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USDA Hardiness Zone 9a

Frost Dates for 78834 — Carrizo Springs, Texas

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Carrizo Springs 3S, TX (613 ft), 3 miles southwest.

Updated

In Carrizo Springs, the last spring frost (32°F) is around March 5 in half of years and has passed by March 30 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 22, as early as November 6 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 265 days (NOAA, Carrizo Springs 3S, TX).

Last spring frost
March 5

50% probability

First fall frost
November 22

50% probability

Growing season
265 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
9a

20 to 25°F (-6.7 to -3.9°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
4%

1 of 24 observed

Snow per year
0.1"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Carrizo Springs

Half of springs at Carrizo Springs 3S, TX see their last 32°F night by March 5; only one in ten is past it by February 10, and one in ten still has one after March 30. Planting tender crops after March 14 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after March 20 20%, and after March 30 10%. The 25 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 82% of the 339 Texas stations behind this site's ZIP pages, so a fixed calendar date is a gamble here.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 22 in half of years, as early as November 6 one year in ten, and holds off past December 11 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 13 days later, around December 5; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is March 15, 15 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 265 days in a typical year, longer than at 69% of the 339 Texas stations; it reaches 295 days one year in ten and falls short of 236 one year in ten. On average 25 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 13 days longer, to about March 18, and return around November 12. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 88% of winters and 16°F in 13%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FFeb 25Mar 3Mar 9Mar 13Mar 18Mar 22Mar 28Apr 2Apr 8
32°FFeb 10Feb 19Feb 24Mar 1Mar 5Mar 9Mar 14Mar 20Mar 30
28°FJan 19Jan 30Feb 6Feb 13Feb 20Feb 26Mar 3Mar 8Mar 15
24°F88% of yrsDec 27Jan 6Jan 14Jan 22Jan 30Feb 5Feb 14Feb 26Mar 6
20°F50% of yrstoo rare for a date
16°F13% of yrstoo rare for a date
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 29Nov 3Nov 6Nov 9Nov 12Nov 15Nov 18Nov 23Nov 30
32°FNov 6Nov 12Nov 16Nov 19Nov 22Nov 27Dec 1Dec 5Dec 11
28°FNov 16Nov 22Nov 28Dec 1Dec 5Dec 9Dec 15Dec 24Jan 3
24°F88% of yrsNov 27Dec 4Dec 9Dec 16Dec 22Dec 30Jan 3Jan 11Feb 1
20°F50% of yrstoo rare for a date
16°F13% of yrstoo rare for a date

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Carrizo Springs 3S, TX, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 78834 →Compare Carrizo Springs with another place →

Weather by month in Carrizo Springs

August is the warmest month at Carrizo Springs 3S, TX, averaging 100°F by day and 74°F at night; January is the coldest at 67°F and 37°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from December to January (a 90% chance or more). From April to October the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, February still brings one in 88% of years and March still brings one in 57% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 7,759 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 85% of the 351 Texas stations. 44% of them (3,391) have built up by the end of June, and August adds the most, 1,138. Precipitation totals 19.7 inches a year, most in September (3.3") and least in February (0.8"); May to September bring 56% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Carrizo Springs 3S, TX
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan67371.097%8138
Feb71420.888%4223
Mar78501.357%2444
Apr86571.27%<1651
May92662.90%0896
Jun98721.80%01039
Jul99731.70%01118
Aug100741.40%01138
Sep93683.30%0924
Oct86592.13%<1686
Nov75471.267%2349
Dec67391.092%9153

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Carrizo Springs 3S, TX (613 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Crystal City, TX, 11 miles north of Carrizo Springs, has a last frost 23 days earlier (February 10), a first frost 18 days later (December 10), a season 42 days longer.

Frost dates for 78839 (Crystal City) →

When it snows in Carrizo Springs, Texas

Measurable snow is rare here: only 1 of 24 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Carrizo Springs 3S, TX, 3.2 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 78834

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Carrizo Springs, Texas
WhenWhat to do
December 25 – January 8Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
January 8 – January 22Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
February 5 – February 19Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
March 5 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 30Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by November 8Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 22 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 78834 is 3 miles from Carrizo Springs 3S, TX, which stands at 613 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 78834 in zone 9a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 20 to 25°F (-6.7 to -3.9°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Texas →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 9a places in Texas