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USDA Hardiness Zone 4b

Frost Dates for 49715 — Brimley, Michigan

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Rudyard 4N, MI (753 ft), 9 miles southeast.

Updated

In Brimley, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 24 in half of years and has passed by June 10 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 1, as early as September 14 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 127 days (NOAA, Rudyard 4N, MI).

Last spring frost
May 24

50% probability

First fall frost
October 1

50% probability

Growing season
127 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
4b

-25 to -20°F (-31.7 to -28.9°C) coldest night

First snow
October 27

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 18

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

17 of 17 observed

Snow per year
94.1"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Brimley

Half of springs at Rudyard 4N, MI see their last 32°F night by May 24; only one in ten is past it by May 8, and one in ten still has one after June 10. Planting tender crops after May 31 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after June 3 20%, and after June 10 10%. The 17 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is wider than at 62% of the 172 Michigan stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 1 in half of years, as early as September 14 one year in ten, and holds off past October 14 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 11 days later, around October 12; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 26, 15 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 127 days in a typical year, shorter than at 88% of the 172 Michigan stations; it reaches 149 days one year in ten and falls short of 104 one year in ten. On average 181 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 13 days longer, to about June 6, and return around September 17. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 19 and April 4.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 24May 29Jun 1Jun 4Jun 6Jun 10Jun 14Jun 20Jun 30
32°FMay 8May 14May 18May 21May 24May 27May 31Jun 3Jun 10
28°FApr 26Apr 30May 2May 5May 8May 12May 16May 21May 26
24°FApr 13Apr 17Apr 20Apr 24Apr 26Apr 28Apr 30May 4May 11
20°FApr 1Apr 4Apr 8Apr 10Apr 14Apr 16Apr 18Apr 21Apr 26
16°FMar 22Mar 29Mar 31Apr 2Apr 4Apr 7Apr 9Apr 14Apr 18
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 1Sep 6Sep 10Sep 13Sep 17Sep 21Sep 24Sep 28Oct 2
32°FSep 14Sep 20Sep 24Sep 27Oct 1Oct 3Oct 5Oct 9Oct 14
28°FSep 27Oct 1Oct 5Oct 8Oct 12Oct 15Oct 19Oct 23Oct 29
24°FOct 9Oct 14Oct 18Oct 23Oct 27Oct 30Nov 1Nov 5Nov 10
20°FOct 24Oct 30Nov 2Nov 5Nov 8Nov 11Nov 14Nov 18Nov 24
16°FNov 4Nov 9Nov 13Nov 17Nov 19Nov 23Nov 27Nov 30Dec 4

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Rudyard 4N, MI, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 49715 →Compare Brimley with another place →

Weather by month in Brimley

July is the warmest month at Rudyard 4N, MI, averaging 79°F by day and 53°F at night; January is the coldest at 25°F and 8°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to May (a 90% chance or more). From July to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, June still brings one in 28% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 1,783 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 88% of the 172 Michigan stations. 29% of them (517) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 496. Precipitation totals 35.9 inches a year, most in October (4.4") and least in February (1.5"); May to September bring 47% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Rudyard 4N, MI
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan2582.0100%310
Feb2991.5100%280
Mar39171.9100%280
Apr52293.2100%2016
May66392.798%8142
Jun76483.228%1359
Jul79534.10%0496
Aug77533.10%0474
Sep69463.948%2247
Oct55364.4100%1347
Nov41273.4100%232
Dec31172.5100%290

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Rudyard 4N, MI (753 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Sault Ste Marie Sanderson Field, MI, 15 miles east of Brimley, has a last frost 15 days earlier (May 9), a first frost 10 days later (October 11), a season 24 days longer.

Frost dates for 49783 (Sault Sainte Marie) →

When it snows in Brimley, Michigan

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Brimley usually arrives around October 27, and the last of the season around April 18. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Rudyard 4N, MI, 9 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 36 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 49715

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Brimley, Michigan
WhenWhat to do
March 15 – March 29Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 29 – April 12Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 26 – May 10Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 24 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 9Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 17Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 1 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 49715 is 9 miles from Rudyard 4N, MI, which stands at 753 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 49715 in zone 4b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -25 to -20°F (-31.7 to -28.9°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Michigan →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 4b places in Michigan