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USDA Hardiness Zone 7b

Frost Dates for 11733 — East Setauket, New York

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Setauket Strong, NY (40 ft), 2 miles north.

Updated

In East Setauket, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 15 in half of years and has passed by May 4 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 10, as early as October 27 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 208 days (NOAA, Setauket Strong, NY).

Last spring frost
April 15

50% probability

First fall frost
November 10

50% probability

Growing season
208 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
7b

5 to 10°F (-15.0 to -12.2°C) coldest night

First snow
December 11

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
March 20

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

30 of 30 observed

Snow per year
31.8"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in East Setauket

Half of springs at Setauket Strong, NY see their last 32°F night by April 15; only one in ten is past it by April 1, and one in ten still has one after May 4. Planting tender crops after April 23 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 29 20%, and after May 4 10%. The 19 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 98% of the 173 New York stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 10 in half of years, as early as October 27 one year in ten, and holds off past November 24 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 11 days later, around November 21; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 19, 15 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 208 days in a typical year, longer than at 91% of the 173 New York stations; it reaches 230 days one year in ten and falls short of 185 one year in ten. On average 96 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 15 days longer, to about April 30, and return around October 29. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes in 99% of winters, usually between December 30 and February 24.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 15Apr 19Apr 23Apr 26Apr 30May 3May 6May 10May 15
32°FApr 1Apr 5Apr 8Apr 12Apr 15Apr 18Apr 23Apr 29May 4
28°FMar 14Mar 21Mar 26Mar 29Mar 31Apr 3Apr 5Apr 9Apr 19
24°FMar 2Mar 8Mar 12Mar 15Mar 18Mar 22Mar 27Mar 30Apr 3
20°FFeb 18Feb 25Feb 28Mar 4Mar 6Mar 10Mar 13Mar 16Mar 23
16°F99% of yrsFeb 1Feb 9Feb 15Feb 19Feb 24Feb 28Mar 3Mar 6Mar 12
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 14Oct 19Oct 23Oct 26Oct 29Nov 1Nov 3Nov 6Nov 10
32°FOct 27Nov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 10Nov 12Nov 15Nov 19Nov 24
28°FNov 9Nov 13Nov 16Nov 19Nov 21Nov 25Nov 28Dec 1Dec 5
24°FNov 18Nov 23Nov 28Dec 1Dec 3Dec 6Dec 9Dec 15Dec 21
20°FDec 1Dec 4Dec 8Dec 11Dec 15Dec 20Dec 23Dec 29Jan 5
16°F99% of yrsDec 7Dec 14Dec 21Dec 25Dec 30Jan 3Jan 8Jan 14Jan 24

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Setauket Strong, NY, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 11733 →Compare East Setauket with another place →

Weather by month in East Setauket

July is the warmest month at Setauket Strong, NY, averaging 83°F by day and 66°F at night; January is the coldest at 40°F and 26°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to March (a 90% chance or more). From June to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, April still brings one in 89% of years and May still brings one in 17% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 3,245 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 92% of the 173 New York stations. 30% of them (970) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 758.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Setauket Strong, NY
MonthHigh °FLow °F32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan4026100%252
Feb4126100%221
Mar4832100%1811
Apr604189%590
May695017%1299
Jun78600%0567
Jul83660%0758
Aug82650%0733
Sep75600%0522
Oct644918%<1209
Nov533996%846
Dec4531100%197

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Setauket Strong, NY (40 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Mt Sinai, NY, 5 miles east of East Setauket, has a last frost 11 days earlier (April 4), a first frost 3 days earlier (November 7), a season 7 days longer.

Frost dates for 11727 (Coram) →

When it snows in East Setauket, New York

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in East Setauket usually arrives around December 11, and the last of the season around March 20. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Islip Li Macarthur Airport, NY, 9.5 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 26 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 11733

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for East Setauket, New York
WhenWhat to do
February 4 – February 18Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 18 – March 4Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 18 – April 1Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 15 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 18Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 27Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 10 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 11733 is 2 miles from Setauket Strong, NY, which stands at 40 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 3 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 11790 (Stony Brook). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 11733 in zone 7b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 5 to 10°F (-15.0 to -12.2°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across New York →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 7b places in New York