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USDA Hardiness Zone 6a

Frost Dates for 48881 — Saranac, Michigan

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Ionia 2SSW, MI (805 ft), 7 miles east.

Updated

In Saranac, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 3 in half of years and has passed by May 21 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 12, as early as September 29 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 161 days (NOAA, Ionia 2SSW, MI).

Last spring frost
May 3

50% probability

First fall frost
October 12

50% probability

Growing season
161 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
6a

-10 to -5°F (-23.3 to -20.6°C) coldest night

First snow
November 14

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 13

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

22 of 22 observed

Snow per year
54.2"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Saranac

Half of springs at Ionia 2SSW, MI see their last 32°F night by May 3; only one in ten is past it by April 17, and one in ten still has one after May 21. Planting tender crops after May 10 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 15 20%, and after May 21 10%. The 18 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 81% of the 172 Michigan stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 12 in half of years, as early as September 29 one year in ten, and holds off past October 27 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 15 days later, around October 27; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 9, 12 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 161 days in a typical year, longer than at 56% of the 172 Michigan stations; it reaches 183 days one year in ten and falls short of 139 one year in ten. On average 148 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 13 days longer, to about May 16, and return around October 1. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between December 2 and March 21.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 30May 4May 8May 12May 16May 19May 23May 27Jun 1
32°FApr 17Apr 23Apr 27Apr 30May 3May 6May 10May 15May 21
28°FApr 7Apr 12Apr 16Apr 19Apr 22Apr 25Apr 29May 3May 9
24°FMar 28Apr 2Apr 4Apr 7Apr 10Apr 14Apr 17Apr 20Apr 25
20°FMar 16Mar 21Mar 25Mar 29Apr 1Apr 3Apr 6Apr 9Apr 15
16°FMar 7Mar 12Mar 16Mar 18Mar 21Mar 24Mar 28Mar 31Apr 4
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 18Sep 23Sep 27Sep 29Oct 1Oct 4Oct 7Oct 10Oct 15
32°FSep 29Oct 3Oct 6Oct 9Oct 12Oct 16Oct 19Oct 22Oct 27
28°FOct 7Oct 15Oct 20Oct 23Oct 27Oct 30Nov 1Nov 5Nov 10
24°FOct 25Oct 31Nov 2Nov 5Nov 8Nov 12Nov 15Nov 19Nov 26
20°FNov 6Nov 11Nov 15Nov 19Nov 22Nov 26Nov 29Dec 2Dec 9
16°FNov 15Nov 22Nov 26Nov 30Dec 2Dec 5Dec 10Dec 16Dec 22

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Ionia 2SSW, MI, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 48881 →Compare Saranac with another place →

Weather by month in Saranac

July is the warmest month at Ionia 2SSW, MI, averaging 81°F by day and 60°F at night; January is the coldest at 29°F and 16°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 58% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,525 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 54% of the 172 Michigan stations. 33% of them (843) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 639. Precipitation totals 36.0 inches a year, most in May (4.0") and least in February (1.7"); May to September bring 50% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Ionia 2SSW, MI
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan29162.2100%290
Feb32161.7100%270
Mar42242.2100%2515
Apr56353.3100%1360
May68474.058%2257
Jun77573.90%0511
Jul81603.40%0639
Aug79593.70%0583
Sep72513.013%<1346
Oct59403.694%7102
Nov46302.8100%1812
Dec34222.2100%281

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Ionia 2SSW, MI (805 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Grand Rapids, MI, 17 miles west of Saranac, has a last frost 4 days earlier (April 29), a first frost 8 days later (October 20), a season 13 days longer.

Frost dates for 49546 (Grand Rapids) →

When it snows in Saranac, Michigan

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Saranac usually arrives around November 14, and the last of the season around April 13. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Ionia 2SSW, MI, 6.8 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 20 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 48881

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Saranac, Michigan
WhenWhat to do
February 22 – March 8Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 8 – March 22Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 5 – April 19Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 3 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 20Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 28Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 12 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 48881 is 7 miles from Ionia 2SSW, MI, which stands at 805 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 5 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 48846 (Ionia). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 48881 in zone 6a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -10 to -5°F (-23.3 to -20.6°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Michigan →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 6a places in Michigan