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USDA Hardiness Zone 9b

Frost Dates for 85296 — Gilbert, Arizona

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Chandler Heights, AZ (1,425 ft), 9 miles southeast.

Updated

In Gilbert, the last spring frost (32°F) is around February 1 in half of years and has passed by February 27 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around December 11, as early as November 23 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 315 days (NOAA, Chandler Heights, AZ).

Last spring frost
February 1

50% probability

First fall frost
December 11

50% probability

Growing season
315 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
9b

25 to 30°F (-3.9 to -1.1°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
0%

0 of 15 observed

Snow per year
—

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Gilbert

Half of springs at Chandler Heights, AZ see their last 32°F night by February 1; only one in ten is past it by January 2, and one in ten still has one after February 27. Planting tender crops after February 12 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after February 18 20%, and after February 27 10%. The 26 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 67% of the 98 Arizona stations behind this site's ZIP pages, so a fixed calendar date is a gamble here.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by December 11 in half of years, as early as November 23 one year in ten, and holds off past January 1 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 15 days later, around December 26; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is February 11, 16 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 315 days in a typical year, longer than at 80% of the 98 Arizona stations; it reaches 347 days one year in ten and falls short of 281 one year in ten. On average 11 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 20 days longer, to about February 21, and return around November 28. A 24°F night is unusual: 12% of winters had one.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FJan 29Feb 5Feb 11Feb 16Feb 21Feb 26Mar 2Mar 6Mar 11
32°F99% of yrsJan 2Jan 8Jan 17Jan 24Feb 1Feb 5Feb 12Feb 18Feb 27
28°F70% of yrsDec 15Dec 24Dec 31Jan 3Jan 8Jan 15Jan 24Feb 2Feb 11
24°F12% of yrstoo rare for a date
20°F0% of yrstoo rare for a date
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FNov 12Nov 18Nov 22Nov 25Nov 28Dec 1Dec 5Dec 9Dec 14
32°F99% of yrsNov 23Nov 29Dec 3Dec 7Dec 11Dec 15Dec 19Dec 25Jan 1
28°F70% of yrsDec 4Dec 11Dec 16Dec 21Dec 26Dec 30Jan 2Jan 12Jan 29
24°F12% of yrstoo rare for a date
20°F0% of yrstoo rare for a date

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Chandler Heights, AZ, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 85296 →Compare Gilbert with another place →

Weather by month in Gilbert

July is the warmest month at Chandler Heights, AZ, averaging 104°F by day and 79°F at night; December is the coldest at 64°F and 39°F. From March to October the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, February still brings one in 46% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 7,921 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 75% of the 102 Arizona stations. 41% of them (3,234) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 1,282.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Chandler Heights, AZ
MonthHigh °FLow °F32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan664181%3128
Feb704346%1185
Mar77488%<1384
Apr85530%0570
May93620%0859
Jun103710%01109
Jul104790%01282
Aug103780%01243
Sep98720%01042
Oct87590%0705
Nov744721%1319
Dec643986%596

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Chandler Heights, AZ (1,425 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, E Mesa, AZ, 10 miles northeast of Gilbert, has the same 50% last-frost date, a first frost 1 day earlier (December 10), a season 3 days shorter.

Frost dates for 85212 (Mesa) →

When it snows in Gilbert, Arizona

Measurable snow is rare here: only 0 of 15 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Chandler Heights, AZ, 9.1 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 85296

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Gilbert, Arizona
WhenWhat to do
November 23 – December 7Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
December 7 – December 21Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
January 4 – January 18Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
February 1 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by September 18Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by November 27Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
December 11 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 85296 is 9 miles from Chandler Heights, AZ, which stands at 1,425 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 9 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 85142 (Queen Creek). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 85296 in zone 9b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 25 to 30°F (-3.9 to -1.1°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Arizona →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 9b places in Arizona