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USDA Hardiness Zone 7b

Frost Dates for 38581 — Rock Island, Tennessee

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Rock Island Sp, TN (880 ft), 4 miles north.

Updated

In Rock Island, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 6 in half of years and has passed by April 22 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 30, as early as October 17 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 207 days (NOAA, Rock Island Sp, TN).

Last spring frost
April 6

50% probability

First fall frost
October 30

50% probability

Growing season
207 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
7b

5 to 10°F (-15.0 to -12.2°C) coldest night

First snow
January 7

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
February 17

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
95%

21 of 22 observed

Snow per year
4.1"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Rock Island

Half of springs at Rock Island Sp, TN see their last 32°F night by April 6; only one in ten is past it by March 22, and one in ten still has one after April 22. Planting tender crops after April 12 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 16 20%, and after April 22 10%. The 16 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 53% of the 144 Tennessee stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 30 in half of years, as early as October 17 one year in ten, and holds off past November 14 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 10 days later, around November 9; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 9, 13 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 207 days in a typical year, longer than at 59% of the 144 Tennessee stations; it reaches 230 days one year in ten and falls short of 187 one year in ten. On average 74 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 12 days longer, to about April 18, and return around October 21. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes in 97% of winters, usually between December 27 and February 12.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 4Apr 9Apr 12Apr 16Apr 18Apr 22Apr 25Apr 29May 3
32°FMar 22Mar 28Mar 31Apr 3Apr 6Apr 8Apr 12Apr 16Apr 22
28°FMar 8Mar 15Mar 19Mar 23Mar 26Mar 30Apr 1Apr 5Apr 9
24°FFeb 20Feb 28Mar 4Mar 8Mar 13Mar 17Mar 21Mar 25Mar 31
20°FFeb 1Feb 10Feb 17Feb 23Feb 28Mar 2Mar 8Mar 14Mar 20
16°F97% of yrsJan 16Jan 28Feb 2Feb 6Feb 12Feb 18Feb 24Mar 1Mar 8
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 10Oct 13Oct 16Oct 19Oct 21Oct 24Oct 27Oct 30Nov 4
32°FOct 17Oct 21Oct 25Oct 27Oct 30Nov 1Nov 5Nov 8Nov 14
28°FOct 26Oct 31Nov 2Nov 5Nov 9Nov 13Nov 16Nov 21Nov 28
24°FNov 5Nov 10Nov 15Nov 19Nov 23Nov 27Dec 1Dec 5Dec 14
20°FNov 17Nov 24Nov 29Dec 3Dec 7Dec 13Dec 20Dec 25Jan 1
16°F97% of yrsNov 30Dec 8Dec 15Dec 22Dec 27Jan 1Jan 5Jan 12Jan 22

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Rock Island Sp, TN, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 38581 →Compare Rock Island with another place →

Weather by month in Rock Island

July is the warmest month at Rock Island Sp, TN, averaging 87°F by day and 68°F at night; January is the coldest at 48°F and 29°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to March (a 90% chance or more). From May to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, April still brings one in 69% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 4,459 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 49% of the 144 Tennessee stations. 39% of them (1,744) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 840.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Rock Island Sp, TN
MonthHigh °FLow °F32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan4829100%2128
Feb5332100%1645
Mar623999%8127
Apr704769%1285
May78560%0530
Jun84640%0729
Jul87680%0840
Aug86670%0814
Sep80610%0613
Oct714855%1309
Nov613898%1099
Dec5232100%1740

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Rock Island Sp, TN (880 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Mc Minnville, TN, 10 miles southwest of Rock Island, has a last frost 1 day later (April 7), the same first-frost date, a season 4 days shorter.

Frost dates for 37110 (Mcminnville) →

When it snows in Rock Island, Tennessee

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Rock Island usually arrives around January 7, and the last of the season around February 17. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Mc Minnville, TN, 9.7 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Snow fell in 95% of those winters. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 48 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 38581

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Rock Island, Tennessee
WhenWhat to do
January 26 – February 9Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 9 – February 23Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 9 – March 23Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 6 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 7Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 16Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 30 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 38581 is 4 miles from Rock Island Sp, TN, which stands at 880 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 38581 in zone 7b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 5 to 10°F (-15.0 to -12.2°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Tennessee →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 7b places in Tennessee