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USDA Hardiness Zone 8a

Frost Dates for 38804 — Tupelo, Mississippi

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Tupelo 2, MS (350 ft), 5 miles west.

Updated

In Tupelo, the last spring frost (32°F) is around March 21 in half of years and has passed by April 7 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 10, as early as October 30 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 237 days (NOAA, Tupelo 2, MS).

Last spring frost
March 21

50% probability

First fall frost
November 10

50% probability

Growing season
237 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
8a

10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
38%

8 of 21 observed

Snow per year
0.8"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Tupelo

Half of springs at Tupelo 2, MS see their last 32°F night by March 21; only one in ten is past it by February 28, and one in ten still has one after April 7. Planting tender crops after March 29 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 1 20%, and after April 7 10%. The 17 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 71% of the 96 Mississippi stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 10 in half of years, as early as October 30 one year in ten, and holds off past November 28 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 12 days later, around November 22; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is March 25, 13 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 237 days in a typical year, shorter than at 54% of the 96 Mississippi stations; it reaches 260 days one year in ten and falls short of 212 one year in ten. On average 57 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 13 days longer, to about April 3, and return around October 31. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 100% of winters and 16°F in 70%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMar 16Mar 23Mar 27Mar 31Apr 3Apr 6Apr 9Apr 13Apr 19
32°FFeb 28Mar 7Mar 12Mar 17Mar 21Mar 25Mar 29Apr 1Apr 7
28°FFeb 14Feb 23Feb 28Mar 3Mar 7Mar 11Mar 16Mar 20Mar 25
24°FJan 25Feb 1Feb 8Feb 15Feb 23Feb 27Mar 2Mar 7Mar 15
20°F93% of yrsJan 10Jan 20Jan 26Jan 31Feb 4Feb 10Feb 17Feb 26Mar 3
16°F70% of yrsDec 31Jan 9Jan 16Jan 22Jan 27Jan 31Feb 3Feb 10Feb 24
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 19Oct 23Oct 26Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2Nov 5Nov 9Nov 14
32°FOct 30Nov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 10Nov 14Nov 18Nov 22Nov 28
28°FNov 5Nov 10Nov 14Nov 18Nov 22Nov 26Dec 1Dec 4Dec 12
24°FNov 14Nov 23Nov 28Dec 1Dec 5Dec 10Dec 19Dec 29Jan 6
20°F93% of yrsNov 30Dec 6Dec 15Dec 24Jan 1Jan 3Jan 8Jan 14Jan 25
16°F70% of yrsDec 13Dec 26Jan 1Jan 4Jan 8Jan 12Jan 17Jan 24Feb 2

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Tupelo 2, MS, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 38804 →Compare Tupelo with another place →

Weather by month in Tupelo

July is the warmest month at Tupelo 2, MS, averaging 90°F by day and 72°F at night; January is the coldest at 51°F and 32°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to February (a 90% chance or more). From May to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, March still brings one in 87% of years and April still brings one in 23% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 5,349 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 78% of the 96 Mississippi stations. 39% of them (2,107) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 956. Precipitation totals 58.0 inches a year, most in December (5.9") and least in September (3.7"); May to September bring 39% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Tupelo 2, MS
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan51325.1100%1838
Feb55365.399%1361
Mar64435.387%5172
Apr73515.223%<1369
May81605.10%0634
Jun87685.40%0834
Jul90724.40%0956
Aug90714.10%0944
Sep85643.70%0726
Oct75524.115%<1418
Nov63414.492%6141
Dec54355.9100%1556

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Tupelo 2, MS (350 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Tupelo Regional Airport, MS, 5 miles west of Tupelo, has the same 50% last-frost date, the same first-frost date, a season 2 days shorter.

Frost dates for 38801 (Tupelo) →

When it snows in Tupelo, Mississippi

Measurable snow is rare here: only 8 of 21 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Tupelo 2, MS, 4.8 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 38804

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Tupelo, Mississippi
WhenWhat to do
January 10 – January 24Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
January 24 – February 7Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
February 21 – March 7Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
March 21 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 18Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 27Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 10 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 38804 is 5 miles from Tupelo 2, MS, which stands at 350 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 3 other ZIP codes share the station. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 38804 in zone 8a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Mississippi →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 8a places in Mississippi