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USDA Hardiness Zone 9b

Frost Dates for 95376 — Tracy, California

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Tracy Carbona, CA (135 ft), 5 miles southeast.

Updated

In Tracy, the last spring frost (32°F) is around February 25 in half of years and has passed by April 6 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 26, as early as November 8 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 272 days (NOAA, Tracy Carbona, CA).

Last spring frost
February 25

50% probability

First fall frost
November 26

50% probability

Growing season
272 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
9b

25 to 30°F (-3.9 to -1.1°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
0%

0 of 22 observed

Snow per year
—

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Tracy

Half of springs at Tracy Carbona, CA see their last 32°F night by February 25; only one in ten is past it by January 24, and one in ten still has one after April 6. Planting tender crops after March 9 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after March 28 20%, and after April 6 10%. The 40 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 85% of the 220 California stations behind this site's ZIP pages, so a fixed calendar date is a gamble here.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 26 in half of years, as early as November 8 one year in ten, and holds off past December 12 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 15 days later, around December 11; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is February 21, 44 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 272 days in a typical year, shorter than at 54% of the 219 California stations; it reaches 306 days one year in ten and falls short of 228 one year in ten. On average 26 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 37 days longer, to about April 3, and return around November 12. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 58% of winters and 16°F in 1%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FFeb 28Mar 11Mar 22Mar 31Apr 3Apr 8Apr 12Apr 17Apr 23
32°FJan 24Feb 5Feb 12Feb 19Feb 25Mar 1Mar 9Mar 28Apr 6
28°F95% of yrsDec 26Jan 1Jan 6Jan 12Jan 18Jan 27Feb 2Feb 11Feb 21
24°F58% of yrsDec 16Dec 24Dec 28Dec 31Jan 3Jan 6Jan 11Jan 18Feb 4
20°F16% of yrstoo rare for a date
16°F1% of yrstoo rare for a date
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 26Nov 1Nov 5Nov 9Nov 12Nov 15Nov 18Nov 21Nov 26
32°FNov 8Nov 16Nov 20Nov 23Nov 26Nov 29Dec 2Dec 6Dec 12
28°F95% of yrsNov 25Dec 1Dec 4Dec 8Dec 11Dec 16Dec 21Dec 27Jan 4
24°F58% of yrsDec 5Dec 12Dec 16Dec 21Dec 24Dec 29Jan 1Jan 6Jan 14
20°F16% of yrstoo rare for a date
16°F1% of yrstoo rare for a date

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Tracy Carbona, CA, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 95376 →Compare Tracy with another place →

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Tracy Pumping Plt, CA, 10 miles northwest of Tracy, has a last frost 37 days earlier (January 19), a first frost 14 days later (December 10), a season 58 days longer.

Frost dates for 95391 (Mountain House) →

When it snows in Tracy, California

Measurable snow is rare here: only 0 of 22 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Tracy Carbona, CA, 5.3 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 95376

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Tracy, California
WhenWhat to do
December 17 – December 31Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
December 31 – January 14Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
January 28 – February 11Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
February 25 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by September 3Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by November 12Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 26 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 95376 is 5 miles from Tracy Carbona, CA, which stands at 135 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 1 other ZIP code shares the station. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 95376 in zone 9b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 25 to 30°F (-3.9 to -1.1°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across California →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 9b places in California