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USDA Hardiness Zone 7b

Frost Dates for 37207 — Nashville, Tennessee

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Shelby Bottoms Nature, TN (405 ft), 4 miles southeast.

Updated

In Nashville, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 1 in half of years and has passed by April 16 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 31, as early as October 18 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 213 days (NOAA, Shelby Bottoms Nature, TN).

Last spring frost
April 1

50% probability

First fall frost
October 31

50% probability

Growing season
213 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
7b

5 to 10°F (-15.0 to -12.2°C) coldest night

First snow
December 29

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
February 25

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

29 of 29 observed

Snow per year
4.7"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Nashville

Half of springs at Shelby Bottoms Nature, TN see their last 32°F night by April 1; only one in ten is past it by March 16, and one in ten still has one after April 16. Planting tender crops after April 7 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 11 20%, and after April 16 10%. The 15 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 78% of the 144 Tennessee stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 31 in half of years, as early as October 18 one year in ten, and holds off past November 13 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 9 days later, around November 9; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 5, 11 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 213 days in a typical year, longer than at 78% of the 144 Tennessee stations; it reaches 232 days one year in ten and falls short of 192 one year in ten. On average 76 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 13 days longer, to about April 14, and return around October 22. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between December 23 and February 14.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMar 31Apr 4Apr 8Apr 11Apr 14Apr 17Apr 21Apr 27May 4
32°FMar 16Mar 22Mar 25Mar 30Apr 1Apr 4Apr 7Apr 11Apr 16
28°FMar 2Mar 8Mar 13Mar 16Mar 20Mar 23Mar 28Apr 1Apr 5
24°FFeb 19Feb 26Feb 28Mar 4Mar 8Mar 13Mar 16Mar 21Mar 27
20°FFeb 5Feb 12Feb 17Feb 23Feb 27Mar 1Mar 5Mar 11Mar 17
16°FJan 23Jan 31Feb 5Feb 10Feb 14Feb 19Feb 24Feb 28Mar 8
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 9Oct 13Oct 17Oct 20Oct 22Oct 24Oct 27Oct 30Nov 3
32°FOct 18Oct 22Oct 25Oct 28Oct 31Nov 1Nov 5Nov 8Nov 13
28°FOct 26Oct 31Nov 3Nov 5Nov 9Nov 12Nov 15Nov 19Nov 25
24°FNov 5Nov 12Nov 15Nov 18Nov 22Nov 26Dec 1Dec 4Dec 10
20°FNov 15Nov 22Nov 28Dec 1Dec 5Dec 9Dec 13Dec 20Dec 27
16°FNov 30Dec 6Dec 10Dec 16Dec 23Dec 27Dec 31Jan 5Jan 14

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Shelby Bottoms Nature, TN, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 37207 →Compare Nashville with another place →

Frost risk through the year in Nashville

Frost curve for Nashville, Tennessee (Shelby Bottoms Nature, TN, NOAA 1991–2020): the chance of another 32°F night falls from 90% on March 16 to 50% on April 1 and 10% on April 16; the chance that the first fall one has come rises from 10% on October 18 to 50% on October 31 and 90% on November 13.

In Nashville, the spring curve drops under 10% on April 16 and the fall curve passes 10% on October 18, 185 days later; that gap is longer than at 78% of the 144 Tennessee stations with frost dates. The spring risk falls from 90% to 10% over 31 days (March 16 to April 16) and the fall risk climbs from 10% to 90% over 26 days (October 18 to November 13): both ends of the season vary about as much. At Nashville International Airport, TN, 8 miles southeast, the same gap runs from April 16 to October 22, 4 days longer.

Chance of a frost after each planting date in Nashville
Planted onAnother 32°F night28°F night
Mar 1887%55%
Mar 2570%36%
Apr 150% date50%20%
Apr 828%under 10%
Apr 1512%under 10%
Apr 22under 10%under 10%

Weather by month in Nashville

July is the warmest month at Shelby Bottoms Nature, TN, averaging 89°F by day and 68°F at night; January is the coldest at 48°F and 28°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to March (a 90% chance or more). From May to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, April still brings one in 52% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 4,655 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 69% of the 144 Tennessee stations. 39% of them (1,809) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 887.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Shelby Bottoms Nature, TN
MonthHigh °FLow °F32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan4828100%2118
Feb5231100%1540
Mar623998%9129
Apr724752%1310
May80562%0553
Jun87640%0759
Jul89680%0887
Aug89670%0862
Sep84590%0643
Oct734753%1327
Nov6237100%1194
Dec5132100%1734

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Shelby Bottoms Nature, TN (405 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Nashville International Airport, TN, 8 miles southeast of Nashville and 195 feet higher, has a last frost 1 day earlier (March 31), a first frost 3 days later (November 3), a season 4 days longer.

Frost dates for 37211 (Nashville) →

When it snows in Nashville, Tennessee

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Nashville usually arrives around December 29, and the last of the season around February 25. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Nashville International Airport, TN, 8.2 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 35 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 37207

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Nashville, Tennessee
WhenWhat to do
January 21 – February 4Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 4 – February 18Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 4 – March 18Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 1 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 8Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 17Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 31 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 37207 is 4 miles from Shelby Bottoms Nature, TN, which stands at 405 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 11 other ZIP codes share the station. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 37207 in zone 7b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 5 to 10°F (-15.0 to -12.2°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Tennessee →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 7b places in Tennessee