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USDA Hardiness Zone 8a

Frost Dates for 38801 — Tupelo, Mississippi

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Tupelo Regional Airport, MS (361 ft), 2 miles northwest.

Updated

In Tupelo, the last spring frost (32°F) is around March 21 in half of years and has passed by April 6 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 10, as early as October 29 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 235 days (NOAA, Tupelo Regional Airport, MS).

Last spring frost
March 21

50% probability

First fall frost
November 10

50% probability

Growing season
235 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
8a

10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
38%

8 of 21 observed

Snow per year
0.8"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Tupelo

Half of springs at Tupelo Regional Airport, MS see their last 32°F night by March 21; only one in ten is past it by February 28, and one in ten still has one after April 6. Planting tender crops after March 30 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 2 20%, and after April 6 10%. The 16 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 86% of the 96 Mississippi stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 10 in half of years, as early as October 29 one year in ten, and holds off past November 28 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 13 days later, around November 23; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is March 24, 13 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 235 days in a typical year, shorter than at 59% of the 96 Mississippi stations; it reaches 260 days one year in ten and falls short of 211 one year in ten. On average 54 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 14 days longer, to about April 4, and return around November 1. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 100% of winters and 16°F in 65%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMar 17Mar 24Mar 29Apr 1Apr 4Apr 6Apr 9Apr 12Apr 19
32°FFeb 28Mar 8Mar 13Mar 17Mar 21Mar 26Mar 30Apr 2Apr 6
28°FFeb 12Feb 21Feb 26Feb 28Mar 5Mar 9Mar 14Mar 18Mar 24
24°FJan 24Jan 31Feb 7Feb 13Feb 18Feb 23Feb 27Mar 4Mar 13
20°F93% of yrsJan 8Jan 16Jan 24Jan 29Feb 1Feb 7Feb 13Feb 20Feb 28
16°F65% of yrsDec 31Jan 8Jan 14Jan 18Jan 24Jan 28Jan 31Feb 6Feb 14
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 20Oct 24Oct 27Oct 29Nov 1Nov 3Nov 5Nov 8Nov 14
32°FOct 29Nov 1Nov 4Nov 7Nov 10Nov 14Nov 17Nov 22Nov 28
28°FNov 6Nov 10Nov 14Nov 19Nov 23Nov 26Dec 1Dec 5Dec 13
24°FNov 15Nov 23Nov 27Dec 2Dec 7Dec 13Dec 20Dec 28Jan 5
20°F93% of yrsNov 29Dec 8Dec 17Dec 25Jan 1Jan 3Jan 8Jan 14Jan 23
16°F65% of yrsDec 16Dec 29Jan 1Jan 5Jan 9Jan 12Jan 16Jan 20Jan 30

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Tupelo Regional Airport, MS, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 38801 →Compare Tupelo with another place →

Weather by month in Tupelo

July is the warmest month at Tupelo Regional Airport, MS, averaging 92°F by day and 72°F at night; January is the coldest at 53°F and 34°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to February (a 90% chance or more). From May to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, March still brings one in 86% of years and April still brings one in 25% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 5,723 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 58% of the 96 Mississippi stations. 40% of them (2,294) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 1,003. Precipitation totals 57.8 inches a year, most in December (5.9") and least in September (3.6"); May to September bring 39% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Tupelo Regional Airport, MS
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan53344.8100%1654
Feb58375.399%1175
Mar66445.486%5212
Apr75525.525%1403
May83615.20%0676
Jun90695.00%0874
Jul92724.50%01003
Aug92714.10%0978
Sep87643.60%0765
Oct77524.016%1452
Nov64424.592%7163
Dec56365.999%1470

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Tupelo Regional Airport, MS (361 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Tupelo 2, MS, 2 miles north of Tupelo, has the same 50% last-frost date, the same first-frost date, a season 2 days longer.

Frost dates for 38804 (Tupelo) →

When it snows in Tupelo, Mississippi

Measurable snow is rare here: only 8 of 21 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Tupelo 2, MS, 2.1 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 38801

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Tupelo, Mississippi
WhenWhat to do
January 10 – January 24Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
January 24 – February 7Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
February 21 – March 7Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
March 21 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 18Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 27Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 10 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 38801 is 2 miles from Tupelo Regional Airport, MS, which stands at 361 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 1 other ZIP code shares the station. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 38801 in zone 8a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Mississippi →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 8a places in Mississippi