Frost Dates for 78653 — Manor, Texas

Half of springs at Elgin 1 N, TX see their last 32°F night by March 4; only one in ten is past it by February 12, and one in ten still has one after March 23. Planting tender crops after March 12 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after March 17 20%, and after March 23 10%. The 19 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 63% of the 339 Texas stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 24 in half of years, as early as November 5 one year in ten, and holds off past December 13 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 15 days later, around December 9; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is March 13, 10 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 264 days in a typical year, longer than at 68% of the 339 Texas stations; it reaches 298 days one year in ten and falls short of 238 one year in ten. On average 18 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 14 days longer, to about March 18, and return around November 12. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 89% of winters and 16°F in 16%.

August is the warmest month at Elgin 1 N, TX, averaging 96°F by day and 73°F at night; January is the coldest at 61°F and 39°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from December to January (a 90% chance or more). From April to October the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, February still brings one in 88% of years and March still brings one in 61% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 6,959 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 68% of the 351 Texas stations. 41% of them (2,882) have built up by the end of June, and August adds the most, 1,072. Precipitation totals 36.3 inches a year, most in May (4.9") and least in July (2.0"); May to September bring 42% of it.

The nearest other station, Austin-Camp Mabry, TX, 13 miles west of Manor, has a last frost 12 days earlier (February 20), a first frost 9 days later (December 3), a season 27 days longer.

Measurable snow is rare here: only 2 of 24 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Elgin 1 N, TX, 10.6 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

ZIP 78653 is 11 miles from Elgin 1 N, TX, which stands at 594 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 2 other ZIP codes share the station. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 78653 in zone 9a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 20 to 25°F (-6.7 to -3.9°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.