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USDA Hardiness Zone 4a

Frost Dates for 12986 — Tupper Lake, New York

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Tupper Lake Sunmount, NY (1,680 ft), 1 miles northeast.

Updated

In Tupper Lake, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 16 in half of years and has passed by May 31 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around September 28, as early as September 14 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 134 days (NOAA, Tupper Lake Sunmount, NY).

Last spring frost
May 16

50% probability

First fall frost
September 28

50% probability

Growing season
134 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
4a

-30 to -25°F (-34.4 to -31.7°C) coldest night

First snow
November 4

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 10

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

23 of 23 observed

Snow per year
—

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Tupper Lake

Half of springs at Tupper Lake Sunmount, NY see their last 32°F night by May 16; only one in ten is past it by May 2, and one in ten still has one after May 31. Planting tender crops after May 22 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 26 20%, and after May 31 10%. The 15 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 29% of the 173 New York stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by September 28 in half of years, as early as September 14 one year in ten, and holds off past October 11 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 12 days later, around October 10; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 19, 12 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 134 days in a typical year, shorter than at 95% of the 173 New York stations; it reaches 152 days one year in ten and falls short of 114 one year in ten. On average 185 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 15 days longer, to about May 31, and return around September 17. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 12 and April 5.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 16May 21May 25May 28May 31Jun 2Jun 5Jun 10Jun 18
32°FMay 2May 7May 10May 13May 16May 19May 22May 26May 31
28°FApr 21Apr 26Apr 30May 2May 5May 8May 10May 14May 19
24°FApr 10Apr 15Apr 18Apr 21Apr 24Apr 26Apr 30May 3May 8
20°FApr 2Apr 5Apr 8Apr 10Apr 13Apr 16Apr 19Apr 22Apr 28
16°FMar 26Mar 31Apr 2Apr 4Apr 5Apr 8Apr 10Apr 14Apr 19
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 4Sep 8Sep 11Sep 14Sep 17Sep 20Sep 23Sep 25Sep 30
32°FSep 14Sep 19Sep 22Sep 25Sep 28Oct 1Oct 3Oct 6Oct 11
28°FSep 25Oct 1Oct 3Oct 6Oct 10Oct 13Oct 16Oct 21Oct 27
24°FOct 5Oct 10Oct 15Oct 19Oct 23Oct 26Oct 30Nov 2Nov 7
20°FOct 17Oct 25Oct 29Nov 1Nov 3Nov 5Nov 9Nov 12Nov 17
16°FOct 30Nov 2Nov 5Nov 9Nov 12Nov 15Nov 18Nov 21Nov 26

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Tupper Lake Sunmount, NY, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 12986 →Compare Tupper Lake with another place →

Weather by month in Tupper Lake

July is the warmest month at Tupper Lake Sunmount, NY, averaging 77°F by day and 54°F at night; January is the coldest at 25°F and 4°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to May (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month.

Warmth for growing adds up to 1,758 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 98% of the 173 New York stations. 30% of them (521) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 493. Precipitation totals 45.3 inches a year, most in June (4.6") and least in February (2.7"); May to September bring 46% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Tupper Lake Sunmount, NY
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan2543.3100%300
Feb2952.7100%270
Mar37143.1100%301
Apr50283.8100%2222
May65413.892%7153
Jun73504.68%<1345
Jul77544.30%0493
Aug76534.20%0446
Sep69453.958%3239
Oct55354.4100%1455
Nov42253.7100%244
Dec31133.5100%300

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Tupper Lake Sunmount, NY (1,680 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Ray Brook, NY, 19 miles east of Tupper Lake, has a last frost 5 days later (May 21), a first frost 4 days earlier (September 24), a season 11 days shorter.

Frost dates for 12983 (Saranac Lake) →

When it snows in Tupper Lake, New York

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Tupper Lake usually arrives around November 4, and the last of the season around April 10. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Tupper Lake Sunmount, NY, 1.4 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 36 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 12986

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Tupper Lake, New York
WhenWhat to do
March 7 – March 21Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 21 – April 4Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 18 – May 2Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 16 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 6Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 14Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
September 28 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 12986 is 1 mile from Tupper Lake Sunmount, NY, which stands at 1,680 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 12986 in zone 4a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -30 to -25°F (-34.4 to -31.7°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across New York →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 4a places in New York