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USDA Hardiness Zone 4a

Frost Dates for 55037 — Hinckley, Minnesota

NOAA 1991–2020 normals from Hinckley, MN (1,035 ft), 10 miles west.

Updated

In Hinckley, the last spring frost (32°F) is around May 16 in half of years and has passed by May 30 in nine years out of ten. The first fall frost comes around September 24, as early as September 9 one year in ten, leaving a typical freeze-free season of 130 days (NOAA, Hinckley, MN).

Last spring frost
May 16

50% probability

First fall frost
September 24

50% probability

Growing season
130 days

freeze-free, 50%

Hardiness zone
4a

-30 to -25°F (-34.4 to -31.7°C) coldest night

First snow
November 7

median, 1991–2020

Last snow
April 9

median, 1991–2020

Winters with snow
100%

20 of 20 observed

Snow per year
44.8"

NOAA normal

Frost risk by date in Hinckley

Half of springs at Hinckley, MN see their last 32°F night by May 16; only one in ten is past it by May 3, and one in ten still has one after May 30. Planting tender crops after May 22 leaves a 30% risk of a frost on them, after May 25 20%, and after May 30 10%. The 14 days between the even-odds date and the one-in-ten date is narrower than at 37% of the 142 Minnesota stations behind this site's ZIP pages.

In fall the first 32°F night comes by September 24 in half of years, as early as September 9 one year in ten, and holds off past October 6 one year in ten. A hard freeze of 28°F follows 8 days later, around October 2; in spring the one-in-ten date for 28°F is May 20, 10 days before the 32°F one. The freeze-free season lasts 130 days in a typical year, shorter than at 92% of the 142 Minnesota stations; it reaches 150 days one year in ten and falls short of 111 one year in ten. On average 183 nights a year drop to 32°F or below. Nights of 36°F, when frost can still settle on leaves in low, open spots, continue 12 days longer, to about May 28, and return around September 15. Severe cold of 16°F or below comes every winter, usually between November 7 and April 4.

Spring: the chance of another night this cold after the date
Low90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%
36°FMay 15May 20May 23May 25May 28May 30Jun 1Jun 4Jun 9
32°FMay 3May 7May 11May 14May 16May 19May 22May 25May 30
28°FApr 21Apr 26Apr 29May 1May 4May 8May 11May 15May 20
24°FApr 9Apr 14Apr 18Apr 21Apr 24Apr 27Apr 30May 3May 10
20°FApr 1Apr 4Apr 7Apr 10Apr 13Apr 16Apr 19Apr 23Apr 27
16°FMar 20Mar 27Mar 31Apr 2Apr 4Apr 7Apr 10Apr 13Apr 18
Fall: the chance the first night this cold has come by the date
Low10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
36°FAug 31Sep 5Sep 8Sep 12Sep 15Sep 18Sep 21Sep 24Sep 29
32°FSep 9Sep 14Sep 17Sep 21Sep 24Sep 27Sep 30Oct 3Oct 6
28°FSep 16Sep 22Sep 26Sep 29Oct 2Oct 5Oct 8Oct 12Oct 17
24°FSep 25Oct 2Oct 7Oct 11Oct 14Oct 17Oct 20Oct 24Oct 30
20°FOct 9Oct 16Oct 21Oct 24Oct 28Oct 31Nov 2Nov 6Nov 10
16°FOct 23Oct 30Nov 1Nov 5Nov 7Nov 10Nov 14Nov 17Nov 22

Freeze probabilities 1991–2020 at Hinckley, MN, from NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals. Where a temperature is reached in fewer than 99.5% of years, the dates describe only the years that reach it. Not a forecast.

Frost risk on any date in 55037 →Compare Hinckley with another place →

Weather by month in Hinckley

July is the warmest month at Hinckley, MN, averaging 79°F by day and 55°F at night; January is the coldest at 19°F and -1°F. A freezing night is all but certain in every month from October to May (a 90% chance or more). From June to August the chance of a 32°F night stays under 10% each month.

Warmth for growing adds up to 1,819 growing degree days a year (base 50°F), fewer than at 89% of the 142 Minnesota stations. 30% of them (555) have built up by the end of June, and July adds the most, 531. Precipitation totals 33.1 inches a year, most in June (4.6") and least in February (0.9"); May to September bring 62% of it.

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Hinckley, MN
MonthHigh °FLow °FPrecip. in32°F nightNights ≤ 32°FGDD 50°F
Jan19-11.0100%310
Feb2530.9100%270
Mar38161.6100%282
Apr52282.8100%1823
May65403.893%4153
Jun75504.66%0377
Jul79554.10%0531
Aug77524.31%0460
Sep69443.670%3231
Oct55323.5100%1440
Nov39211.6100%271
Dec2691.3100%310

Monthly normals 1991–2020 at Hinckley, MN (1,035 ft), NOAA NCEI. "32°F night": chance of at least one in the month. GDD: growing degree days, base 50°F.

Compared with the next station

The nearest other station, Sandstone 6 W, MN, 12 miles northwest of Hinckley, has a last frost 3 days earlier (May 13), a first frost 5 days later (September 29), a season 7 days longer.

Frost dates for 55072 (Sandstone) →

When it snows in Hinckley, Minnesota

The first measurable snow (0.1 inch or more) in Hinckley usually arrives around November 7, and the last of the season around April 9. Those are the middle dates across the winters of 1991–2020 at Hinckley, MN, 9.6 miles away: half of years saw snow earlier, half later. Every one of those winters saw snow. The last 32°F night of spring typically comes 37 days after the last snow.

Planting calendar for 55037

What to do and when, from the 50% frost dates for Hinckley, Minnesota
WhenWhat to do
March 7 – March 21Start peppers and aubergines indoorsThey need eight to ten weeks under lights before they can go out.
March 21 – April 4Start tomatoes indoorsSix to eight weeks gives a transplant big enough to set fruit early.
April 18 – May 2Sow peas, spinach, lettuce, radish outdoorsThese tolerate light frost and prefer to germinate in cool soil.
May 16 onwardTransplant tomatoes, peppers, basil, squash, cucumbersThe average last freeze has passed — still watch the actual forecast.
by July 2Sow the autumn crop of carrots, beets and brassicasThey need about twelve weeks to size up before growth stops.
by September 10Harvest tender crops, or be ready to cover themA first freeze two weeks early is well within normal variation.
September 24 onwardPlant garlic, mulch beds, lift tender bulbsGarlic wants a cold spell; bare soil loses structure over winter.

The weeks before and after the 50% dates are general rules of thumb, not NOAA figures; a seed packet gives the timing for each variety.

Where these figures come from

ZIP 55037 is 10 miles from Hinckley, MN, which stands at 1,035 feet, the nearest NOAA station that publishes freeze probabilities for 1991–2020. 2 other ZIP codes share the station; its figures are presented in full for 55063 (Pine City). The 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map lists ZIP 55037 in zone 4a, the band where the coldest night of the year averaged -30 to -25°F (-34.4 to -31.7°C) over 1991–2020; a zone describes winter lows, not frost dates.

Frost dates across Minnesota →

Hardiness zone and temperature range: USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map 2023 (USDA-ARS, Oregon State University), ZIP-code listing, unchanged. °C converted from °F by this site.

Thirty-year averages, not a forecast: check the forecast before planting out. How stations are matched and which pages are offered to search engines: methodology.

ZIP codes measured at the same station

Other zone 4a places in Minnesota