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USDA Hardiness Zone 6b

Frost Dates for 45144 — Manchester, Ohio

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Maysville Wwtp, KY (515 ft), 9 miles west.

Updated

In Manchester, the last spring frost (32°F) is around April 18 in half of years and has passed by May 4 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 30, as early as October 17 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 195 days (NOAA, Maysville Wwtp, KY).

Last spring frost
April 18

50% probability

First fall frost
October 30

50% probability

Growing season
195 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
6b

-5 to 0°F (-20.6 to -17.8°C) coldest night

First snow
December 4

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
March 13

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

15 of 15 observed

Snow per year
17.2"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Manchester

Half of springs at Maysville Wwtp, KY see their last 32°F night by April 18; only one in ten is past it by April 3, and one in ten still has one after May 4. Planting tender crops after April 24 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after April 29 20%, and after May 4 10%. The 16 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 53% of the 148 Ohio stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 30 in half of years, as early as October 17 one year in ten, and holds off past November 11 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 9 days later, around November 8; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is April 22, 12 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 195 days in a typical year, longer than at 92% of the 148 Ohio stations; it reaches 212 days one year in ten and falls short of 175 one year in ten. On average 107 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 11 days longer, to about April 29, and return around October 19. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between December 13 and March 1.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 15Apr 19Apr 23Apr 26Apr 29May 1May 4May 9May 15
32°FApr 3Apr 8Apr 12Apr 15Apr 18Apr 21Apr 24Apr 29May 4
28°FMar 21Mar 28Mar 31Apr 2Apr 5Apr 8Apr 12Apr 16Apr 22
24°FMar 6Mar 13Mar 17Mar 21Mar 26Mar 30Apr 1Apr 3Apr 9
20°FFeb 23Feb 28Mar 5Mar 10Mar 14Mar 17Mar 21Mar 26Apr 1
16°FFeb 6Feb 15Feb 22Feb 26Mar 1Mar 5Mar 9Mar 15Mar 22
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FOct 7Oct 11Oct 14Oct 17Oct 19Oct 22Oct 25Oct 28Oct 31
32°FOct 17Oct 21Oct 24Oct 28Oct 30Nov 1Nov 3Nov 6Nov 11
28°FOct 29Nov 1Nov 3Nov 5Nov 8Nov 10Nov 13Nov 16Nov 21
24°FNov 4Nov 8Nov 11Nov 14Nov 17Nov 20Nov 23Nov 28Dec 3
20°FNov 10Nov 16Nov 20Nov 25Nov 29Dec 2Dec 5Dec 11Dec 20
16°FNov 20Nov 29Dec 4Dec 8Dec 13Dec 19Dec 25Dec 30Jan 5

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Maysville Wwtp, KY, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 45144 →Compare Manchester with another place →

Weather by month in Manchester

July is the warmest month at Maysville Wwtp, KY, averaging 87°F by day and 65°F at night; January is the coldest at 41°F and 23°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from November to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to September the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 16% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 3,760 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 93% of the 148 Ohio stations. 35% of them (1,316) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 804. Precipitation totals 48.4 inches a year, most in May (5.1") and least in November (3.2"); May to September bring 44% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Maysville Wwtp, KY
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan41233.6100%247
Feb45243.4100%228
Mar55314.7100%1845
Apr67414.793%5178
May75515.116%<1419
Jun83614.40%0660
Jul87655.00%0804
Aug86643.40%0769
Sep81573.50%0561
Oct69453.356%2244
Nov56343.2100%1453
Dec45284.1100%2213

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Maysville Wwtp, KY (515 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Ripley Exp Farm, OH, 12 miles northwest of Manchester and 365 feet higher, has a last frost 11 days later (April 29), a first frost 19 days earlier (October 11), a season 33 days shorter.

Frost dates for 45154 (Mount Orab) →

When it snows in Manchester, Ohio

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Manchester usually arrives around December 4, and the last of the season around March 13. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Ripley Exp Farm, OH, 11.7 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 36 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 45144

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Manchester, Ohio
WhenWhat to do
February 7 – February 21Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
February 21 – March 7Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
March 21 – April 4Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
April 18 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by August 7Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by October 16Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 30 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 45144 is 9 miles from Maysville Wwtp, KY, which stands at 515 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 1 other ZIP code shares the station; its figures are presented in full for 41056 (Maysville). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 45144 in zone 6b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -5 to 0°F (-20.6 to -17.8°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Ohio →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 6b places in Ohio