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USDA Hardiness Zone 9b

Frost Dates for 93924 — Carmel Valley, California

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Carmel Valley, CA (480 ft), 3 miles northwest.

Updated

In Carmel Valley, the last spring frost (32°F) is around February 20 in half of years and has passed by March 27 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around December 8, as early as November 14 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 294 days (NOAA, Carmel Valley, CA).

Last spring frost
February 20

50% probability

First fall frost
December 8

50% probability

Growing season
294 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
9b

25 to 30°F (-3.9 to -1.1°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
0%

0 of 20 observed

Snow per year
0"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Carmel Valley

Half of springs at Carmel Valley, CA see their last 32°F night by February 20; only one in ten is past it by January 3, and one in ten still has one after March 27. Planting tender crops after March 5 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after March 13 20%, and after March 27 10%. The 35 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 71% of the 220 California stations behind this site's ZIP pages, so a fixed calendar date is a gamble here.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by December 8 in half of years, as early as November 14 one year in ten, and holds off past January 16 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 14 days later, around December 22; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is February 16, 39 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 294 days in a typical year, longer than at 62% of the 219 California stations; it reaches 343 days one year in ten and falls short of 250 one year in ten. On average 12 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 52 days longer, to about April 13, and return around November 17. A 24°F night is unusual: 9% of winters had one.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMar 13Mar 26Apr 2Apr 7Apr 13Apr 18Apr 25May 1May 12
32°F98% of yrsJan 3Jan 18Jan 31Feb 10Feb 20Feb 27Mar 5Mar 13Mar 27
28°F55% of yrsDec 6Dec 18Dec 25Dec 30Jan 3Jan 11Jan 17Jan 28Feb 16
24°F9% of yrstoo rare for a date
20°F0% of yrstoo rare for a date
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FNov 1Nov 4Nov 9Nov 13Nov 17Nov 22Nov 28Dec 2Dec 9
32°F98% of yrsNov 14Nov 22Nov 29Dec 3Dec 8Dec 13Dec 19Dec 29Jan 16
28°F55% of yrsNov 27Dec 5Dec 11Dec 17Dec 22Dec 27Jan 1Jan 9Jan 27
24°F9% of yrstoo rare for a date
20°F0% of yrstoo rare for a date

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Carmel Valley, CA, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 93924 →Compare Carmel Valley with another place →

Weather by month in Carmel Valley

September is the warmest month at Carmel Valley, CA, averaging 81°F by day and 51°F at night; December is the coldest at 63°F and 40°F. From April to October the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, February still brings one in 50% of years and March still brings one in 31% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 3,207 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 80% of the 283 California stations. 36% of them (1,154) have built up by the end of June, and September adds the most, 469. Precipitation totals 17.9 inches a year, most in January (3.9") and least in July (0.0"); May to September bring 4% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Carmel Valley, CA
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan63403.963%396
Feb64413.550%398
Mar67422.831%1150
Apr69431.47%<1178
May71460.50%0267
Jun76480.10%0365
Jul79510.00%0457
Aug80510.10%0468
Sep81510.10%0469
Oct78480.80%0396
Nov69421.732%1182
Dec63403.072%581

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Carmel Valley, CA (480 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Monterey WFO, CA, 14 miles northwest of Carmel Valley and 358 feet lower, has a 32°F night in 47% of winters against 98% here, and a coolest-month low 3°F warmer (43°F).

Frost dates for 93955 (Seaside) →

When it snows in Carmel Valley, California

Measurable snow is rare here: only 0 of 20 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at San Clemente Dam, CA, 1.5 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 93924

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Carmel Valley, California
WhenWhat to do
December 12 – December 26Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
December 26 – January 9Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
January 23 – February 6Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
February 20 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by September 15Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by November 24Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
December 8 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 93924 is 3 miles from Carmel Valley, CA, which stands at 480 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 93924 in zone 9b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 25 to 30°F (-3.9 to -1.1°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across California →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 9b places in California