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USDA Hardiness Zone 10a

Frost Dates for 92078 — San Marcos, California

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Escondido #2, CA (600 ft), 4 miles east.

Updated

Frost is not a yearly event in San Marcos: a night at or below 32°F came in 39% of the winters of 1991–2020 at Escondido #2, CA, and a 36°F night, cold enough for frost on exposed leaves, in 94%. There is no reliable "last frost date" here; most years have none.

Winters with a freeze
39%

32°F or below, 1991–2020

Winters with 36°F
94%

frost possible on leaves

Coldest month low
44°F

average, December

Hardiness zone
10a

30 to 35°F (-1.1 to 1.7°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
0%

0 of 17 observed

Snow per year
0"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in San Marcos

At Escondido #2, CA, 4 miles east of San Marcos, 39% of the winters of 1991–2020 had at least one night at or below 32°F, 3% reached 28°F. Nights of 36°F, enough for frost on exposed leaves, are more common (94% of winters) and, when they come, fall between about December 18 and January 31. December is the month most likely to bring one: a 21% chance in a given year. 62 of the 283 other California stations behind this site's ZIP pages freeze in fewer than half of winters too.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°F94% of yrsDec 29Jan 5Jan 13Jan 21Jan 31Feb 5Feb 13Feb 21Mar 1
32°F39% of yrstoo rare for a date
28°F3% of yrstoo rare for a date
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°F94% of yrsNov 27Dec 4Dec 10Dec 14Dec 18Dec 22Dec 26Jan 1Jan 19
32°F39% of yrstoo rare for a date
28°F3% of yrstoo rare for a date

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Escondido #2, CA, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 92078 →Compare San Marcos with another place →

Weather by month in San Marcos

August is the warmest month at Escondido #2, CA, averaging 89°F by day and 65°F at night; December is the coldest at 68°F and 44°F. From February to November the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month.

Warmth for growing adds up to 5,796 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 86% of the 283 California stations. 39% of them (2,268) have built up by the end of June, and August adds the most, 842. Precipitation totals 14.7 inches a year, most in February (3.6") and least in June (0.1"); May to September bring 6% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Escondido #2, CA
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan69453.216%1216
Feb69463.65%<1208
Mar71492.20%0309
Apr74521.00%0390
May77560.40%0513
Jun82600.10%0632
Jul87640.10%0800
Aug89650.10%0842
Sep87630.20%0750
Oct81570.60%0591
Nov75491.11%<1356
Dec68442.121%1189

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Escondido #2, CA (600 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Carlsbad Palomar Airport, CA, 7 miles west of San Marcos and 272 feet lower, has a 32°F night in 1% of winters against 39% here, and a coolest-month low 3°F warmer (47°F).

Frost dates for 92024 (Encinitas) →

When it snows in San Marcos, California

Measurable snow is rare here: only 0 of 17 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Escondido #2, CA, 3.8 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 92078 is 4 miles from Escondido #2, CA, which stands at 600 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 5 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 92027 (Escondido). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 92078 in zone 10a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 30 to 35°F (-1.1 to 1.7°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across California →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 10a places in California