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USDA Hardiness Zone 9b

Frost Dates for 85715 — Tucson, Arizona

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Saguaro Np, AZ (3,080 ft), 7 miles southeast.

Updated

In Tucson, the last spring frost (32°F) is around January 26 in half of years and has passed by February 25 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around December 16, as early as November 26 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 326 days (NOAA, Saguaro Np, AZ).

Last spring frost
January 26

50% probability

First fall frost
December 16

50% probability

Growing season
326 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
9b

25 to 30°F (-3.9 to -1.1°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
0%

0 of 20 observed

Snow per year
0"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Tucson

Half of springs at Saguaro Np, AZ see their last 32°F night by January 26; only one in ten is past it by December 24, and one in ten still has one after February 25. Planting tender crops after February 6 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after February 14 20%, and after February 25 10%. The 30 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 83% of the 98 Arizona stations behind this site's ZIP pages, so a fixed calendar date is a gamble here.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by December 16 in half of years, as early as November 26 one year in ten, and holds off past January 17 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 12 days later, around December 28; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is February 9, 16 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 326 days in a typical year, longer than at 84% of the 98 Arizona stations; it reaches 359 days one year in ten and falls short of 291 one year in ten. On average 8 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 27 days longer, to about February 22, and return around December 2. A 24°F night is unusual: 12% of winters had one.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FJan 22Feb 2Feb 9Feb 15Feb 22Feb 28Mar 4Mar 8Mar 18
32°F93% of yrsDec 24Jan 1Jan 9Jan 17Jan 26Feb 2Feb 6Feb 14Feb 25
28°F55% of yrsDec 14Dec 22Dec 29Jan 1Jan 7Jan 13Jan 25Feb 3Feb 9
24°F12% of yrstoo rare for a date
20°F2% of yrstoo rare for a date
16°F0% of yrstoo rare for a date
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FNov 16Nov 21Nov 25Nov 29Dec 2Dec 5Dec 8Dec 12Dec 18
32°F93% of yrsNov 26Dec 3Dec 8Dec 12Dec 16Dec 20Dec 24Jan 1Jan 17
28°F55% of yrsDec 9Dec 14Dec 19Dec 24Dec 28Jan 2Jan 10Jan 21Feb 3
24°F12% of yrstoo rare for a date
20°F2% of yrstoo rare for a date
16°F0% of yrstoo rare for a date

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Saguaro Np, AZ, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 85715 →Compare Tucson with another place →

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Tucson Camp Ave Exp, AZ, 7 miles west of Tucson and 750 feet lower, has a last frost 25 days later (February 20), a first frost 19 days earlier (November 27), a season 46 days shorter.

Frost dates for 85712 (Tucson) →

When it snows in Tucson, Arizona

Measurable snow is rare here: only 0 of 20 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Tucson Camp Ave Exp, AZ, 7.2 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 85715

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Tucson, Arizona
WhenWhat to do
November 17 – December 1Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
December 1 – December 15Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
December 29 – January 12Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
January 26 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by September 23Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by December 2Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
December 16 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 85715 is 7 miles from Saguaro Np, AZ, which stands at 3,080 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 5 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 85710 (Tucson). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 85715 in zone 9b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 25 to 30°F (-3.9 to -1.1°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Arizona →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 9b places in Arizona