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USDA Hardiness Zone 7a

Frost Dates for 88346 — Ruidoso Downs, New Mexico

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Ruidoso, NM (6,930 ft), 6 miles west.

Updated

In Ruidoso Downs, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 11 in half of years and has passed by May 22 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 5, as early as September 24 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 147 days (NOAA, Ruidoso, NM).

Last spring frost
May 11

50% probability

First fall frost
October 5

50% probability

Growing season
147 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
7a

0 to 5°F (-17.8 to -15.0°C) coldest night

First snow
November 15

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
March 29

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

20 of 20 observed

Snow per year
27.3"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Ruidoso Downs

Half of springs at Ruidoso, NM see their last 32°F night by May 11; only one in ten is past it by April 30, and one in ten still has one after May 22. Planting tender crops after May 16 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 18 20%, and after May 22 10%. The 11 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is the narrowest of the 70 New Mexico stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 5 in half of years, as early as September 24 one year in ten, and holds off past October 20 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 12 days later, around October 17; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 11, 11 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 147 days in a typical year, shorter than at 69% of the 70 New Mexico stations; it reaches 165 days one year in ten and falls short of 129 one year in ten. On average 156 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 12 days longer, to about May 23, and return around September 26. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 17 and March 17.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 11May 15May 18May 21May 23May 26May 30Jun 2Jun 5
32°FApr 30May 4May 6May 9May 11May 13May 16May 18May 22
28°FApr 15Apr 20Apr 24Apr 27Apr 30May 3May 5May 8May 11
24°FApr 1Apr 5Apr 9Apr 13Apr 16Apr 20Apr 23Apr 27May 2
20°FMar 15Mar 22Mar 28Apr 1Apr 4Apr 6Apr 10Apr 15Apr 20
16°FFeb 19Mar 2Mar 7Mar 12Mar 17Mar 22Mar 27Apr 2Apr 6
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 12Sep 17Sep 20Sep 23Sep 26Sep 28Oct 1Oct 3Oct 6
32°FSep 24Sep 27Sep 30Oct 3Oct 5Oct 8Oct 11Oct 15Oct 20
28°FOct 3Oct 7Oct 11Oct 14Oct 17Oct 20Oct 22Oct 27Nov 1
24°FOct 13Oct 18Oct 22Oct 25Oct 29Nov 1Nov 3Nov 5Nov 9
20°FOct 24Oct 29Nov 2Nov 4Nov 6Nov 10Nov 13Nov 16Nov 21
16°FNov 1Nov 5Nov 10Nov 14Nov 17Nov 20Nov 23Nov 27Dec 4

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Ruidoso, NM, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 88346 →Compare Ruidoso Downs with another place →

Weather by month in Ruidoso Downs

July is the warmest month at Ruidoso, NM, averaging 81°F by day and 51°F at night; January is the coldest at 49°F and 21°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 89% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,048 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 94% of the 70 New Mexico stations. 35% of them (714) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 502. Precipitation totals 22.0 inches a year, most in July (4.3") and least in April (0.7"); May to September bring 65% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Ruidoso, NM
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan49211.1100%270
Feb51231.0100%242
Mar58270.9100%249
Apr65330.7100%1555
May73401.289%3215
Jun82472.11%0433
Jul81514.30%0502
Aug79504.20%0446
Sep75442.530%1289
Oct67351.798%1292
Nov56260.8100%235
Dec48221.5100%270

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Ruidoso, NM (6,930 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Capitan, NM, 13 miles north of Ruidoso Downs and 450 feet lower, has a last frost 8 days earlier (May 3), a first frost 7 days later (October 12), a season 14 days longer.

Frost dates for 88316 (Capitan) →

When it snows in Ruidoso Downs, New Mexico

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Ruidoso Downs usually arrives around November 15, and the last of the season around March 29. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Capitan, NM, 13.1 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 43 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 88346

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Ruidoso Downs, New Mexico
WhenWhat to do
March 2 – March 16Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 16 – March 30Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 13 – April 27Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 11 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 13Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 21Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 5 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 88346 is 6 miles from Ruidoso, NM, which stands at 6,930 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 2 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 88345 (Ruidoso). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 88346 in zone 7a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 0 to 5°F (-17.8 to -15.0°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across New Mexico →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 7a places in New Mexico