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USDA Hardiness Zone 7a

Frost Dates for 40517 — Lexington, Kentucky

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Lexington Bluegrass Airport, KY (980 ft), 7 miles northwest.

Updated

In Lexington, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 13 in half of years and has passed by May 1 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 28, as early as October 16 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 196 days (NOAA, Lexington Bluegrass Airport, KY).

Last spring frost
April 13

50% probability

First fall frost
October 28

50% probability

Growing season
196 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
7a

0 to 5°F (-17.8 to -15.0°C) coldest night

First snow
December 9

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
March 9

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

30 of 30 observed

Snow per year
14.5"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Lexington

Half of springs at Lexington Bluegrass Airport, KY see their last 32°F night by April 13; only one in ten is past it by March 30, and one in ten still has one after May 1. Planting tender crops after April 20 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 25 20%, and after May 1 10%. The 18 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 54% of the 113 Kentucky stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 28 in half of years, as early as October 16 one year in ten, and holds off past November 8 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 9 days later, around November 6; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 16, 15 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 196 days in a typical year, longer than at 55% of the 113 Kentucky stations; it reaches 217 days one year in ten and falls short of 175 one year in ten. On average 90 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 11 days longer, to about April 24, and return around October 19. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between December 12 and February 26.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 10Apr 15Apr 18Apr 21Apr 24Apr 28May 1May 6May 11
32°FMar 30Apr 2Apr 6Apr 9Apr 13Apr 16Apr 20Apr 25May 1
28°FMar 15Mar 21Mar 25Mar 28Mar 31Apr 2Apr 5Apr 11Apr 16
24°FFeb 28Mar 7Mar 12Mar 16Mar 20Mar 23Mar 26Mar 31Apr 4
20°FFeb 15Feb 23Feb 28Mar 4Mar 9Mar 12Mar 16Mar 20Mar 25
16°FFeb 2Feb 9Feb 15Feb 21Feb 26Mar 1Mar 6Mar 11Mar 17
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 6Oct 11Oct 13Oct 16Oct 19Oct 21Oct 24Oct 26Oct 30
32°FOct 16Oct 20Oct 23Oct 25Oct 28Oct 30Nov 1Nov 4Nov 8
28°FOct 25Oct 31Nov 1Nov 4Nov 6Nov 9Nov 12Nov 17Nov 22
24°FNov 4Nov 7Nov 10Nov 14Nov 17Nov 20Nov 24Nov 29Dec 5
20°FNov 10Nov 17Nov 21Nov 26Nov 30Dec 2Dec 6Dec 13Dec 22
16°FNov 21Nov 29Dec 3Dec 7Dec 12Dec 19Dec 24Dec 28Jan 6

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Lexington Bluegrass Airport, KY, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 40517 →Compare Lexington with another place →

Weather by month in Lexington

July is the warmest month at Lexington Bluegrass Airport, KY, averaging 87°F by day and 67°F at night; January is the coldest at 42°F and 25°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to March (a 90% chance or more). From June to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, April still brings one in 83% of years and May still brings one in 11% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 4,093 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 58% of the 113 Kentucky stations. 37% of them (1,531) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 828. Precipitation totals 49.8 inches a year, most in May (5.4") and least in January (3.4"); May to September bring 45% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Lexington Bluegrass Airport, KY
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan42253.4100%2314
Feb47283.6100%1921
Mar56364.599%1382
Apr67454.483%3235
May76555.411%<1480
Jun84635.00%0699
Jul87675.10%0828
Aug86653.70%0797
Sep80583.40%0575
Oct69473.768%2272
Nov56363.4100%1171
Dec46304.2100%1920

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Lexington Bluegrass Airport, KY (980 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Versailles 3 NNW, KY, 16 miles northwest of Lexington, has a last frost 1 day earlier (April 12), the same first-frost date, a season 2 days longer.

Frost dates for 40383 (Versailles) →

When it snows in Lexington, Kentucky

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Lexington usually arrives around December 9, and the last of the season around March 9. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Lexington Bluegrass Airport, KY, 7.4 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 35 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 40517

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Lexington, Kentucky
WhenWhat to do
February 2 – February 16Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 16 – March 2Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 16 – March 30Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 13 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 5Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 14Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 28 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 40517 is 7 miles from Lexington Bluegrass Airport, KY, which stands at 980 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 14 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 40324 (Georgetown). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 40517 in zone 7a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged 0 to 5°F (-17.8 to -15.0°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Kentucky →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 7a places in Kentucky