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USDA Hardiness Zone 6b

Frost Dates for 44004 — Ashtabula, Ohio

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Ashtabula Co Airport, OH (924 ft), 8 miles southeast.

Updated

In Ashtabula, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 2 in half of years and has passed by May 20 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 21, as early as October 4 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 171 days (NOAA, Ashtabula Co Airport, OH).

Last spring frost
May 2

50% probability

First fall frost
October 21

50% probability

Growing season
171 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
6b

-5 to 0°F (-20.6 to -17.8°C) coldest night

First snow
November 13

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 6

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

28 of 28 observed

Snow per year
89.9"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Ashtabula

Half of springs at Ashtabula Co Airport, OH see their last 32°F night by May 2; only one in ten is past it by April 18, and one in ten still has one after May 20. Planting tender crops after May 9 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 15 20%, and after May 20 10%. The 18 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 76% of the 148 Ohio stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 21 in half of years, as early as October 4 one year in ten, and holds off past November 5 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 13 days later, around November 3; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 6, 14 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 171 days in a typical year, shorter than at 79% of the 148 Ohio stations; it reaches 195 days one year in ten and falls short of 147 one year in ten. On average 124 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 12 days longer, to about May 14, and return around October 7. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between December 10 and March 17.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 28May 2May 7May 10May 14May 17May 21May 25May 30
32°FApr 18Apr 23Apr 26Apr 30May 2May 6May 9May 15May 20
28°FApr 5Apr 10Apr 15Apr 18Apr 21Apr 24Apr 27Apr 30May 6
24°FMar 23Mar 29Apr 1Apr 3Apr 6Apr 10Apr 14Apr 18Apr 22
20°FMar 11Mar 17Mar 21Mar 23Mar 26Mar 29Apr 1Apr 4Apr 11
16°FMar 3Mar 8Mar 12Mar 15Mar 17Mar 20Mar 23Mar 27Mar 30
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 25Sep 29Oct 1Oct 4Oct 7Oct 10Oct 13Oct 19Oct 24
32°FOct 4Oct 9Oct 13Oct 17Oct 21Oct 24Oct 28Nov 1Nov 5
28°FOct 18Oct 24Oct 29Nov 1Nov 3Nov 6Nov 9Nov 13Nov 19
24°FNov 1Nov 5Nov 9Nov 12Nov 16Nov 20Nov 25Nov 29Dec 5
20°FNov 12Nov 17Nov 22Nov 26Nov 30Dec 3Dec 6Dec 12Dec 18
16°FNov 22Nov 29Dec 3Dec 7Dec 10Dec 15Dec 19Dec 23Dec 29

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Ashtabula Co Airport, OH, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 44004 →Compare Ashtabula with another place →

Frost risk through the year in Ashtabula

Frost curve for Ashtabula, Ohio (Ashtabula Co Airport, OH, NOAA 1991–2020): the chance of another 32°F night falls from 90% on April 18 to 50% on May 2 and 10% on May 20; the chance that the first fall one has come rises from 10% on October 4 to 50% on October 21 and 90% on November 5.

In Ashtabula, the spring curve drops under 10% on May 20 and the fall curve passes 10% on October 4, 137 days later; that gap is shorter than at 88% of the 148 Ohio stations with frost dates. The spring risk falls from 90% to 10% over 32 days (April 18 to May 20) and the fall risk climbs from 10% to 90% over 32 days (October 4 to November 5): both ends of the season vary about as much. At Dorset, OH, 15 miles southeast, the same gap runs from May 27 to September 26, 15 days shorter.

Chance of a frost after each planting date in Ashtabula
Planted onAnother 32°F night28°F night
Apr 18over 90%60%
Apr 2573%37%
May 250% date50%17%
May 930%under 10%
May 1618%under 10%
May 23under 10%under 10%

Weather by month in Ashtabula

July is the warmest month at Ashtabula Co Airport, OH, averaging 81°F by day and 60°F at night; January is the coldest at 33°F and 19°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 55% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,608 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 96% of the 148 Ohio stations. 33% of them (856) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 632. Precipitation totals 37.3 inches a year, most in July (4.3") and least in February (1.7"); May to September bring 50% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Ashtabula Co Airport, OH
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan33191.9100%262
Feb36191.7100%253
Mar44262.4100%2318
Apr58363.4100%1081
May69463.355%1265
Jun77553.70%0488
Jul81604.30%0632
Aug79583.60%0580
Sep73523.95%<1374
Oct61423.777%2135
Nov49343.1100%1327
Dec38262.3100%235

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Ashtabula Co Airport, OH (924 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Dorset, OH, 14 miles southeast of Ashtabula, has a last frost 8 days later (May 10), a first frost 11 days earlier (October 10), a season 17 days shorter.

Frost dates for 44076 (Orwell) →

When it snows in Ashtabula, Ohio

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Ashtabula usually arrives around November 13, and the last of the season around April 6. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Dorset, OH, 14.5 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 26 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 44004

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Ashtabula, Ohio
WhenWhat to do
February 21 – March 7Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 7 – March 21Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 4 – April 18Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 2 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 29Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 7Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 21 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 44004 is 8 miles from Ashtabula Co Airport, OH, which stands at 924 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 3 other ZIP codes share the station. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 44004 in zone 6b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -5 to 0°F (-20.6 to -17.8°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Ohio →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 6b places in Ohio