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USDA Hardiness Zone 9b

Frost Dates for 95046 — San Martin, California

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Gilroy, CA (194 ft), 6 miles south.

Updated

In San Martin, the last spring frost (32°F) is around February 24 in half of years and has passed by April 4 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 27, as early as November 10 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 277 days (NOAA, Gilroy, CA).

Last spring frost
February 24

50% probability

First fall frost
November 27

50% probability

Growing season
277 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
9b

25 to 30°F (-3.9 to -1.1°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
0%

0 of 20 observed

Snow per year
0"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in San Martin

Half of springs at Gilroy, CA see their last 32°F night by February 24; only one in ten is past it by January 23, and one in ten still has one after April 4. Planting tender crops after March 8 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after March 21 20%, and after April 4 10%. The 39 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 85% of the 220 California stations behind this site's ZIP pages, so a fixed calendar date is a gamble here.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 27 in half of years, as early as November 10 one year in ten, and holds off past December 18 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 15 days later, around December 12; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is February 19, 44 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 277 days in a typical year, shorter than at 50% of the 219 California stations; it reaches 317 days one year in ten and falls short of 228 one year in ten. On average 16 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 39 days longer, to about April 4, and return around November 10. A 24°F night is unusual: 49% of winters had one.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMar 4Mar 13Mar 23Mar 30Apr 4Apr 10Apr 15Apr 21May 1
32°FJan 23Feb 1Feb 11Feb 17Feb 24Mar 1Mar 8Mar 21Apr 4
28°F91% of yrsDec 22Dec 30Jan 4Jan 9Jan 16Jan 23Jan 31Feb 5Feb 19
24°F49% of yrstoo rare for a date
20°F12% of yrstoo rare for a date
16°F2% of yrstoo rare for a date
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 20Oct 30Nov 3Nov 6Nov 10Nov 13Nov 17Nov 22Nov 29
32°FNov 10Nov 16Nov 20Nov 23Nov 27Dec 1Dec 4Dec 9Dec 18
28°F91% of yrsNov 24Dec 1Dec 5Dec 9Dec 12Dec 18Dec 24Jan 1Jan 14
24°F49% of yrstoo rare for a date
20°F12% of yrstoo rare for a date
16°F2% of yrstoo rare for a date

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Gilroy, CA, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 95046 →Compare San Martin with another place →

Weather by month in San Martin

August is the warmest month at Gilroy, CA, averaging 87°F by day and 54°F at night; December is the coldest at 60°F and 37°F. From May to October the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, February still brings one in 69% of years and March still brings one in 32% of years and April still brings one in 12% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 3,961 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 61% of the 283 California stations. 38% of them (1,495) have built up by the end of June, and August adds the most, 645. Precipitation totals 19.9 inches a year, most in January (4.6") and least in July (0.0"); May to September bring 4% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Gilroy, CA
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan61384.689%549
Feb64404.369%293
Mar68432.632%1179
Apr72451.312%<1250
May77490.61%0408
Jun83520.20%0516
Jul87540.00%0639
Aug87540.00%0645
Sep85530.02%0561
Oct79480.90%0414
Nov68421.756%2166
Dec60373.790%742

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Gilroy, CA (194 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Watsonville Wtr Wks, CA, 14 miles southwest of San Martin, has a last frost 27 days earlier (January 28), a first frost 16 days later (December 13), a season 47 days longer.

Frost dates for 95076 (Watsonville) →

When it snows in San Martin, California

Measurable snow is rare here: only 0 of 20 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Gilroy, CA, 6.3 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 95046

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for San Martin, California
WhenWhat to do
December 16 – December 30Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
December 30 – January 13Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
January 27 – February 10Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
February 24 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by September 4Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by November 13Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 27 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 95046 is 6 miles from Gilroy, CA, which stands at 194 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 2 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 95020 (Gilroy). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 95046 in zone 9b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 25 to 30°F (-3.9 to -1.1°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across California →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 9b places in California