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USDA Hardiness Zone 10a

Frost Dates for 95460 — Mendocino, California

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Fort Bragg 5 N, CA (123 ft), 14 miles north.

Updated

In Mendocino, the last spring frost (32°F) is around March 2 in half of years and has passed by April 6 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around December 1, as early as November 9 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 272 days (NOAA, Fort Bragg 5 N, CA).

Last spring frost
March 2

50% probability

First fall frost
December 1

50% probability

Growing season
272 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
10a

30 to 35°F (-1.1 to 1.7°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
0%

0 of 20 observed

Snow per year
0"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Mendocino

Half of springs at Fort Bragg 5 N, CA see their last 32°F night by March 2; only one in ten is past it by January 8, and one in ten still has one after April 6. Planting tender crops after March 18 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after March 28 20%, and after April 6 10%. The 35 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 71% of the 220 California stations behind this site's ZIP pages, so a fixed calendar date is a gamble here.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by December 1 in half of years, as early as November 9 one year in ten, and holds off past January 11 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 20 days later, around December 21; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is February 21, 44 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 272 days in a typical year, shorter than at 54% of the 219 California stations; it reaches 323 days one year in ten and falls short of 234 one year in ten. On average 12 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 45 days longer, to about April 16, and return around November 6. A 24°F night is unusual: 3% of winters had one.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMar 26Apr 3Apr 9Apr 13Apr 16Apr 21Apr 26May 1May 11
32°F98% of yrsJan 8Jan 30Feb 14Feb 24Mar 2Mar 9Mar 18Mar 28Apr 6
28°F55% of yrsDec 5Dec 18Dec 26Dec 31Jan 7Jan 15Jan 25Feb 5Feb 21
24°F3% of yrstoo rare for a date
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 13Oct 23Oct 30Nov 2Nov 6Nov 10Nov 16Nov 22Nov 30
32°F98% of yrsNov 9Nov 17Nov 22Nov 27Dec 1Dec 5Dec 10Dec 22Jan 11
28°F55% of yrsNov 22Dec 2Dec 7Dec 11Dec 21Dec 29Jan 4Jan 16Feb 4
24°F3% of yrstoo rare for a date

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Fort Bragg 5 N, CA, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 95460 →Compare Mendocino with another place →

Weather by month in Mendocino

August is the warmest month at Fort Bragg 5 N, CA, averaging 65°F by day and 50°F at night; December is the coldest at 52°F and 40°F. From May to October the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, February still brings one in 56% of years and March still brings one in 41% of years and April still brings one in 16% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 1,186 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 99% of the 283 California stations. 29% of them (349) have built up by the end of June, and August adds the most, 231. Precipitation totals 43.4 inches a year, most in December (8.7") and least in July (0.1"); May to September bring 6% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Fort Bragg 5 N, CA
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan52407.765%313
Feb54417.356%319
Mar55416.441%125
Apr57423.616%143
May60451.60%093
Jun63470.70%0156
Jul65490.10%0217
Aug65500.11%0231
Sep65490.30%0202
Oct62462.31%0130
Nov56434.643%144
Dec52408.768%413

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Fort Bragg 5 N, CA (123 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Willits 1 NE, CA, 25 miles east of Mendocino and 1,230 feet higher, has a last frost 64 days later (May 5), a first frost 53 days earlier (October 9), a season 115 days shorter.

Frost dates for 95490 (Willits) →

When it snows in Mendocino, California

Measurable snow is rare here: only 0 of 20 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Fort Bragg 5 N, CA, 13.8 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 95460

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Mendocino, California
WhenWhat to do
December 22 – January 5Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
January 5 – January 19Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
February 2 – February 16Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
March 2 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by September 8Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by November 17Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
December 1 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 95460 is 14 miles from Fort Bragg 5 N, CA, which stands at 123 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 1 other ZIP code shares the station; its figures are presented in full for 95437 (Fort Bragg). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 95460 in zone 10a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 30 to 35°F (-1.1 to 1.7°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across California →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 10a places in California