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USDA Hardiness Zone 5b

Frost Dates for 53527 — Cottage Grove, Wisconsin

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Madison Dane Regional Airport, WI (866 ft), 9 miles northwest.

Updated

In Cottage Grove, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 1 in half of years and has passed by May 16 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 10, as early as September 26 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 160 days (NOAA, Madison Dane Regional Airport, WI).

Last spring frost
May 1

50% probability

First fall frost
October 10

50% probability

Growing season
160 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
5b

-15 to -10°F (-26.1 to -23.3°C) coldest night

First snow
November 10

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 13

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

30 of 30 observed

Snow per year
51.8"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Cottage Grove

Half of springs at Madison Dane Regional Airport, WI see their last 32°F night by May 1; only one in ten is past it by April 16, and one in ten still has one after May 16. Planting tender crops after May 7 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 11 20%, and after May 16 10%. The 15 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 30% of the 182 Wisconsin stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 10 in half of years, as early as September 26 one year in ten, and holds off past October 24 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 12 days later, around October 22; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 5, 11 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 160 days in a typical year, longer than at 60% of the 182 Wisconsin stations; it reaches 179 days one year in ten and falls short of 140 one year in ten. On average 147 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 12 days longer, to about May 13, and return around September 29. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 22 and March 19.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FApr 29May 2May 6May 10May 13May 16May 19May 23May 29
32°FApr 16Apr 22Apr 25Apr 29May 1May 3May 7May 11May 16
28°FApr 5Apr 10Apr 13Apr 17Apr 20Apr 23Apr 26Apr 30May 5
24°FMar 25Mar 31Apr 2Apr 4Apr 7Apr 10Apr 13Apr 17Apr 22
20°FMar 14Mar 19Mar 22Mar 26Mar 30Apr 1Apr 3Apr 6Apr 12
16°FMar 6Mar 11Mar 14Mar 17Mar 19Mar 22Mar 25Mar 30Apr 2
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 17Sep 21Sep 24Sep 27Sep 29Oct 2Oct 4Oct 7Oct 12
32°FSep 26Sep 30Oct 4Oct 7Oct 10Oct 12Oct 15Oct 18Oct 24
28°FOct 6Oct 12Oct 16Oct 19Oct 22Oct 25Oct 28Oct 31Nov 4
24°FOct 19Oct 25Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2Nov 5Nov 8Nov 12Nov 17
20°FNov 1Nov 3Nov 6Nov 10Nov 13Nov 15Nov 18Nov 22Nov 26
16°FNov 6Nov 12Nov 15Nov 19Nov 22Nov 25Nov 28Dec 1Dec 7

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Madison Dane Regional Airport, WI, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 53527 →Compare Cottage Grove with another place →

Weather by month in Cottage Grove

July is the warmest month at Madison Dane Regional Airport, WI, averaging 82°F by day and 62°F at night; January is the coldest at 27°F and 12°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 52% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,669 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 79% of the 182 Wisconsin stations. 33% of them (892) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 677. Precipitation totals 37.2 inches a year, most in June (5.3") and least in January (1.5"); May to September bring 58% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Madison Dane Regional Airport, WI
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan27121.5100%300
Feb31151.5100%270
Mar44252.3100%2315
Apr57363.8100%1065
May69474.152%2272
Jun79575.30%0540
Jul82624.50%0677
Aug80604.20%0611
Sep73513.421%1366
Oct60402.897%7109
Nov45292.2100%2013
Dec32181.6100%281

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Madison Dane Regional Airport, WI (866 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Stoughton, WI, 11 miles south of Cottage Grove, has a last frost 1 day earlier (April 30), a first frost 1 day later (October 11), a season 3 days longer.

Frost dates for 53589 (Stoughton) →

When it snows in Cottage Grove, Wisconsin

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Cottage Grove usually arrives around November 10, and the last of the season around April 13. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Madison Dane Regional Airport, WI, 8.8 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 18 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 53527

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Cottage Grove, Wisconsin
WhenWhat to do
February 20 – March 6Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 6 – March 20Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 3 – April 17Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 1 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 18Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 26Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 10 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 53527 is 9 miles from Madison Dane Regional Airport, WI, which stands at 866 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 7 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 53704 (Madison). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 53527 in zone 5b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -15 to -10°F (-26.1 to -23.3°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Wisconsin →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 5b places in Wisconsin