USDA Hardiness Zone 9a
Frost Dates for 78834 — Carrizo Springs, Texas
NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Carrizo Springs 3S, TX (613 ft), 3 miles southwest.
Updated
In Carrizo Springs, the last spring frost (32°F) is around March 5 in half of years and has passed by March 30 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 22, as early as November 6 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 265 days (NOAA, Carrizo Springs 3S, TX).
- Last spring frost
- March 5
- First fall frost
- November 22
- Growing season
- 265 days
- Hardiness zone
- 9a
50% probability
50% probability
freeze-free, 50%
20 to 25°F (-6.7 to -3.9°C) coldest night
- First snow
- Rare
- Last snow
- Rare
- Winters with snow
- 4%
- Snow per year
- 0.1"
median, 1991–2020
median, 1991–2020
1 of 24 observed
NOAA normal
Frost risk by date in Carrizo Springs
Half of springs at Carrizo Springs 3S, TX see their last 32°F night by March 5; only one in ten is past it by February 10, and one in ten still has one after March 30. Planting tender crops after March 14 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after March 20 20%, and after March 30 10%. The 25 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 82% of the 339 Texas stations behind this site's ZIP pages, so a fixed calendar date is a gamble here.
In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 22 in half of years, as early as November 6 one year in ten, and holds off past December 11 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 13 days later, around December 5; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is March 15, 15 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 265 days in a typical year, longer than at 69% of the 339 Texas stations; it reaches 295 days one year in ten and falls short of 236 one year in ten. On average 25 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 13 days longer, to about March 18, and return around November 12. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 88% of winters and 16°F in 13%.
| Low | 90% | 80% | 70% | 60% | 50% | 40% | 30% | 20% | 10% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Feb 25 | Mar 3 | Mar 9 | Mar 13 | Mar 18 | Mar 22 | Mar 28 | Apr 2 | Apr 8 |
| 32°F | Feb 10 | Feb 19 | Feb 24 | Mar 1 | Mar 5 | Mar 9 | Mar 14 | Mar 20 | Mar 30 |
| 28°F | Jan 19 | Jan 30 | Feb 6 | Feb 13 | Feb 20 | Feb 26 | Mar 3 | Mar 8 | Mar 15 |
| 24°F88% of yrs | Dec 27 | Jan 6 | Jan 14 | Jan 22 | Jan 30 | Feb 5 | Feb 14 | Feb 26 | Mar 6 |
| 20°F50% of yrs | too rare for a date | ||||||||
| 16°F13% of yrs | too rare for a date | ||||||||
| Low | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 29 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 30 |
| 32°F | Nov 6 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 11 |
| 28°F | Nov 16 | Nov 22 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 15 | Dec 24 | Jan 3 |
| 24°F88% of yrs | Nov 27 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 16 | Dec 22 | Dec 30 | Jan 3 | Jan 11 | Feb 1 |
| 20°F50% of yrs | too rare for a date | ||||||||
| 16°F13% of yrs | too rare for a date | ||||||||
Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Carrizo Springs 3S, TX, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.
Frost risk on any date in 78834 →Compare Carrizo Springs with another place →
Weather by month in Carrizo Springs
August is the warmest month at Carrizo Springs 3S, TX, averaging 100°F by day and 74°F at night; January is the coldest at 67°F and 37°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from December to January (a 90% chance or more). From April to October the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, February still brings one in 88% of years and March still brings one in 57% of years.
Warmth for growing adds up to 7,759 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 85% of the 351 Texas stations. 44% of them (3,391) have built up by the end of June, and August adds the most, 1,138. Precipitation totals 19.7 inches a year, most in September (3.3") and least in February (0.8"); May to September bring 56% of it.
| Month | High °F | Low °F | Precip. in | 32°F night | Nights ≤ 32°F | GDD 50°F |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 67 | 37 | 1.0 | 97% | 8 | 138 |
| Feb | 71 | 42 | 0.8 | 88% | 4 | 223 |
| Mar | 78 | 50 | 1.3 | 57% | 2 | 444 |
| Apr | 86 | 57 | 1.2 | 7% | <1 | 651 |
| May | 92 | 66 | 2.9 | 0% | 0 | 896 |
| Jun | 98 | 72 | 1.8 | 0% | 0 | 1039 |
| Jul | 99 | 73 | 1.7 | 0% | 0 | 1118 |
| Aug | 100 | 74 | 1.4 | 0% | 0 | 1138 |
| Sep | 93 | 68 | 3.3 | 0% | 0 | 924 |
| Oct | 86 | 59 | 2.1 | 3% | <1 | 686 |
| Nov | 75 | 47 | 1.2 | 67% | 2 | 349 |
| Dec | 67 | 39 | 1.0 | 92% | 9 | 153 |
Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Carrizo Springs 3S, TX (613 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.
Compared with the next station
The nearest other station, Crystal City, TX, 11 miles north of Carrizo Springs, has a last frost 23 days earlier (February 10), a first frost 18 days later (December 10), a season 42 days longer.
When it snows in Carrizo Springs, Texas
Measurable snow is rare here: only 1 of 24 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Carrizo Springs 3S, TX, 3.2 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.
Planting calendar for 78834
| When | What to do |
|---|---|
| December 25 – January 8 | Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out. |
| January 8 – January 22 | Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early. |
| February 5 – February 19 | Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil. |
| March 5 onward | Transplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast. |
| by August 30 | Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops. |
| by November 8 | Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation. |
| November 22 onward | Plant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter. |
The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.
Where these figures come from
ZIP 78834 is 3 miles from Carrizo Springs 3S, TX, which stands at 613 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 78834 in zone 9a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 20 to 25°F (-6.7 to -3.9°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.
Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.
Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.