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USDA Hardiness Zone 8a

Frost Dates for 27610 — Raleigh, North Carolina

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Raleigh 4 SW, NC (420 ft), 6 miles southwest.

Updated

In Raleigh, the last spring frost (32°F) is around March 28 in half of years and has passed by April 12 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 9, as early as October 27 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 227 days (NOAA, Raleigh 4 SW, NC).

Last spring frost
March 28

50% probability

First fall frost
November 9

50% probability

Growing season
227 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
8a

10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
35%

7 of 20 observed

Snow per year
—

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Raleigh

Half of springs at Raleigh 4 SW, NC see their last 32°F night by March 28; only one in ten is past it by March 8, and one in ten still has one after April 12. Planting tender crops after April 3 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 6 20%, and after April 12 10%. The 15 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 57% of the 173 North Carolina stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 9 in half of years, as early as October 27 one year in ten, and holds off past November 27 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 14 days later, around November 23; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 2, 10 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 227 days in a typical year, longer than at 72% of the 173 North Carolina stations; it reaches 251 days one year in ten and falls short of 205 one year in ten. On average 57 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 10 days longer, to about April 7, and return around October 31. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 100% of winters and 16°F in 69%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMar 22Mar 29Apr 2Apr 4Apr 7Apr 10Apr 15Apr 18Apr 22
32°FMar 8Mar 15Mar 20Mar 24Mar 28Mar 31Apr 3Apr 6Apr 12
28°FFeb 21Mar 1Mar 6Mar 10Mar 14Mar 18Mar 22Mar 27Apr 2
24°FJan 31Feb 6Feb 15Feb 22Feb 27Mar 3Mar 7Mar 13Mar 20
20°F95% of yrsJan 7Jan 20Jan 29Feb 1Feb 6Feb 14Feb 21Mar 1Mar 7
16°F69% of yrsDec 30Jan 9Jan 16Jan 21Jan 27Jan 31Feb 2Feb 12Feb 26
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 17Oct 22Oct 25Oct 28Oct 31Nov 2Nov 5Nov 8Nov 12
32°FOct 27Nov 1Nov 4Nov 6Nov 9Nov 12Nov 15Nov 20Nov 27
28°FNov 6Nov 11Nov 15Nov 19Nov 23Nov 28Dec 1Dec 6Dec 17
24°FNov 18Nov 25Dec 1Dec 4Dec 10Dec 16Dec 24Jan 1Jan 8
20°F95% of yrsDec 3Dec 10Dec 19Dec 26Jan 1Jan 6Jan 11Jan 17Jan 27
16°F69% of yrsDec 14Dec 24Jan 1Jan 7Jan 12Jan 17Jan 22Jan 28Feb 4

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Raleigh 4 SW, NC, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 27610 →Compare Raleigh with another place →

Weather by month in Raleigh

July is the warmest month at Raleigh 4 SW, NC, averaging 90°F by day and 70°F at night; January is the coldest at 54°F and 33°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to March (a 90% chance or more). From May to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, April still brings one in 37% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 5,105 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 75% of the 173 North Carolina stations. 39% of them (2,005) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 924. Precipitation totals 50.6 inches a year, most in June (5.7") and least in February (3.1"); May to September bring 49% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Raleigh 4 SW, NC
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan54333.9100%1644
Feb58353.1100%1457
Mar65414.294%6161
Apr74493.837%1358
May80583.80%0592
Jun87665.70%0793
Jul90704.70%0924
Aug88695.40%0880
Sep83635.10%0690
Oct74513.918%<1397
Nov64413.492%6149
Dec56363.698%1461

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Raleigh 4 SW, NC (420 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Raleigh State Univ, NC, 7 miles west of Raleigh, has the same 50% last-frost date, a first frost 1 day earlier (November 8), a season 2 days longer.

Frost dates for 27616 (Raleigh) →

When it snows in Raleigh, North Carolina

Measurable snow is rare here: only 7 of 20 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Raleigh 4 SW, NC, 6.1 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 27610

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Raleigh, North Carolina
WhenWhat to do
January 17 – January 31Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
January 31 – February 14Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
February 28 – March 14Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
March 28 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 17Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 26Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 9 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 27610 is 6 miles from Raleigh 4 SW, NC, which stands at 420 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 1 other ZIP code shares the station. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 27610 in zone 8a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across North Carolina →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 8a places in North Carolina