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USDA Hardiness Zone 8a

Frost Dates for 27519 — Cary, North Carolina

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Apex, NC (450 ft), 2 miles south.

Updated

In Cary, the last spring frost (32°F) is around March 27 in half of years and has passed by April 10 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 8, as early as October 26 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 227 days (NOAA, Apex, NC).

Last spring frost
March 27

50% probability

First fall frost
November 8

50% probability

Growing season
227 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
8a

10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) coldest night

First snow
January 7

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
February 23

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
81%

13 of 16 observed

Snow per year
4.8"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Cary

Half of springs at Apex, NC see their last 32°F night by March 27; only one in ten is past it by March 8, and one in ten still has one after April 10. Planting tender crops after April 3 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 6 20%, and after April 10 10%. The 14 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 79% of the 173 North Carolina stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 8 in half of years, as early as October 26 one year in ten, and holds off past November 24 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 13 days later, around November 21; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is March 31, 10 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 227 days in a typical year, longer than at 72% of the 173 North Carolina stations; it reaches 251 days one year in ten and falls short of 206 one year in ten. On average 67 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 11 days longer, to about April 7, and return around October 31. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 100% of winters and 16°F in 73%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMar 23Mar 29Apr 2Apr 4Apr 7Apr 9Apr 13Apr 16Apr 21
32°FMar 8Mar 16Mar 20Mar 24Mar 27Mar 31Apr 3Apr 6Apr 10
28°FFeb 24Mar 2Mar 6Mar 10Mar 15Mar 18Mar 22Mar 26Mar 31
24°FFeb 5Feb 13Feb 21Feb 26Mar 1Mar 5Mar 8Mar 14Mar 20
20°F96% of yrsJan 13Jan 24Jan 31Feb 6Feb 11Feb 16Feb 23Mar 1Mar 8
16°F73% of yrsJan 3Jan 12Jan 18Jan 24Jan 30Feb 1Feb 6Feb 15Feb 25
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 17Oct 22Oct 25Oct 28Oct 31Nov 1Nov 4Nov 6Nov 11
32°FOct 26Nov 1Nov 3Nov 5Nov 8Nov 11Nov 14Nov 18Nov 24
28°FNov 5Nov 10Nov 13Nov 17Nov 21Nov 25Nov 30Dec 4Dec 12
24°FNov 18Nov 26Dec 1Dec 4Dec 9Dec 15Dec 23Jan 1Jan 9
20°F96% of yrsDec 5Dec 12Dec 21Dec 28Jan 1Jan 6Jan 12Jan 18Jan 28
16°F73% of yrsDec 16Dec 27Jan 1Jan 7Jan 13Jan 17Jan 23Jan 29Feb 6

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Apex, NC, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 27519 →Compare Cary with another place →

Weather by month in Cary

July is the warmest month at Apex, NC, averaging 89°F by day and 69°F at night; January is the coldest at 51°F and 31°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to March (a 90% chance or more). From May to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, April still brings one in 36% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 4,739 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 54% of the 173 North Carolina stations. 38% of them (1,823) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 905. Precipitation totals 48.4 inches a year, most in September (5.3") and least in February (3.0"); May to September bring 48% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Apex, NC
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan51313.7100%1934
Feb54333.099%1542
Mar62394.194%9128
Apr72483.636%1307
May79573.80%0549
Jun86654.30%0763
Jul89695.10%0905
Aug87684.60%0854
Sep82625.30%0648
Oct72503.720%<1341
Nov62403.594%7118
Dec54343.798%1650

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Apex, NC (450 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Cary, NC, 4 miles southeast of Cary, has a last frost 4 days later (March 31), a first frost 2 days later (November 10), a season 1 day shorter.

Frost dates for 27511 (Cary) →

When it snows in Cary, North Carolina

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Cary usually arrives around January 7, and the last of the season around February 23. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Apex, NC, 1.8 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Snow fell in 81% of those winters. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 32 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 27519

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Cary, North Carolina
WhenWhat to do
January 16 – January 30Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
January 30 – February 13Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
February 27 – March 13Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
March 27 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 16Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 25Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 8 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 27519 is 2 miles from Apex, NC, which stands at 450 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 2 other ZIP codes share the station. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 27519 in zone 8a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across North Carolina →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 8a places in North Carolina