Skip to content

USDA Hardiness Zone 6b

Frost Dates for 14047 — Derby, New York

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Colden 1W, NY (1,535 ft), 14 miles east.

Updated

In Derby, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 4 in half of years and has passed by May 19 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 17, as early as October 1 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 166 days (NOAA, Colden 1W, NY).

Last spring frost
May 4

50% probability

First fall frost
October 17

50% probability

Growing season
166 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
6b

-5 to 0°F (-20.6 to -17.8°C) coldest night

First snow
November 4

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 23

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

15 of 15 observed

Snow per year
167.6"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Derby

Half of springs at Colden 1W, NY see their last 32°F night by May 4; only one in ten is past it by April 21, and one in ten still has one after May 19. Planting tender crops after May 9 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 13 20%, and after May 19 10%. The 15 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 29% of the 173 New York stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 17 in half of years, as early as October 1 one year in ten, and holds off past November 3 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 15 days later, around November 1; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 9, 10 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 166 days in a typical year, longer than at 58% of the 173 New York stations; it reaches 189 days one year in ten and falls short of 143 one year in ten. On average 144 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 9 days longer, to about May 13, and return around October 5. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between December 1 and March 26.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 29May 3May 7May 10May 13May 17May 20May 23May 27
32°FApr 21Apr 25Apr 29May 1May 4May 6May 9May 13May 19
28°FApr 10Apr 15Apr 19Apr 21Apr 24Apr 27Apr 30May 3May 9
24°FMar 31Apr 4Apr 7Apr 9Apr 13Apr 16Apr 18Apr 22Apr 27
20°FMar 20Mar 26Mar 31Apr 1Apr 3Apr 5Apr 8Apr 11Apr 16
16°FMar 10Mar 16Mar 19Mar 22Mar 26Mar 30Apr 1Apr 3Apr 7
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 21Sep 26Sep 30Oct 3Oct 5Oct 8Oct 11Oct 15Oct 19
32°FOct 1Oct 6Oct 10Oct 14Oct 17Oct 21Oct 24Oct 28Nov 3
28°FOct 16Oct 22Oct 27Oct 31Nov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 11Nov 16
24°FNov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 10Nov 13Nov 16Nov 19Nov 24Nov 30
20°FNov 8Nov 12Nov 16Nov 19Nov 23Nov 26Nov 30Dec 3Dec 9
16°FNov 14Nov 20Nov 25Nov 28Dec 1Dec 5Dec 9Dec 14Dec 20

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Colden 1W, NY, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 14047 →Compare Derby with another place →

Weather by month in Derby

July is the warmest month at Colden 1W, NY, averaging 77°F by day and 59°F at night; January is the coldest at 30°F and 16°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 61% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,243 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 70% of the 173 New York stations. 32% of them (710) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 567. Precipitation totals 53.2 inches a year, most in October (5.4") and least in March (3.7"); May to September bring 41% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Colden 1W, NY
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan30164.8100%291
Feb31163.9100%261
Mar39233.7100%2511
Apr53344.5100%1551
May65464.161%1220
Jun73554.50%0427
Jul77594.40%0567
Aug76584.00%0518
Sep70514.610%0329
Oct57415.484%4100
Nov45324.8100%1717
Dec35234.5100%271

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Colden 1W, NY (1,535 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Colden 1 N, NY, 15 miles east of Derby and 510 feet lower, has a last frost 3 days later (May 7), a first frost 6 days earlier (October 11), a season 10 days shorter.

Frost dates for 14127 (Orchard Park) →

When it snows in Derby, New York

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Derby usually arrives around November 4, and the last of the season around April 23. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Colden 1W, NY, 14.1 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 11 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 14047

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Derby, New York
WhenWhat to do
February 23 – March 9Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 9 – March 23Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 6 – April 20Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 4 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 25Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 3Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 17 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 14047 is 14 miles from Colden 1W, NY, which stands at 1,535 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 6 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 14075 (Hamburg). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 14047 in zone 6b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -5 to 0°F (-20.6 to -17.8°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across New York →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 6b places in New York