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USDA Hardiness Zone 7b

Frost Dates for 11964 — Shelter Island, New York

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Orient Pt Sp, NY (3 ft), 6 miles northeast.

Updated

In Shelter Island, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 6 in half of years and has passed by May 2 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 17, as early as October 31 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 221 days (NOAA, Orient Pt Sp, NY).

Last spring frost
April 6

50% probability

First fall frost
November 17

50% probability

Growing season
221 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
7b

5 to 10°F (-15.0 to -12.2°C) coldest night

First snow
December 12

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
March 18

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

23 of 23 observed

Snow per year
26.8"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Shelter Island

Half of springs at Orient Pt Sp, NY see their last 32°F night by April 6; only one in ten is past it by March 25, and one in ten still has one after May 2. Planting tender crops after April 15 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 22 20%, and after May 2 10%. The 26 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is the widest of the 173 New York stations behind this site's ZIP pages, so a fixed calendar date is a gamble here.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 17 in half of years, as early as October 31 one year in ten, and holds off past December 4 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 14 days later, around December 1; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 6, 26 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 221 days in a typical year, longer than at 95% of the 173 New York stations; it reaches 243 days one year in ten and falls short of 195 one year in ten. On average 73 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 24 days longer, to about April 30, and return around November 3. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between January 1 and February 26.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 9Apr 15Apr 20Apr 25Apr 30May 2May 6May 10May 15
32°FMar 25Mar 30Apr 1Apr 4Apr 6Apr 10Apr 15Apr 22May 2
28°FMar 11Mar 15Mar 19Mar 22Mar 25Mar 29Mar 31Apr 2Apr 6
24°FMar 1Mar 6Mar 10Mar 13Mar 16Mar 18Mar 22Mar 26Mar 30
20°FFeb 17Feb 24Mar 1Mar 4Mar 7Mar 10Mar 13Mar 17Mar 22
16°FFeb 3Feb 10Feb 16Feb 22Feb 26Mar 1Mar 5Mar 9Mar 15
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 19Oct 24Oct 28Nov 1Nov 3Nov 6Nov 9Nov 14Nov 20
32°FOct 31Nov 5Nov 9Nov 14Nov 17Nov 21Nov 25Nov 29Dec 4
28°FNov 14Nov 19Nov 24Nov 27Dec 1Dec 2Dec 5Dec 10Dec 16
24°FNov 25Dec 1Dec 4Dec 7Dec 10Dec 13Dec 17Dec 22Dec 29
20°FDec 5Dec 10Dec 15Dec 19Dec 22Dec 25Dec 29Jan 3Jan 8
16°FDec 15Dec 21Dec 26Dec 30Jan 1Jan 5Jan 9Jan 14Jan 21

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Orient Pt Sp, NY, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 11964 →Compare Shelter Island with another place →

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Bridgehampton, NY, 8 miles south of Shelter Island, has a last frost 17 days later (April 23), a first frost 24 days earlier (October 24), a season 39 days shorter.

Frost dates for 11937 (East Hampton) →

When it snows in Shelter Island, New York

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Shelter Island usually arrives around December 12, and the last of the season around March 18. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Bridgehampton, NY, 7.7 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 19 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 11964

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Shelter Island, New York
WhenWhat to do
January 26 – February 9Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 9 – February 23Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 9 – March 23Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 6 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 25Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by November 3Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 17 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 11964 is 6 miles from Orient Pt Sp, NY, which stands at 3 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 7 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 06413 (Clinton). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 11964 in zone 7b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 5 to 10°F (-15.0 to -12.2°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across New York →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 7b places in New York