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USDA Hardiness Zone 9b

Frost Dates for 85653 — Marana, Arizona

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Tucson 17 NW, AZ (2,561 ft), 14 miles south.

Updated

In Marana, the last spring frost (32°F) is around February 23 in half of years and has passed by March 22 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around December 6, as early as November 18 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 287 days (NOAA, Tucson 17 NW, AZ).

Last spring frost
February 23

50% probability

First fall frost
December 6

50% probability

Growing season
287 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
9b

25 to 30°F (-3.9 to -1.1°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
5%

1 of 19 observed

Snow per year
0"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Marana

Half of springs at Tucson 17 NW, AZ see their last 32°F night by February 23; only one in ten is past it by January 15, and one in ten still has one after March 22. Planting tender crops after March 5 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after March 11 20%, and after March 22 10%. The 27 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 71% of the 98 Arizona stations behind this site's ZIP pages, so a fixed calendar date is a gamble here.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by December 6 in half of years, as early as November 18 one year in ten, and holds off past December 25 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 13 days later, around December 19; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is March 1, 21 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 287 days in a typical year, longer than at 67% of the 98 Arizona stations; it reaches 324 days one year in ten and falls short of 254 one year in ten. On average 11 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 20 days longer, to about March 15, and return around November 24. A 24°F night is unusual: 38% of winters had one.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FFeb 22Feb 28Mar 6Mar 10Mar 15Mar 20Mar 26Apr 1Apr 10
32°FJan 15Jan 31Feb 9Feb 16Feb 23Mar 1Mar 5Mar 11Mar 22
28°F87% of yrsDec 19Dec 30Jan 4Jan 11Jan 22Feb 1Feb 7Feb 15Mar 1
24°F38% of yrstoo rare for a date
20°F7% of yrstoo rare for a date
16°F1% of yrstoo rare for a date
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FNov 7Nov 13Nov 17Nov 21Nov 24Nov 28Dec 2Dec 5Dec 10
32°FNov 18Nov 24Nov 29Dec 3Dec 6Dec 9Dec 12Dec 17Dec 25
28°F87% of yrsNov 30Dec 5Dec 10Dec 14Dec 19Dec 24Dec 29Jan 5Jan 22
24°F38% of yrstoo rare for a date
20°F7% of yrstoo rare for a date
16°F1% of yrstoo rare for a date

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Tucson 17 NW, AZ, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 85653 →Compare Marana with another place →

Weather by month in Marana

July is the warmest month at Tucson 17 NW, AZ, averaging 102°F by day and 74°F at night; December is the coldest at 66°F and 39°F. A freezing night is all but certain in December (a 90% chance or more). From April to October the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, February still brings one in 63% of years and March still brings one in 38% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 7,494 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 67% of the 102 Arizona stations. 41% of them (3,069) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 1,175. Precipitation totals 11.1 inches a year, most in July (2.1") and least in May (0.2"); May to September bring 53% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Tucson 17 NW, AZ
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan67391.087%3141
Feb70411.063%2178
Mar76460.738%<1348
Apr84510.35%<1529
May93590.20%0805
Jun102690.30%01068
Jul102742.10%01175
Aug100732.00%01122
Sep97681.30%0964
Oct87570.70%0687
Nov76470.534%1345
Dec66391.090%5132

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Tucson 17 NW, AZ (2,561 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Picacho 8 SE, AZ, 16 miles northwest of Marana and 580 feet lower, has a last frost 17 days earlier (February 6), a first frost 3 days later (December 9), a season 21 days longer.

Frost dates for 85145 (Red Rock) →

When it snows in Marana, Arizona

Measurable snow is rare here: only 1 of 19 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Tucson 17 NW, AZ, 14.4 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 85653

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Marana, Arizona
WhenWhat to do
December 15 – December 29Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
December 29 – January 12Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
January 26 – February 9Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
February 23 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by September 13Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by November 22Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
December 6 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 85653 is 14 miles from Tucson 17 NW, AZ, which stands at 2,561 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 1 other ZIP code shares the station; its figures are presented in full for 85743 (Tucson). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 85653 in zone 9b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 25 to 30°F (-3.9 to -1.1°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Arizona →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 9b places in Arizona