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USDA Hardiness Zone 5b

Frost Dates for 49770 — Petoskey, Michigan

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Petoskey Ncmc, MI (748 ft), under a mile west.

Updated

In Petoskey, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 16 in half of years and has passed by May 31 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 9, as early as September 27 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 147 days (NOAA, Petoskey Ncmc, MI).

Last spring frost
May 16

50% probability

First fall frost
October 9

50% probability

Growing season
147 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
5b

-15 to -10°F (-26.1 to -23.3°C) coldest night

First snow
November 13

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 12

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

29 of 29 observed

Snow per year
123.6"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Petoskey

Half of springs at Petoskey Ncmc, MI see their last 32°F night by May 16; only one in ten is past it by April 30, and one in ten still has one after May 31. Planting tender crops after May 23 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 26 20%, and after May 31 10%. The 15 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 55% of the 172 Michigan stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 9 in half of years, as early as September 27 one year in ten, and holds off past October 23 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 14 days later, around October 23; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 18, 13 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 147 days in a typical year, shorter than at 69% of the 172 Michigan stations; it reaches 168 days one year in ten and falls short of 126 one year in ten. On average 166 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 12 days longer, to about May 28, and return around September 28. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 29 and April 1.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 13May 19May 23May 25May 28May 31Jun 3Jun 6Jun 13
32°FApr 30May 4May 9May 13May 16May 20May 23May 26May 31
28°FApr 20Apr 24Apr 28Apr 30May 2May 5May 8May 12May 18
24°FApr 7Apr 13Apr 16Apr 19Apr 22Apr 25Apr 28May 1May 5
20°FMar 28Apr 1Apr 4Apr 6Apr 9Apr 12Apr 15Apr 19Apr 24
16°FMar 18Mar 23Mar 28Mar 31Apr 1Apr 3Apr 6Apr 9Apr 14
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 13Sep 19Sep 22Sep 26Sep 28Oct 1Oct 3Oct 6Oct 10
32°FSep 27Oct 1Oct 4Oct 7Oct 9Oct 12Oct 15Oct 19Oct 23
28°FOct 8Oct 13Oct 17Oct 20Oct 23Oct 27Oct 30Nov 2Nov 7
24°FOct 23Oct 29Nov 1Nov 3Nov 6Nov 9Nov 12Nov 17Nov 23
20°FNov 4Nov 9Nov 12Nov 15Nov 18Nov 21Nov 25Nov 30Dec 5
16°FNov 11Nov 17Nov 21Nov 25Nov 29Dec 2Dec 5Dec 11Dec 19

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Petoskey Ncmc, MI, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 49770 →Compare Petoskey with another place →

Weather by month in Petoskey

July is the warmest month at Petoskey Ncmc, MI, averaging 76°F by day and 57°F at night; January is the coldest at 26°F and 12°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 86% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 1,941 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 84% of the 172 Michigan stations. 29% of them (562) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 518. Precipitation totals 36.7 inches a year, most in October (4.4") and least in February (1.7"); May to September bring 45% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Petoskey Ncmc, MI
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan26122.4100%300
Feb28121.7100%280
Mar37182.0100%288
Apr50303.0100%2027
May63423.186%5156
Jun73523.39%<1372
Jul76572.90%0518
Aug76563.50%0488
Sep69503.819%<1294
Oct56394.497%771
Nov43303.6100%209
Dec32213.0100%280

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Petoskey Ncmc, MI (748 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Petoskey, MI, 2 miles northwest of Petoskey, has a last frost 10 days earlier (May 6), a first frost 11 days later (October 20), a season 19 days longer.

Frost dates for 49740 (Harbor Springs) →

When it snows in Petoskey, Michigan

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Petoskey usually arrives around November 13, and the last of the season around April 12. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Petoskey, MI, 2.1 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 34 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 49770

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Petoskey, Michigan
WhenWhat to do
March 7 – March 21Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 21 – April 4Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 18 – May 2Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 16 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 17Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 25Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 9 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 49770 is under a mile from Petoskey Ncmc, MI, which stands at 748 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 49770 in zone 5b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -15 to -10°F (-26.1 to -23.3°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Michigan →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 5b places in Michigan