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USDA Hardiness Zone 8b

Frost Dates for 39153 — Raleigh, Mississippi

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Raleigh 6N, MS (446 ft), 8 miles northwest.

Updated

In Raleigh, the last spring frost (32°F) is around March 28 in half of years and has passed by April 15 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around November 3, as early as October 20 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 221 days (NOAA, Raleigh 6N, MS).

Last spring frost
March 28

50% probability

First fall frost
November 3

50% probability

Growing season
221 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
8b

15 to 20°F (-9.4 to -6.7°C) coldest night

First snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
Rare

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
29%

5 of 17 observed

Snow per year
0.9"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Raleigh

Half of springs at Raleigh 6N, MS see their last 32°F night by March 28; only one in ten is past it by March 6, and one in ten still has one after April 15. Planting tender crops after April 5 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 9 20%, and after April 15 10%. The 18 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 53% of the 96 Mississippi stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by November 3 in half of years, as early as October 20 one year in ten, and holds off past November 22 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 12 days later, around November 15; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 3, 12 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 221 days in a typical year, shorter than at 83% of the 96 Mississippi stations; it reaches 248 days one year in ten and falls short of 197 one year in ten. On average 59 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 13 days longer, to about April 10, and return around October 25. Nights of 24°F, cold enough to damage hardier plants, come in 100% of winters and 16°F in 64%.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMar 22Mar 30Apr 3Apr 7Apr 10Apr 13Apr 17Apr 23Apr 28
32°FMar 6Mar 13Mar 19Mar 24Mar 28Apr 1Apr 5Apr 9Apr 15
28°FFeb 18Feb 26Mar 2Mar 7Mar 12Mar 17Mar 22Mar 27Apr 3
24°FJan 28Feb 4Feb 13Feb 19Feb 23Feb 28Mar 5Mar 11Mar 19
20°F93% of yrsJan 3Jan 16Jan 25Jan 30Feb 3Feb 9Feb 18Feb 27Mar 5
16°F64% of yrsDec 29Jan 5Jan 13Jan 19Jan 24Jan 29Feb 1Feb 7Feb 22
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 12Oct 16Oct 19Oct 22Oct 25Oct 28Nov 1Nov 4Nov 9
32°FOct 20Oct 24Oct 28Nov 1Nov 3Nov 6Nov 10Nov 15Nov 22
28°FOct 30Nov 3Nov 7Nov 11Nov 15Nov 19Nov 24Dec 1Dec 7
24°FNov 8Nov 15Nov 21Nov 26Dec 1Dec 5Dec 11Dec 22Jan 3
20°F93% of yrsNov 23Dec 2Dec 8Dec 15Dec 24Dec 31Jan 4Jan 11Jan 24
16°F64% of yrsDec 7Dec 20Dec 29Jan 1Jan 6Jan 12Jan 18Jan 26Feb 3

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Raleigh 6N, MS, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 39153 →Compare Raleigh with another place →

Weather by month in Raleigh

July is the warmest month at Raleigh 6N, MS, averaging 90°F by day and 68°F at night; January is the coldest at 55°F and 33°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to March (a 90% chance or more). From May to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, April still brings one in 42% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 5,281 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 82% of the 96 Mississippi stations. 40% of them (2,138) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 901. Precipitation totals 61.6 inches a year, most in February (6.0") and least in May (4.2"); May to September bring 38% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Raleigh 6N, MS
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan55335.6100%1766
Feb60366.098%1289
Mar67435.991%5209
Apr74495.942%1365
May82584.20%0614
Jun88665.60%0795
Jul90684.60%0901
Aug90674.70%0879
Sep85624.20%0708
Oct77504.339%1412
Nov66404.793%8158
Dec58355.9100%1587

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Raleigh 6N, MS (446 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Forest, MS, 23 miles north of Raleigh, has the same 50% last-frost date, a first frost 1 day earlier (November 2).

Frost dates for 39074 (Forest) →

When it snows in Raleigh, Mississippi

Measurable snow is rare here: only 5 of 17 winters from 1991 to 2020 recorded 0.1 inch or more at Raleigh 6N, MS, 8.1 miles away, so there is no typical first-snow date to plan around.

Planting calendar for 39153

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Raleigh, Mississippi
WhenWhat to do
January 17 – January 31Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
January 31 – February 14Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
February 28 – March 14Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
March 28 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 11Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 20Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
November 3 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 39153 is 8 miles from Raleigh 6N, MS, which stands at 446 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 2 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 39117 (Morton). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 39153 in zone 8b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 15 to 20°F (-9.4 to -6.7°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Mississippi →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 8b places in Mississippi