Skip to content

USDA Hardiness Zone 5b

Frost Dates for 12776 — Roscoe, New York

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Callicoon Ctr, NY (1,221 ft), 8 miles south.

Updated

In Roscoe, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 12 in half of years and has passed by May 28 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 7, as early as September 25 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 146 days (NOAA, Callicoon Ctr, NY).

Last spring frost
May 12

50% probability

First fall frost
October 7

50% probability

Growing season
146 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
5b

-15 to -10°F (-26.1 to -23.3°C) coldest night

First snow
November 15

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 1

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

26 of 26 observed

Snow per year
69.9"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Roscoe

Half of springs at Callicoon Ctr, NY see their last 32°F night by May 12; only one in ten is past it by April 25, and one in ten still has one after May 28. Planting tender crops after May 19 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 23 20%, and after May 28 10%. The 16 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 71% of the 173 New York stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 7 in half of years, as early as September 25 one year in ten, and holds off past October 19 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 13 days later, around October 20; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 17, 11 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 146 days in a typical year, shorter than at 79% of the 173 New York stations; it reaches 167 days one year in ten and falls short of 126 one year in ten. On average 164 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 12 days longer, to about May 24, and return around September 27. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 23 and March 25.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 8May 14May 18May 21May 24May 27May 29Jun 1Jun 5
32°FApr 25Apr 30May 4May 8May 12May 16May 19May 23May 28
28°FApr 10Apr 16Apr 20Apr 24Apr 29May 2May 6May 11May 17
24°FMar 31Apr 3Apr 5Apr 8Apr 11Apr 15Apr 19Apr 24May 2
20°FMar 20Mar 25Mar 29Mar 31Apr 2Apr 3Apr 5Apr 8Apr 12
16°FMar 12Mar 17Mar 20Mar 22Mar 25Mar 28Mar 30Apr 1Apr 4
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 13Sep 19Sep 22Sep 24Sep 27Sep 29Oct 1Oct 4Oct 8
32°FSep 25Sep 30Oct 1Oct 4Oct 7Oct 8Oct 11Oct 14Oct 19
28°FOct 5Oct 9Oct 13Oct 17Oct 20Oct 22Oct 25Oct 29Nov 1
24°FOct 18Oct 24Oct 27Oct 31Nov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 10Nov 15
20°FOct 29Nov 2Nov 6Nov 9Nov 12Nov 15Nov 18Nov 22Nov 27
16°FNov 9Nov 13Nov 17Nov 20Nov 23Nov 26Nov 29Dec 1Dec 7

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Callicoon Ctr, NY, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 12776 →Compare Roscoe with another place →

Weather by month in Roscoe

July is the warmest month at Callicoon Ctr, NY, averaging 80°F by day and 57°F at night; January is the coldest at 31°F and 13°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 76% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,103 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 83% of the 173 New York stations. 31% of them (644) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 573.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Callicoon Ctr, NY
MonthHigh °FLow °F32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan3113100%300
Feb3412100%270
Mar4221100%277
Apr5633100%1748
May674376%3192
Jun75525%<1397
Jul80570%0573
Aug77550%0502
Sep714822%1297
Oct593799%978
Nov4728100%248
Dec3620100%271

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Callicoon Ctr, NY (1,221 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Liberty 1 NE, NY, 15 miles southeast of Roscoe and 359 feet higher, has a last frost 3 days earlier (May 9), a first frost 2 days earlier (October 5), a season 3 days longer.

Frost dates for 12754 (Liberty) →

When it snows in Roscoe, New York

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Roscoe usually arrives around November 15, and the last of the season around April 1. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Liberty 1 NE, NY, 14.6 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 41 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 12776

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Roscoe, New York
WhenWhat to do
March 3 – March 17Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 17 – March 31Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 14 – April 28Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 12 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 15Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 23Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 7 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 12776 is 8 miles from Callicoon Ctr, NY, which stands at 1,221 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 12776 in zone 5b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -15 to -10°F (-26.1 to -23.3°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across New York →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 5b places in New York