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USDA Hardiness Zone 7b

Frost Dates for 37355 — Manchester, Tennessee

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Manchester #2, TN (1,070 ft), 1 miles north.

Updated

In Manchester, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 13 in half of years and has passed by April 30 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 24, as early as October 11 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 192 days (NOAA, Manchester #2, TN).

Last spring frost
April 13

50% probability

First fall frost
October 24

50% probability

Growing season
192 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
7b

5 to 10°F (-15.0 to -12.2°C) coldest night

First snow
January 13

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
February 12

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
89%

24 of 27 observed

Snow per year
2.8"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Manchester

Half of springs at Manchester #2, TN see their last 32°F night by April 13; only one in ten is past it by March 27, and one in ten still has one after April 30. Planting tender crops after April 21 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 25 20%, and after April 30 10%. The 17 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 34% of the 144 Tennessee stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 24 in half of years, as early as October 11 one year in ten, and holds off past November 5 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 8 days later, around November 1; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 18, 12 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 192 days in a typical year, shorter than at 77% of the 144 Tennessee stations; it reaches 213 days one year in ten and falls short of 172 one year in ten. On average 94 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 13 days longer, to about April 26, and return around October 15. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes in 99% of winters, usually between December 11 and February 17.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 11Apr 16Apr 20Apr 23Apr 26Apr 30May 2May 5May 11
32°FMar 27Apr 2Apr 6Apr 10Apr 13Apr 17Apr 21Apr 25Apr 30
28°FMar 13Mar 20Mar 25Mar 29Apr 1Apr 3Apr 7Apr 11Apr 18
24°FFeb 28Mar 5Mar 10Mar 15Mar 19Mar 22Mar 27Apr 1Apr 5
20°FFeb 7Feb 17Feb 24Feb 28Mar 3Mar 8Mar 14Mar 19Mar 27
16°F99% of yrsJan 22Jan 31Feb 5Feb 11Feb 17Feb 23Feb 28Mar 4Mar 14
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 4Oct 7Oct 10Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 20Oct 23Oct 27
32°FOct 11Oct 16Oct 19Oct 21Oct 24Oct 26Oct 29Nov 1Nov 5
28°FOct 19Oct 23Oct 27Oct 30Nov 1Nov 3Nov 6Nov 10Nov 15
24°FOct 28Nov 1Nov 4Nov 8Nov 11Nov 14Nov 19Nov 24Dec 2
20°FNov 8Nov 13Nov 17Nov 21Nov 25Dec 1Dec 5Dec 11Dec 23
16°F99% of yrsNov 18Nov 26Dec 1Dec 5Dec 11Dec 19Dec 29Jan 3Jan 13

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Manchester #2, TN, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 37355 →Compare Manchester with another place →

Frost risk through the year in Manchester

Frost curve for Manchester, Tennessee (Manchester #2, TN, NOAA 1991–2020): the chance of another 32°F night falls from 90% on March 27 to 50% on April 13 and 10% on April 30; the chance that the first fall one has come rises from 10% on October 11 to 50% on October 24 and 90% on November 5.

In Manchester, the spring curve drops under 10% on April 30 and the fall curve passes 10% on October 11, 164 days later; that gap is shorter than at 76% of the 144 Tennessee stations with frost dates. The spring risk falls from 90% to 10% over 34 days (March 27 to April 30) and the fall risk climbs from 10% to 90% over 25 days (October 11 to November 5): the last frost moves more from year to year than the first. At Wartrace 6E, TN, 9 miles west, the same gap runs from April 18 to October 20, 21 days longer.

Chance of a frost after each planting date in Manchester
Planted onAnother 32°F night28°F night
Mar 3085%57%
Apr 670%33%
Apr 1350% date50%17%
Apr 2033%under 10%
Apr 2716%under 10%
May 4under 10%under 10%

Weather by month in Manchester

July is the warmest month at Manchester #2, TN, averaging 86°F by day and 65°F at night; January is the coldest at 47°F and 26°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to March (a 90% chance or more). From May to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, April still brings one in 81% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 3,959 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 83% of the 144 Tennessee stations. 37% of them (1,477) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 801. Precipitation totals 59.5 inches a year, most in December (6.6") and least in October (3.5"); May to September bring 37% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Manchester #2, TN
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan47265.4100%2221
Feb51295.5100%1924
Mar60356.499%1287
Apr69435.981%3226
May76534.38%<1453
Jun84615.10%0666
Jul86654.90%0801
Aug86633.70%0762
Sep80574.20%0553
Oct71443.577%3267
Nov59344.0100%1468
Dec51306.6100%2031

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Manchester #2, TN (1,070 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Wartrace 6E, TN, 9 miles west of Manchester, has a last frost 12 days earlier (April 1), a first frost 9 days later (November 2), a season 22 days longer.

Frost dates for 37183 (Wartrace) →

When it snows in Manchester, Tennessee

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Manchester usually arrives around January 13, and the last of the season around February 12. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Tullahoma, TN, 12.8 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Snow fell in 89% of those winters. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 60 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 37355

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Manchester, Tennessee
WhenWhat to do
February 2 – February 16Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 16 – March 2Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 16 – March 30Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 13 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 1Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 10Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 24 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 37355 is 1 mile from Manchester #2, TN, which stands at 1,070 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 1 other ZIP code shares the station. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 37355 in zone 7b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 5 to 10°F (-15.0 to -12.2°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Tennessee →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 7b places in Tennessee