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USDA Hardiness Zone 5b

Frost Dates for 80107 — Elizabeth, Colorado

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Elizabeth 2NW, CO (6,611 ft), 3 miles southwest.

Updated

In Elizabeth, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 16 in half of years and has passed by June 1 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 2, as early as September 18 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 137 days (NOAA, Elizabeth 2NW, CO).

Last spring frost
May 16

50% probability

First fall frost
October 2

50% probability

Growing season
137 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
5b

-15 to -10°F (-26.1 to -23.3°C) coldest night

First snow
October 16

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
May 2

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

15 of 15 observed

Snow per year
74.8"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Elizabeth

Half of springs at Elizabeth 2NW, CO see their last 32°F night by May 16; only one in ten is past it by May 4, and one in ten still has one after June 1. Planting tender crops after May 22 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 26 20%, and after June 1 10%. The 16 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 75% of the 110 Colorado stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 2 in half of years, as early as September 18 one year in ten, and holds off past October 16 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 8 days later, around October 10; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 19, 13 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 137 days in a typical year, shorter than at 55% of the 110 Colorado stations; it reaches 156 days one year in ten and falls short of 115 one year in ten. On average 170 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 12 days longer, to about May 28, and return around September 24. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 5 and April 4.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 14May 18May 22May 24May 28May 31Jun 2Jun 6Jun 11
32°FMay 4May 8May 11May 13May 16May 19May 22May 26Jun 1
28°FApr 26Apr 29May 1May 4May 6May 8May 11May 14May 19
24°FApr 14Apr 19Apr 23Apr 27Apr 29May 1May 3May 6May 11
20°FMar 31Apr 4Apr 9Apr 13Apr 16Apr 20Apr 24Apr 29May 3
16°FMar 17Mar 24Mar 28Apr 1Apr 4Apr 8Apr 12Apr 18Apr 24
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 11Sep 16Sep 19Sep 22Sep 24Sep 27Sep 29Oct 2Oct 5
32°FSep 18Sep 23Sep 27Sep 30Oct 2Oct 4Oct 7Oct 10Oct 16
28°FSep 26Oct 1Oct 4Oct 7Oct 10Oct 13Oct 16Oct 20Oct 23
24°FOct 4Oct 10Oct 14Oct 17Oct 20Oct 23Oct 26Oct 30Nov 3
20°FOct 13Oct 17Oct 21Oct 25Oct 29Nov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 13
16°FOct 19Oct 25Oct 30Nov 2Nov 5Nov 8Nov 13Nov 16Nov 22

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Elizabeth 2NW, CO, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 80107 →Compare Elizabeth with another place →

Weather by month in Elizabeth

July is the warmest month at Elizabeth 2NW, CO, averaging 85°F by day and 56°F at night; December is the coldest at 43°F and 17°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to May (a 90% chance or more). From July to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, June still brings one in 10% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,321 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 55% of the 110 Colorado stations. 28% of them (658) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 626. Precipitation totals 19.4 inches a year, most in July (3.0") and least in January (0.7"); May to September bring 57% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Elizabeth 2NW, CO
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan43180.7100%291
Feb44181.1100%271
Mar52251.3100%2514
Apr58302.3100%1941
May67402.495%6168
Jun80491.910%<1434
Jul85563.00%0626
Aug82542.30%0560
Sep76471.541%1353
Oct63351.1100%12104
Nov52250.8100%2219
Dec43171.0100%292

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Elizabeth 2NW, CO (6,611 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Parker, CO, 12 miles northwest of Elizabeth and 707 feet lower, has a last frost 7 days earlier (May 9), a first frost 1 day later (October 3), a season 8 days longer.

Frost dates for 80134 (Parker) →

When it snows in Elizabeth, Colorado

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Elizabeth usually arrives around October 16, and the last of the season around May 2. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Elizabeth 2NW, CO, 2.5 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 14 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 80107

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Elizabeth, Colorado
WhenWhat to do
March 7 – March 21Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 21 – April 4Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 18 – May 2Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 16 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 10Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 18Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 2 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 80107 is 3 miles from Elizabeth 2NW, CO, which stands at 6,611 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 2 other ZIP codes share the station. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 80107 in zone 5b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -15 to -10°F (-26.1 to -23.3°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Colorado →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 5b places in Colorado