrstoo rare for a date
20°F8% of yrstoo rare for a date

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Randolph AFB, TX, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 78233 →Compare Live Oak with another place →

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, San Antonio International Airport, TX, 7 miles west of Live Oak, has a last frost 5 days later (February 26), a first frost 7 days earlier (November 28), a season 12 days shorter.

Frost dates for 78249 (San Antonio) →

When it snows in Live Oak, Texas

Measurable snow is rare here: only 6 of 25 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at San Antonio International Airport, TX, 7 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 78233

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Live Oak, Texas
WhenWhat to do
December 13 – December 27Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
December 27 – January 10Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
January 24 – February 7Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
February 21 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by September 12Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by November 21Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
December 5 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 78233 is 6 miles from Randolph AFB, TX, which stands at 760 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 8 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 78109 (Converse). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 78233 in zone 9a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 20 to 25°F (-6.7 to -3.9°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Texas →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 9a places in Texas