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USDA Hardiness Zone 4b

Frost Dates for 54612 — Arcadia, Wisconsin

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Dodge, WI (685 ft), 9 miles south.

Updated

In Arcadia, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 5 in half of years and has passed by May 19 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around October 5, as early as September 21 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 152 days (NOAA, Dodge, WI).

Last spring frost
May 5

50% probability

First fall frost
October 5

50% probability

Growing season
152 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
4b

-25 to -20°F (-31.7 to -28.9°C) coldest night

First snow
November 30

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
March 23

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

15 of 15 observed

Snow per year
42.4"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Arcadia

Half of springs at Dodge, WI see their last 32°F night by May 5; only one in ten is past it by April 21, and one in ten still has one after May 19. Planting tender crops after May 11 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 14 20%, and after May 19 10%. The 14 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 58% of the 182 Wisconsin stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by October 5 in half of years, as early as September 21 one year in ten, and holds off past October 19 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 11 days later, around October 16; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 9, 10 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 152 days in a typical year, shorter than at 59% of the 182 Wisconsin stations; it reaches 171 days one year in ten and falls short of 134 one year in ten. On average 158 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 10 days longer, to about May 15, and return around September 27. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 16 and March 24.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 2May 6May 9May 13May 15May 18May 20May 24May 28
32°FApr 21Apr 27Apr 30May 2May 5May 8May 11May 14May 19
28°FApr 9Apr 13Apr 17Apr 21Apr 25Apr 28May 1May 4May 9
24°FMar 30Apr 3Apr 5Apr 8Apr 11Apr 15Apr 19Apr 23Apr 28
20°FMar 18Mar 23Mar 28Mar 31Apr 1Apr 3Apr 6Apr 10Apr 17
16°FMar 9Mar 13Mar 17Mar 20Mar 24Mar 27Mar 30Apr 1Apr 5
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FSep 13Sep 18Sep 21Sep 25Sep 27Sep 30Oct 3Oct 5Oct 9
32°FSep 21Sep 27Oct 1Oct 3Oct 5Oct 8Oct 11Oct 14Oct 19
28°FSep 30Oct 6Oct 10Oct 13Oct 16Oct 19Oct 23Oct 27Nov 1
24°FOct 12Oct 18Oct 22Oct 25Oct 29Nov 1Nov 2Nov 6Nov 11
20°FOct 26Oct 31Nov 2Nov 4Nov 6Nov 9Nov 12Nov 16Nov 21
16°FNov 3Nov 7Nov 10Nov 13Nov 16Nov 18Nov 21Nov 24Nov 28

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Dodge, WI, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 54612 →Compare Arcadia with another place →

Weather by month in Arcadia

July is the warmest month at Dodge, WI, averaging 84°F by day and 61°F at night; January is the coldest at 27°F and 8°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to April (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month. In spring, May still brings one in 67% of years.

Warmth for growing adds up to 2,746 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), more than at 87% of the 182 Wisconsin stations. 35% of them (953) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 682. Precipitation totals 34.4 inches a year, most in June (5.0") and least in January (1.0"); May to September bring 61% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Dodge, WI
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan2781.0100%300
Feb32121.1100%270
Mar46241.9100%2319
Apr60363.7100%1291
May72474.367%2296
Jun80575.00%<1548
Jul84613.80%0682
Aug81584.30%0608
Sep74513.530%2384
Oct61392.798%10111
Nov45271.7100%229
Dec32151.4100%290

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Dodge, WI (685 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Blair, WI, 13 miles east of Arcadia and 170 feet higher, has a last frost 4 days later (May 9), a first frost 4 days earlier (October 1), a season 9 days shorter.

Frost dates for 54615 (Black River Falls) →

When it snows in Arcadia, Wisconsin

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Arcadia usually arrives around November 30, and the last of the season around March 23. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Dodge, WI, 8.9 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 43 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 54612

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Arcadia, Wisconsin
WhenWhat to do
February 24 – March 10Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 10 – March 24Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 7 – April 21Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 5 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 13Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 21Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
October 5 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 54612 is 9 miles from Dodge, WI, which stands at 685 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 54612 in zone 4b, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -25 to -20°F (-31.7 to -28.9°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Wisconsin →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

Other zone 4b places in Wisconsin