USDA Hardiness Zone 9a
Frost Dates for 78950 — New Ulm, Texas
NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Columbus, TX (225 ft), 15 miles south.
Updated
In New Ulm, the last spring frost (32°F) is around March 9 in half of years and has passed by March 31 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 20, as early as November 1 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 255 days (NOAA, Columbus, TX).
- Last spring frost
- March 9
- First fall frost
- November 20
- Growing season
- 255 days
- Hardiness zone
- 9a
50% probability
50% probability
freeze-free, 50%
20 to 25°F (-6.7 to -3.9°C) coldest night
- First snow
- Rare
- Last snow
- Rare
- Winters with snow
- 0%
- Snow per year
- 0"
median, 1991–2020
median, 1991–2020
0 of 20 observed
NOAA normal
Frost risk by date in New Ulm
Half of springs at Columbus, TX see their last 32°F night by March 9; only one in ten is past it by February 13, and one in ten still has one after March 31. Planting tender crops after March 18 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after March 23 20%, and after March 31 10%. The 22 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 63% of the 339 Texas stations behind this site's ZIP pages, so a fixed calendar date is a gamble here.
In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 20 in half of years, as early as November 1 one year in ten, and holds off past December 13 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 13 days later, around December 3; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is March 19, 12 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 255 days in a typical year, longer than at 59% of the 339 Texas stations; it reaches 291 days one year in ten and falls short of 223 one year in ten. On average 30 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 14 days longer, to about March 23, and return around November 9. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 90% of winters and 16°F in 27%.
| Low | 90% | 80% | 70% | 60% | 50% | 40% | 30% | 20% | 10% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Feb 28 | Mar 6 | Mar 13 | Mar 18 | Mar 23 | Mar 27 | Mar 31 | Apr 5 | Apr 13 |
| 32°F | Feb 13 | Feb 23 | Feb 28 | Mar 4 | Mar 9 | Mar 13 | Mar 18 | Mar 23 | Mar 31 |
| 28°F99% of yrs | Jan 22 | Feb 1 | Feb 13 | Feb 20 | Feb 25 | Feb 28 | Mar 6 | Mar 12 | Mar 19 |
| 24°F90% of yrs | Dec 30 | Jan 13 | Jan 24 | Jan 31 | Feb 7 | Feb 17 | Feb 24 | Mar 1 | Mar 9 |
| 20°F64% of yrs | Dec 15 | Dec 30 | Jan 5 | Jan 13 | Jan 20 | Jan 28 | Feb 4 | Feb 17 | Mar 1 |
| 16°F27% of yrs | too rare for a date | ||||||||
| Low | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 21 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 | Nov 25 | Dec 2 |
| 32°F | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 13 |
| 28°F99% of yrs | Nov 6 | Nov 14 | Nov 22 | Nov 28 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 16 | Dec 27 | Jan 4 |
| 24°F90% of yrs | Nov 17 | Nov 27 | Dec 3 | Dec 9 | Dec 20 | Dec 30 | Jan 4 | Jan 10 | Feb 1 |
| 20°F64% of yrs | Nov 28 | Dec 7 | Dec 16 | Dec 25 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 11 | Jan 20 | Feb 7 |
| 16°F27% of yrs | too rare for a date | ||||||||
Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Columbus, TX, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.
Frost risk on any date in 78950 →Compare New Ulm with another place →
Weather by month in New Ulm
August is the warmest month at Columbus, TX, averaging 98°F by day and 71°F at night; January is the coldest at 64°F and 39°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from December to January (a 90% chance or more). From April to October the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, February still brings one in 86% of years and March still brings one in 63% of years.
Warmth for growing adds up to 7,171 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 73% of the 351 Texas stations. 42% of them (3,031) have built up by the end of June, and August adds the most, 1,062. Precipitation totals 45.1 inches a year, most in June (5.1") and least in February (2.8"); May to September bring 43% of it.
| Month | High °F | Low °F | Precip. in | 32°F night | Nights ≤ 32°F | GDD 50°F |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 64 | 39 | 3.7 | 97% | 10 | 141 |
| Feb | 68 | 43 | 2.8 | 86% | 5 | 207 |
| Mar | 75 | 49 | 3.3 | 63% | 2 | 390 |
| Apr | 81 | 56 | 3.8 | 9% | <1 | 549 |
| May | 88 | 64 | 4.8 | 0% | 0 | 801 |
| Jun | 93 | 70 | 5.1 | 0% | 0 | 943 |
| Jul | 96 | 71 | 2.9 | 0% | 0 | 1039 |
| Aug | 98 | 71 | 3.3 | 0% | 0 | 1062 |
| Sep | 93 | 66 | 3.3 | 0% | 0 | 879 |
| Oct | 85 | 56 | 4.7 | 10% | <1 | 640 |
| Nov | 74 | 47 | 4.0 | 64% | 3 | 340 |
| Dec | 66 | 41 | 3.4 | 91% | 9 | 181 |
Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Columbus, TX (225 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.
Compared with the next station
The nearest other station, Brenham, TX, 18 miles north of New Ulm, has a last frost 7 days earlier (March 2), a first frost 10 days later (November 30), a season 18 days longer.
When it snows in New Ulm, Texas
Measurable snow is rare here: only 0 of 20 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Columbus, TX, 15.2 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.
Planting calendar for 78950
| When | What to do |
|---|---|
| December 29 – January 12 | Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out. |
| January 12 – January 26 | Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early. |
| February 9 – February 23 | Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil. |
| March 9 onward | Transplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast. |
| by August 28 | Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops. |
| by November 6 | Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation. |
| November 20 onward | Plant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter. |
The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.
Where these figures come from
ZIP 78950 is 15 miles from Columbus, TX, which stands at 225 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 2 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 78934 (Columbus). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 78950 in zone 9a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 20 to 25°F (-6.7 to -3.9°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.
Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.
Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.