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USDA Hardiness Zone 6a

Frost Dates for 12754 — Liberty, New York

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Liberty 1 NE, NY (1,580 ft), under a mile northwest.

Updated

In Liberty, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 9 in half of years and has passed by May 23 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 5, as early as September 24 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 149 days (NOAA, Liberty 1 NE, NY).

Last spring frost
May 9

50% probability

First fall frost
October 5

50% probability

Growing season
149 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
6a

-10 to -5°F (-23.3 to -20.6°C) coldest night

First snow
November 15

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 1

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

26 of 26 observed

Snow per year
69.9"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Liberty

Half of springs at Liberty 1 NE, NY see their last 32°F night by May 9; only one in ten is past it by April 24, and one in ten still has one after May 23. Planting tender crops after May 14 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 18 20%, and after May 23 10%. The 14 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 63% of the 173 New York stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 5 in half of years, as early as September 24 one year in ten, and holds off past October 23 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 15 days later, around October 20; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 12, 11 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 149 days in a typical year, shorter than at 76% of the 173 New York stations; it reaches 171 days one year in ten and falls short of 131 one year in ten. On average 163 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 11 days longer, to about May 20, and return around September 27. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 26 and March 26.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 6May 11May 14May 17May 20May 23May 26May 29Jun 2
32°FApr 24Apr 30May 3May 6May 9May 12May 14May 18May 23
28°FApr 11Apr 17Apr 20Apr 23Apr 27Apr 30May 3May 7May 12
24°FApr 1Apr 4Apr 7Apr 10Apr 12Apr 15Apr 18Apr 22Apr 29
20°FMar 19Mar 25Mar 30Apr 1Apr 3Apr 4Apr 6Apr 10Apr 15
16°FMar 10Mar 16Mar 20Mar 23Mar 26Mar 29Apr 1Apr 3Apr 7
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 15Sep 20Sep 23Sep 25Sep 27Oct 1Oct 2Oct 4Oct 9
32°FSep 24Sep 29Oct 1Oct 3Oct 5Oct 8Oct 12Oct 17Oct 23
28°FOct 3Oct 8Oct 12Oct 17Oct 20Oct 24Oct 29Nov 1Nov 6
24°FOct 14Oct 21Oct 26Oct 31Nov 2Nov 5Nov 9Nov 13Nov 18
20°FOct 31Nov 3Nov 7Nov 11Nov 14Nov 16Nov 21Nov 24Nov 29
16°FNov 10Nov 15Nov 19Nov 22Nov 26Nov 29Dec 1Dec 5Dec 10

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Liberty 1 NE, NY, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 12754 →Compare Liberty with another place →

Weather by month in Liberty

July is the warmest month at Liberty 1 NE, NY, averaging 79°F by day and 57°F at night; January is the coldest at 30°F and 13°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 76% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,033 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 91% of the 173 New York stations. 30% of them (609) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 558. Precipitation totals 53.1 inches a year, most in August (5.3") and least in February (2.8"); May to September bring 47% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Liberty 1 NE, NY
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan30133.7100%300
Feb33142.8100%270
Mar41223.9100%275
Apr55324.2100%1741
May66434.776%3174
Jun74525.22%0389
Jul79574.70%0558
Aug77555.30%0496
Sep70485.224%1287
Oct58374.896%1074
Nov47283.9100%219
Dec35204.7100%281

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Liberty 1 NE, NY (1,580 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Callicoon Ctr, NY, 11 miles west of Liberty and 359 feet lower, has a last frost 3 days later (May 12), a first frost 2 days later (October 7), a season 3 days shorter.

Frost dates for 12776 (Roscoe) →

When it snows in Liberty, New York

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Liberty usually arrives around November 15, and the last of the season around April 1. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Liberty 1 NE, NY, 0.3 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 38 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 12754

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Liberty, New York
WhenWhat to do
February 28 – March 14Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 14 – March 28Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 11 – April 25Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 9 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 13Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 21Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 5 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 12754 is under a mile from Liberty 1 NE, NY, which stands at 1,580 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 3 other ZIP codes share the station. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 12754 in zone 6a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -10 to -5°F (-23.3 to -20.6°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across New York →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 6a places in New York