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USDA Hardiness Zone 8a

Frost Dates for 38917 — Carrollton, Mississippi

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Greenwood Leflore Airport, MS (133 ft), 9 miles west.

Updated

In Carrollton, the last spring frost (32°F) is around March 17 in half of years and has passed by April 5 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 5, as early as October 23 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 231 days (NOAA, Greenwood Leflore Airport, MS).

Last spring frost
March 17

50% probability

First fall frost
November 5

50% probability

Growing season
231 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
8a

10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
32%

7 of 22 observed

Snow per year
1.2"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Carrollton

Half of springs at Greenwood Leflore Airport, MS see their last 32°F night by March 17; only one in ten is past it by February 26, and one in ten still has one after April 5. Planting tender crops after March 26 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after March 31 20%, and after April 5 10%. The 19 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 38% of the 96 Mississippi stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 5 in half of years, as early as October 23 one year in ten, and holds off past November 23 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 13 days later, around November 18; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is March 22, 14 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 231 days in a typical year, shorter than at 67% of the 96 Mississippi stations; it reaches 259 days one year in ten and falls short of 208 one year in ten. On average 49 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 15 days longer, to about April 1, and return around October 27. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 100% of winters and 16°F in 63%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMar 12Mar 19Mar 24Mar 28Apr 1Apr 4Apr 8Apr 11Apr 18
32°FFeb 26Mar 4Mar 9Mar 14Mar 17Mar 21Mar 26Mar 31Apr 5
28°FFeb 12Feb 19Feb 24Feb 28Mar 3Mar 8Mar 12Mar 16Mar 22
24°FJan 22Jan 31Feb 6Feb 12Feb 18Feb 23Feb 28Mar 4Mar 11
20°F91% of yrsJan 3Jan 13Jan 20Jan 27Jan 31Feb 4Feb 10Feb 20Mar 1
16°F63% of yrsDec 27Jan 6Jan 12Jan 17Jan 21Jan 26Jan 31Feb 3Feb 11
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 14Oct 18Oct 22Oct 24Oct 27Oct 30Nov 1Nov 4Nov 9
32°FOct 23Oct 28Nov 1Nov 3Nov 5Nov 9Nov 13Nov 17Nov 23
28°FNov 1Nov 6Nov 10Nov 14Nov 18Nov 22Nov 27Dec 1Dec 8
24°FNov 11Nov 19Nov 24Nov 29Dec 3Dec 8Dec 16Dec 27Jan 4
20°F91% of yrsNov 25Dec 5Dec 14Dec 22Dec 29Jan 3Jan 8Jan 15Jan 24
16°F63% of yrsDec 12Dec 24Dec 31Jan 4Jan 8Jan 13Jan 18Jan 23Feb 2

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Greenwood Leflore Airport, MS, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 38917 →Compare Carrollton with another place →

Weather by month in Carrollton

July is the warmest month at Greenwood Leflore Airport, MS, averaging 92°F by day and 72°F at night; January is the coldest at 54°F and 35°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to February (a 90% chance or more). From May to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, March still brings one in 83% of years and April still brings one in 18% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 5,840 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 53% of the 96 Mississippi stations. 41% of them (2,388) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 978. Precipitation totals 51.6 inches a year, most in April (5.8") and least in August (3.2"); May to September bring 37% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Greenwood Leflore Airport, MS
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan54354.5100%1568
Feb59385.099%1096
Mar67454.883%4240
Apr75535.818%<1425
May83624.40%0691
Jun89693.70%0868
Jul92723.80%0978
Aug92703.20%0966
Sep87643.80%0766
Oct77523.430%1467
Nov66423.993%6184
Dec57375.398%1392

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Greenwood Leflore Airport, MS (133 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Grenada, MS, 17 miles northeast of Carrollton, has a last frost 11 days later (March 28), a first frost 1 day earlier (November 4), a season 9 days shorter.

Frost dates for 38901 (Grenada) →

When it snows in Carrollton, Mississippi

Measurable snow is rare here: only 7 of 22 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Elliott 4 NW, MS, 15.1 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 38917

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Carrollton, Mississippi
WhenWhat to do
January 6 – January 20Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
January 20 – February 3Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
February 17 – March 3Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
March 17 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 13Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 22Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 5 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 38917 is 9 miles from Greenwood Leflore Airport, MS, which stands at 133 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 1 other ZIP code shares the station; its figures are presented in full for 38930 (Greenwood). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 38917 in zone 8a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 10 to 15°F (-12.2 to -9.4°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Mississippi →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 8a places in Mississippi